Smoggy-Closure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

1,777

Trades

10,349

lifetime

Volume

$727.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 10-28 13:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 176 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% -$14,875

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 255 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	36	$10.0K	9,346	4,016	+5,330	Up	+$3,302	05-03 02:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 14:00 UTC	117	$9.0K	18,000	0	+18,000	Up	+$9,000	04-23 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9AM ET	27	$8.4K	5,648	5,648	+0	Down	+$2,635	10-16 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9AM ET	89	$8.0K	6,283	5,485	+798	Up	+$64	09-24 13:56
bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 1pm et	47	$7.6K	5,363	5,363	+0	Down	+$2,978	09-30 17:52
bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 8am et	11	$7.3K	4,933	4,933	+0	Up	+$2,504	09-30 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3PM ET	59	$6.5K	4,397	4,397	+0	Down	+$2,165	09-29 20:05
bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 12am et	27	$6.3K	4,398	4,398	+0	Down	+$2,417	09-30 04:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 11:15 UTC	54	$6.2K	3,952	3,840	+112	Up	+$1,514	04-21 11:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 13:45 UTC	2	$5.5K	8,391	0	+8,391	Down	-$5,460	04-23 13:44
bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 4am et	63	$5.4K	3,870	3,870	+0	Up	+$1,977	09-26 08:52
bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 4am et	26	$5.3K	3,705	3,705	+0	Down	+$2,094	09-29 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8AM ET	52	$5.2K	3,570	3,570	+0	Down	+$1,834	10-01 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8AM ET	7	$4.8K	3,313	3,313	+0	Up	+$1,647	09-20 13:00
bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 6pm et	29	$4.8K	3,200	3,200	+0	Down	+$1,597	07-16 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10AM ET	12	$4.8K	3,224	3,224	+0	Down	+$1,687	10-02 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9PM ET	31	$4.7K	3,447	3,447	+0	Down	+$1,130	09-30 02:00
bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 4am et	18	$4.7K	3,399	3,399	+0	Up	+$1,897	09-27 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET	4	$4.6K	3,079	3,079	+0	Down	+$1,522	10-16 15:01
bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 12pm et	110	$4.5K	3,022	3,022	+0	Up	+$1,462	08-20 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2PM ET	15	$4.3K	2,970	2,969	+0	Down	+$1,540	09-01 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9AM ET	39	$4.2K	3,285	3,285	+0	Up	+$2,219	10-01 13:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 07:15 UTC	45	$4.1K	2,583	2,509	+74	Down	+$933	04-17 07:26
bitcoin up or down september 1 2026 12am et	35	$4.0K	2,651	2,651	+0	Up	+$1,162	09-01 04:59
bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 11am et	59	$3.9K	2,581	2,581	+0	Up	+$1,215	09-26 15:58
bitcoin up or down august 31 2026 12pm et	5	$3.8K	2,560	2,560	+0	Up	+$1,247	08-31 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3PM ET	4	$3.8K	2,595	2,595	+0	Down	+$1,392	10-09 19:59
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	3	$3.6K	5,374	64	+5,310	Down	-$3,438	04-28 21:43
bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 11pm et	88	$3.5K	2,597	2,597	+0	Down	+$1,519	08-28 03:57
bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 11am et	35	$3.4K	2,330	2,330	+0	Down	+$1,183	09-27 15:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x9ba9d8…
10-28 13:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	51	50¢	$25	0x755ae5…
10-28 13:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xe8d51a…
10-28 13:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xdeb93e…
10-28 13:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa8427f…
10-28 13:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x70f7bc…
10-28 13:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x732695…
10-28 13:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0xfe89d1…
10-28 13:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xf0d15e…
10-28 13:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xcca211…
10-28 13:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0xbc5066…
10-28 13:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xaff479…
10-28 13:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x786301…
10-28 13:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x6c7a42…
10-28 13:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	35	50¢	$18	0xf72479…
10-28 13:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xaf2264…
10-28 13:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x97460b…
10-28 13:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x75bf83…
10-28 13:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x5d7f3b…
10-28 13:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x4eae18…
10-28 13:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x412f61…
10-28 13:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x352ad7…
10-28 13:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4500df…
10-28 13:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5d8aad…
10-28 13:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x98881c…
10-28 13:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8bbafd…
10-28 13:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa811c2…
10-28 13:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x25b390…
10-28 13:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd0f6b7…
