Realized P&L
-$312.5K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
91.7%
Resolved
40
Trades
5,548
lifetime
Volume
$20.7M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3.74K
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 03-04 19:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Politics
56%
65%
-$358,859
Other
44%
93%
+$46,472
Crypto
0%
67%
-$129
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-04).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 737 | $3.34M | 3,377,264 | 2,222 | +3,375,042 | Yes | +$36,998 | 01-28 18:49 |
| fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 40 | $2.69M | 2,596,824 | 100,000 | +2,496,824 | No | +$2,497 | 01-28 18:48 |
| us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563 | 352 | $2.58M | 2,589,521 | 0 | +2,589,521 | No | +$10,605 | 02-24 05:23 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 158 | $2.25M | 1,745,238 | 508,400 | +1,236,838 | Yes | +$829 | 02-03 11:33 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 753 | $2.10M | 1,491,121 | 659,821 | +831,301 | Yes | +$39,382 | 03-04 19:07 |
| us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368 | 266 | $1.43M | 1,441,844 | 0 | +1,441,844 | No | +$16,664 | 02-27 04:32 |
| us strikes iran by february 22 2026 | 212 | $1.33M | 1,332,751 | 0 | +1,332,751 | No | +$7,239 | 02-23 05:51 |
| us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553 | 309 | $1.29M | 1,298,114 | 292 | +1,297,822 | No | +$10,212 | 02-21 03:43 |
| will trump talk to vladimir putin in january | 14 | $916.5K | 459,086 | 459,086 | +0 | No | -$150 | 02-03 08:39 |
| another us government shutdown by february 14 | 149 | $642.4K | 642,138 | 3,498 | +638,640 | No | +$502 | 02-15 05:25 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 210 | $433.7K | 432,858 | 428,161 | +4,697 | Yes | -$400,516 | 03-01 01:56 |
| us strikes iran by february 24 2026 | 44 | $396.1K | 400,336 | 0 | +400,336 | No | +$4,263 | 02-25 01:23 |
| us strikes iran by february 21 2026 | 33 | $215.5K | 218,218 | 0 | +218,218 | No | +$2,686 | 02-22 04:08 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 102 | $183.8K | 96,066 | 96,523 | -458 | No | +$4,746 | 01-31 19:51 |
| us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992 | 5 | $170.0K | 170,261 | 0 | +170,261 | No | +$284 | 02-20 03:40 |
| us strikes iran by february 25 2026 | 55 | $126.5K | 64,688 | 66,178 | -1,489 | No | +$2,093 | 02-25 04:38 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 60 | $126.4K | 55,555 | 74,732 | -19,177 | No | -$214 | 02-14 09:25 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 11 | $114.2K | 85,508 | 44,222 | +41,286 | Yes | -$33,687 | 02-27 17:25 |
| us strikes iran by february 27 2026 | 17 | $105.9K | 55,546 | 55,546 | +0 | No | -$188 | 02-26 21:32 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | 120 | $57.0K | 29,761 | 29,420 | +341 | No | +$804 | 01-30 05:03 |
| Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026? | 25 | $45.0K | 45,392 | 0 | +45,392 | No | +$396 | 02-16 18:06 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 6 | 13 | $40.6K | 42,092 | 0 | +42,092 | No | +$1,517 | 03-04 06:17 |
| will company k be accused of insider trading | 2 | $37.9K | 37,904 | 0 | +37,904 | No | +$38 | 02-26 13:43 |
| will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369 | 9 | $22.4K | 30,695 | 0 | +30,695 | No | +$8,306 | 02-24 16:16 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | 11 | $20.8K | 27,018 | 0 | +27,018 | Yes | -$20,846 | 02-27 18:56 |
| Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026? | 115 | $16.2K | 6,614 | 9,946 | -3,332 | No | +$295 | 02-28 04:36 |
| bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 11 | $12.4K | 12,528 | 0 | +12,528 | No | +$104 | 01-15 18:06 |
| will unitree robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 spring festival gala | 3 | $11.9K | 11,966 | 0 | +11,966 | Yes | +$25 | 02-16 12:30 |
| will coinbase be accused of insider trading | 2 | $7.9K | 7,899 | 0 | +7,899 | No | +$8 | 02-26 13:43 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | 15 | $4.7K | 3,333 | 3,333 | -0 | No | -$1,341 | 01-24 16:03 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||