Chief-Guess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$113

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.4%

Resolved

Trades

149

lifetime

Volume

$4.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-15 02:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

61% 27% $-126

Sports

38% 55% +$13

Politics

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Wild vs. Avalanche	6	$265	199	199	+0	Avalanche	$-2	05-13 23:26
Tsitsipas vs. Machac: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	2	$189	103	103	+0	Over	+$17	05-07 15:41
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)	3	$139	83	83	+0	open	—	05-02 01:47
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	2	$130	118	118	+0	76ers	$-24	05-07 00:00
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria	2	$126	110	110	+0	Tatjana Maria	$-44	05-06 09:31
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer	2	$121	77	77	+0	Yes	+$33	05-06 21:44
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	2	$117	68	68	+1	open	—	04-28 16:45
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	2	$107	69	69	+0	open	—	05-13 20:58
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi	3	$105	93	54	+39	Matteo Arnaldi	$-29	05-08 03:00
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Sweden	2	$101	60	60	+0	open	—	05-28 20:57
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5	2	$101	59	59	+0	open	—	05-01 06:37
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5	2	$100	60	60	+0	Over	+$8	05-08 02:23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	2	$94	70	70	+0	Daniil Medvedev	$-1	05-11 02:24
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	2	$89	52	52	+0	open	—	04-28 19:30
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 4.5	1	$79	103	0	+103	open	—	05-02 01:58
Casper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 3.5	2	$78	62	62	+0	open	—	05-29 02:08
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockx	2	$77	47	47	+0	Alexander Blockx	+$15	05-07 13:01
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)	2	$76	46	46	+0	open	—	04-30 02:54
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	2	$75	51	50	+1	open	—	04-27 20:56
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5	2	$75	56	56	+0	Under	+$17	05-08 00:40
World Championships: Canada vs. USA	2	$75	41	41	+0	open	—	05-28 16:49
SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5	2	$70	42	42	+0	open	—	04-30 21:15
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	04-27 14:50
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5	2	$67	46	45	+1	open	—	04-28 03:46
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	2	$67	48	48	+0	open	—	04-29 03:48
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5	2	$64	41	41	+0	Over	+$18	05-11 01:10
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Kopriva	2	$63	36	36	+0	open	—	05-28 13:43
CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: Both Teams to Score	2	$61	53	53	+0	open	—	05-29 01:35
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	2	$59	53	53	+0	open	—	05-02 20:29
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$59	39	39	+0	open	—	04-29 20:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 02:16:03	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0xe5e6a2…
06-10 18:51:42	fif prt nga 2026 06 10 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x62f6cd…
06-10 18:50:15	wta bouzkov vekic 2026 06 10	Marie Bouzkova	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0xc570aa…
06-10 17:35:57	wta bouzkov vekic 2026 06 10	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0xf1d70b…
06-10 15:57:31	atp landalu fritz 2026 06 10	Taylor Fritz	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0xfcc197…
06-10 15:02:48	atp struff bublik 2026 06 10	Alexander Bublik	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0xf74e70…
06-10 10:43:25	atp struff bublik 2026 06 10	Alexander Bublik	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x46b0f0…
06-09 17:33:43	Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5)	Azerbaijan	BUY	31	62¢	$19	0x885650…
06-04 17:28:49	Spread: Czechia (-2.5)	Czechia	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x7b33d5…
06-04 14:30:34	wta kostyuk andreev 2026 06 04 set handicap home 1pt5	Andreeva	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc7c401…
06-04 10:22:54	wta kostyuk andreev 2026 06 04 set handicap home 1pt5	Andreeva	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x70edc5…
06-03 16:32:18	Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x63bc0b…
06-03 15:09:00	Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x770d8a…
06-02 18:13:27	Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	30	68¢	$21	0x6ee80b…
06-02 15:02:58	Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	51	58¢	$30	0xc63de5…
05-29 02:08:49	Casper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	SELL	62	62¢	$38	0x56b261…
05-29 01:43:37	Casper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0x3004a9…
05-29 01:35:39	CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	53	70¢	$37	0x9ab304…
05-28 23:22:06	CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	53	44¢	$23	0x796fbf…
05-28 20:57:42	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Sweden	Switzerland	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x9b3447…
05-28 17:07:20	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Sweden	Switzerland	BUY	60	68¢	$41	0x00ba31…
05-28 16:49:00	World Championships: Canada vs. USA	Canada	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x9094ed…
05-28 13:45:29	World Championships: Canada vs. USA	Canada	BUY	41	80¢	$33	0xa5b883…
05-28 13:43:54	Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	SELL	36	93¢	$33	0x47249f…
05-28 12:49:08	Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	BUY	36	81¢	$29	0x2eb918…
05-28 11:23:16	Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Wu (+1.5)	Cobolli	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0xd116a0…
05-28 05:07:53	Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Wu (+1.5)	Cobolli	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x903e01…
05-25 15:45:49	World Championships: Czechia vs. Norway	Czechia	BUY	31	42¢	$13	0x11c470…
05-25 14:45:32	World Championships: Czechia vs. Norway	Czechia	BUY	31	41¢	$13	0x8d46cf…
05-24 16:58:01	World Championships: Denmark vs. Italy	Denmark	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xe7ca15…
05-24 08:49:18	World Championships: Denmark vs. Italy	Denmark	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x342194…
05-21 20:59:28	World Championships: Denmark vs. Slovakia	Slovakia	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x7ffb18…
