Alarmed-Clavier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

964

Trades

2,382

lifetime

Volume

$2.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-16 02:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 96% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 304 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	6	$6	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-07 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$5	11	+11	open	—	05-03 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	5	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-06 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	5	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-15 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-15 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$4	4	+4	Down	+$0	05-07 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	4	$4	4	+4	Down	+$0	05-05 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	4	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-15 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	4	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-15 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$4	4	+4	Up	+$0	05-06 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	4	$4	4	+4	Up	+$0	05-06 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$3	4	+4	Down	+$1	05-05 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-04 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	3	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	05-07 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	3	$3	4	+4	Down	+$1	05-07 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	05-07 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	3	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	05-07 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	05-07 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-04 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	05-13 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$3	4	+4	Up	+$1	05-12 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	05-07 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	3	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-16 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$3	4	+4	Up	+$1	05-04 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	3	$3	4	+4	Up	+$1	05-12 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	3	$3	4	+4	Up	+$1	05-07 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$3	3	+3	open	—	05-15 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	05-11 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	3	$3	4	+4	Down	$-3	05-06 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	3	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	05-08 02:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 02:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xfd557b…
05-16 02:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x771b07…
05-16 02:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x728fb4…
05-16 01:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5454ff…
05-16 01:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x078dd6…
05-16 01:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa3ddab…
05-16 01:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc3ce98…
05-16 01:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbe19a9…
05-16 00:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaa10e1…
05-16 00:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2734fa…
05-16 00:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xbf20f3…
05-16 00:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x141ad6…
05-16 00:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x60a03f…
05-15 22:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcd914b…
05-15 22:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x999ce5…
05-15 22:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5aa063…
05-15 21:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2e4880…
05-15 21:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xca6c05…
05-15 21:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x02141f…
05-15 21:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcd6341…
05-15 21:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdffd5e…
05-15 21:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xdc7ee8…
05-15 20:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa302be…
05-15 19:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x953bdd…
05-15 19:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x902869…
05-15 19:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfe446e…
05-15 19:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6dab6a…
05-15 19:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x804b9e…
05-15 18:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x127fa4…
05-15 18:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb06b47…
05-15 18:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaa3017…
05-15 18:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x31fb45…
05-15 18:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x015e6f…
05-15 18:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4e2e1c…
05-15 18:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe0bf3e…
05-15 18:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6de3a5…
05-15 18:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdf8788…
05-15 18:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8c7656…
05-15 18:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd07c46…
05-15 18:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9b98a0…
05-15 18:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbd800e…
05-15 18:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb73817…
05-15 18:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc523a8…
05-15 18:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd62cb2…
05-15 18:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x108327…
05-15 17:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5d72ba…
05-15 17:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xba1bc7…
05-15 17:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3d2bc5…
05-15 17:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x43e105…
05-15 17:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xefbab3…
05-15 17:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x054da0…
05-15 17:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x23bcd3…
05-15 17:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa127b5…
05-15 17:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc50173…
05-15 17:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x48b6d9…
05-15 17:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb746a8…
05-15 16:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x704b47…
05-15 16:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc06913…
05-15 16:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6398b9…
05-15 16:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaea04f…
05-15 15:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x28fabb…
05-15 15:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc0a59b…
05-15 15:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7274e0…
05-15 15:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x27a2fb…
05-15 15:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3f83af…
05-15 15:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x417a76…
05-15 15:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1c2d66…
05-15 14:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2408f9…
05-15 14:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf6ea6f…
05-15 14:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa5e015…
05-15 14:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2f5042…
05-15 14:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x999090…
05-15 14:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x85c19c…
05-15 14:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x360ab4…
05-15 14:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xeadbcc…
05-15 14:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8ea457…
05-15 14:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x345491…
05-15 14:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b180a…
05-15 14:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd67956…
05-15 14:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x213a97…
05-15 14:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd93a9d…
05-15 14:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb4923f…
05-15 14:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe7d593…
05-15 14:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3a12c8…
05-15 14:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3af2c5…
05-15 14:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3af57d…
05-15 13:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x49e8f8…
05-15 13:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5d67f9…
05-15 13:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc85da7…
05-15 13:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x24da9e…
05-15 13:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe042b0…
05-15 13:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5fac73…
05-15 13:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc3a527…
05-15 13:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0277a4…
05-15 13:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x71be44…
05-15 13:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0350d7…
05-15 13:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9d716b…
05-15 13:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8d5515…
05-15 11:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc42746…
05-15 10:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x73cbc6…