Harsh-Property — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$210

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

32.9%

Resolved

180

Trades

2,348

lifetime

Volume

$5.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 08-16 16:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 32% -$207

Other

2% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No		+15	$13	91¢	$14	+$0	05-29 03:44
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes		+15	$3	9¢	$1	-$2	05-29 03:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	65	$250	780	0	+780	Up	-$97	05-29 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	32	$160	429	0	+429	Down	-$36	05-29 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	43	$146	416	0	+416	Down	-$15	05-29 14:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	29	$140	375	0	+375	Down	-$35	05-29 13:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	34	$109	318	0	+318	Down	-$12	05-29 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	37	$105	274	0	+274	Up	+$13	05-29 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	49	$104	271	0	+271	Down	-$8	05-29 17:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	23	$96	286	0	+286	Up	+$79	05-29 13:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	18	$91	113	33	+80	Down	-$8	05-31 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	52	$86	269	0	+269	Up	+$90	05-29 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	39	$84	249	0	+249	Down	+$73	05-29 11:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	45	$78	301	0	+301	Up	+$144	05-29 15:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	32	$77	227	0	+227	Up	+$102	05-29 11:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	56	$77	265	0	+265	Down	+$65	05-29 11:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	11	$77	71	71	+0	Up	+$33	05-30 21:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	30	$74	204	0	+204	Up	-$31	05-29 18:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	37	$74	202	0	+202	Down	+$82	05-29 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	12	$72	70	70	+0	Down	+$9	05-30 21:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	34	$72	210	0	+210	Up	+$44	05-29 17:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	48	$70	274	0	+274	Down	+$73	05-29 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	29	$70	183	0	+183	Down	-$22	05-29 01:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	32	$69	195	0	+195	Down	-$9	05-29 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	28	$69	161	0	+161	Down	+$25	05-29 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	34	$68	229	0	+229	Down	-$30	05-29 11:38
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	14	$66	102	41	+61	Yes	-$3	05-31 07:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	30	$65	265	0	+265	Down	-$65	05-29 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	21	$62	154	0	+154	Up	-$41	05-29 18:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	15	$61	130	0	+130	Down	+$26	05-29 01:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	30	$61	231	0	+231	Up	+$46	05-29 09:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	23	$60	141	0	+141	Up	+$25	05-29 15:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 16:12:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0x900785…
08-16 16:08:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xef0d93…
08-16 16:08:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x7cff7e…
08-16 16:08:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x27f331…
08-16 16:08:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x1911da…
08-16 16:05:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbb9a5d…
08-16 16:05:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xdd506d…
08-16 15:52:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x71cfa0…
08-16 15:52:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xecff33…
08-16 15:51:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf62a8d…
08-16 15:51:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5df773…
08-16 15:51:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x4a8cf2…
08-16 15:50:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x56d9c6…
08-16 15:50:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xc6f075…
08-16 15:35:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb59f50…
08-16 15:35:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb4242d…
08-16 15:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x8d17c5…
08-16 15:29:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf1e8b3…
08-16 15:20:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x73d2f7…
08-16 07:28:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xcc4ade…
08-16 07:26:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf0e5e5…
08-16 07:19:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe7849c…
08-16 07:19:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0xaf5151…
08-16 01:01:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x250a0c…
08-16 00:53:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x098ac4…
08-16 00:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x07cd3c…
08-15 17:36:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x3a5617…
08-15 17:33:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xdae42d…
08-15 17:29:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0x964f44…
08-15 17:26:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xcd2eb9…
08-15 17:18:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	24	76¢	$19	0xcc86d1…
08-15 17:18:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x7b980e…
08-15 17:13:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0x41591e…
08-15 17:10:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:05 UTC	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x2528d5…
08-15 17:07:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0xb55751…
08-15 17:03:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x1e8707…
08-15 16:59:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xfaf3cb…
08-15 16:52:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x336dd9…
08-15 16:47:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x5e5412…
08-15 16:40:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xfe1be5…
08-15 16:01:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5bb13c…
08-15 15:55:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x1ba550…
08-15 15:45:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7e441d…
08-15 15:44:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 15:40 UTC	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0xdcd74e…
08-15 15:43:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x55cf35…
05-31 07:08:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x84795f…
05-31 07:08:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xd1524f…
05-31 07:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	29	91¢	$26	0xf9e3af…
05-31 07:07:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xade7c6…
05-31 07:07:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0xbcab28…
05-31 07:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2c71de…
05-31 07:06:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x6946af…
05-31 07:06:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xfe327c…
05-31 07:06:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0xdcf6cb…
05-31 07:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xa50367…
05-31 07:06:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x56f891…
05-31 07:05:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x51044f…
05-31 07:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0xce6966…
05-31 07:05:09	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x966b47…
05-31 07:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xbdef2f…
05-31 07:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x519966…
05-31 07:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x13b816…
05-31 07:03:42	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xbfa0e6…
05-31 07:03:42	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x1ea42d…
05-31 07:01:32	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	No	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xf2ba22…
05-31 07:01:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x41e706…
05-31 07:01:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x145779…
05-31 07:00:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0xfa25d7…
05-31 07:00:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xa906f0…
05-31 07:00:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x31ae83…
05-31 07:00:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xc7a5f7…
05-31 07:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe20f43…
05-31 07:00:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xcf8183…
05-31 07:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3e5340…
05-31 07:00:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x3c9318…
05-31 06:51:58	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x96d03c…
05-31 06:51:58	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x859d4f…
05-31 06:50:06	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd1b08c…
05-31 06:50:06	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa9df53…
05-31 06:49:09	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1f88cc…
05-31 06:49:07	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xabf304…
05-31 06:45:42	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x1e9e9f…
05-31 06:45:39	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xb1bdea…
05-31 06:45:35	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	No	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0xd97fb1…
05-31 06:45:35	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xbfd85d…
05-31 06:15:36	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd54fde…
05-31 06:15:36	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x8c8fe0…
05-31 06:13:20	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xebe263…
05-31 06:13:20	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa17776…
05-30 23:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x045d46…
05-30 23:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x84e79b…
05-30 23:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x593f92…
05-30 23:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x0c57dc…
05-30 23:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x81c7c2…
05-30 23:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x322780…
05-30 23:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xfe72eb…
05-30 23:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x93ae44…
05-30 23:08:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x31c947…
05-30 23:06:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6b6cbd…
05-30 23:06:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xdc4c2e…