05-21 18:49:37	World Championships: Denmark vs. Slovakia	Slovakia	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xadb2db…
05-15 21:26:45	World Championships: USA vs. Switzerland	Switzerland	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xd99553…
05-15 16:24:14	World Championships: USA vs. Switzerland	Switzerland	BUY	37	60¢	$22	0x71d013…
05-13 23:26:32	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	SELL	37	66¢	$25	0xcec635…
05-13 23:15:24	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x7f612c…
05-13 23:14:47	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	SELL	60	66¢	$39	0x3db9dd…
05-13 22:27:34	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0xc24377…
05-13 22:26:41	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	SELL	102	66¢	$67	0xd764be…
05-13 21:00:53	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	102	67¢	$68	0x129933…
05-13 20:58:10	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x3e4af2…
05-13 17:33:20	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	69	55¢	$38	0x77877e…
05-12 17:25:52	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x451b41…
05-12 16:52:53	Spread: 1. FC Slovácko (-1.5)	1. FC Slovácko	BUY	47	81¢	$38	0x28caac…
05-11 02:24:24	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	70	67¢	$47	0x94229e…
05-11 02:05:02	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	70	68¢	$48	0x7f4a01…
05-11 01:54:27	Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x719f08…
05-11 01:31:17	Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xe6e8f6…
05-11 01:10:40	Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xa3d8f4…
05-10 21:06:54	Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	41	56¢	$23	0xc786ee…
05-10 20:23:02	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	49	48¢	$24	0x08ba2e…
05-10 19:57:44	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	49	60¢	$30	0x24f4c4…
05-09 00:51:04	Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x56f35d…
05-08 03:00:39	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi	Alex de Minaur	BUY	39	72¢	$28	0x42e453…
05-08 03:00:06	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi	Alex de Minaur	SELL	54	71¢	$38	0x7c6912…
05-08 02:56:27	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi	Alex de Minaur	BUY	54	72¢	$39	0xdac030…
05-08 02:26:21	Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0x8f81b1…
05-08 02:23:49	Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	60	90¢	$54	0x762ff0…
05-08 02:18:37	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Flyers	SELL	51	5¢	$3	0x835e19…
05-08 01:15:46	Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	60	77¢	$46	0xec53d7…
05-08 00:40:21	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5	Under	SELL	56	83¢	$46	0x2abb7b…
05-07 22:34:44	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	56	52¢	$29	0xda6ca7…
05-07 22:31:07	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xb23bb9…
05-07 15:41:46	Tsitsipas vs. Machac: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x9e2034…
05-07 13:10:39	Tsitsipas vs. Machac: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	103	83¢	$86	0xbd83ad…
05-07 13:01:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockx	Alexander Blockx	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0x8a2e7d…
05-07 11:45:47	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockx	Alexander Blockx	BUY	47	66¢	$31	0x83122f…
05-07 00:02:03	Spread: Knicks (-10.5)	76ers	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0x4b9020…
05-07 00:00:37	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Knicks	SELL	118	45¢	$53	0xe1928b…
05-06 21:45:12	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Knicks	BUY	118	65¢	$77	0xb4fccb…
05-06 21:44:30	Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xd94b4c…
05-06 15:59:45	Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	77	57¢	$44	0xb448d0…
05-06 09:49:46	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yannick Hanfmann	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	61	65¢	$40	0x994590…
05-06 09:31:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria	Magda Linette	SELL	110	37¢	$41	0x1bc928…
05-06 08:57:06	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria	Magda Linette	BUY	110	77¢	$85	0xc7a642…
05-05 21:13:24	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	86	65¢	$56	0x6f802d…
05-05 12:58:22	Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xf0df29…
05-02 22:06:10	Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	78	73¢	$57	0x894567…
05-02 20:29:18	Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	Flyers	SELL	53	56¢	$29	0x4b16e6…
05-02 20:23:58	Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	Flyers	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xfb7cbb…
05-02 01:58:52	Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	103	77¢	$79	0x99acce…
05-02 01:47:10	Spread: Lightning (-1.5)	Canadiens	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x8008b0…
05-02 00:41:04	Spread: Lightning (-1.5)	Canadiens	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0xe50a1c…
05-01 22:08:40	Spread: Lightning (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	83	71¢	$59	0x8d15e7…
05-01 06:37:36	Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xf53f67…
04-30 21:28:00	Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	59	71¢	$42	0x8e1056…
04-30 21:15:46	SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xad5fd3…
04-30 19:57:12	SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	42	67¢	$28	0xc93e29…
04-30 17:49:20	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x354472…
04-30 02:54:52	Spread: Lightning (-1.5)	Canadiens	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xa807f4…
04-29 21:31:04	Spread: Lightning (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x4155c5…
04-29 20:27:30	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x0c10e2…
04-29 18:09:56	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x56ec8e…
04-29 04:04:06	Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx	Casper Ruud	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0xbcb076…
04-29 03:48:48	Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	Over	SELL	48	80¢	$38	0x3355f5…
04-29 02:36:34	Bruins vs. Sabres	Bruins	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xa08dd5…
04-29 01:58:34	Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	48	61¢	$29	0xceea4f…
04-28 23:10:20	Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Lehecka	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x05f5a3…
04-28 21:24:02	Bruins vs. Sabres	Bruins	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x33e3c6…