10-28 13:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xc962c3…
10-28 13:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc50acd…
10-28 13:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x965d85…
10-28 13:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xf1a635…
10-28 12:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	1,148	52¢	$600	0xfbda74…
10-28 11:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	998	100¢	$997	0x246828…
10-28 10:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	998	50¢	$500	0xe3284a…
10-28 08:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	1,175	43¢	$500	0x88dd86…
10-28 05:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	1,133	53¢	$600	0xa4ff23…
10-28 05:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	781	51¢	$400	0x4f3d88…
10-28 05:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	367	38¢	$139	0x278884…
10-27 21:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	964	100¢	$959	0x0dd6bc…
10-27 21:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x8e1f22…
10-27 20:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x3b39b6…
10-27 20:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xaa2986…
10-27 19:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	1,100	55¢	$600	0x8a94e6…
10-27 19:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	917	42¢	$384	0xa6deca…
10-27 18:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	1,052	48¢	$500	0xca4ce8…
10-27 17:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x174800…
10-27 17:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xa9abd0…
10-27 17:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x8e9f4c…
10-27 17:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	853	50¢	$427	0x41aae0…
10-27 17:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1da0e1…
10-27 17:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xf9b7a2…
10-27 17:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xf5ffe0…
10-27 17:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xca394c…
10-27 17:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x94dddc…
10-27 17:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0x11b0bb…
10-27 16:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	1,125	44¢	$500	0xe441db…
10-27 13:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	1,148	44¢	$500	0x8d176e…
10-26 21:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	949	26¢	$250	0xe3cca0…
10-26 19:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	610	41¢	$250	0xe3bea1…
10-26 01:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	972	36¢	$345	0x084756…
10-24 20:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,098	46¢	$500	0x37bc84…
10-24 20:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,099	46¢	$500	0xb3736e…
10-24 16:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1,438	45¢	$653	0xddbcf8…
10-24 10:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,223	41¢	$500	0x376df6…
10-24 10:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,300	38¢	$500	0xab2d21…
10-23 20:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0xedface…
10-23 20:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xa9925f…
10-22 20:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x9c7c62…
10-22 20:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xcb3c1c…
10-22 20:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	111	5¢	$6	0xf46fb1…
10-22 20:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xc15b10…
10-22 20:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x46fba6…
10-22 20:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x2abe8e…
10-22 20:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	51	5¢	$3	0x5b5484…
10-22 20:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	53	5¢	$3	0xfe0db5…
10-22 20:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x00ad2d…
10-22 20:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0xbc4046…
10-22 20:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x2cf276…
10-22 20:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xb4626d…
10-22 20:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x1966ef…
10-22 20:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xfa2c24…
10-22 20:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	120	15¢	$18	0x98c06a…
10-22 20:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x933eba…
10-22 20:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x51caa0…
10-22 20:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	120	15¢	$18	0xee6564…
10-22 20:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	120	15¢	$18	0xe8a2b9…
10-22 20:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	120	15¢	$18	0xbe49ad…
10-22 20:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xf78b38…
10-22 20:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	120	15¢	$18	0x90bbdb…
10-22 20:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	86	15¢	$13	0x53821e…
10-22 20:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	31	15¢	$5	0x23d86f…
10-22 20:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	120	15¢	$18	0x8ab4df…
10-22 20:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xf1204f…
10-22 20:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	36	15¢	$5	0xdc1f6c…
10-22 20:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xd9fbee…
10-22 20:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0xadd699…
10-22 20:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0x20171a…
10-22 20:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xe00110…