Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$618

Unrealized P&L

+$105

Hit rate

11.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

$2.60K

4 positions

First seen

2026-07-03

last 10-27 04:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

83% 0% -$768

Tech

15% — —

Other

2% 100% +$150

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	+1,000	$760	88¢	$875	+$115	10-18 07:44
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$705	68¢	$685	-$20	10-17 16:25
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+1,000	$650	66¢	$655	+$5	10-17 16:13
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$380	38¢	$385	+$5	10-17 16:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 04:33:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	143	32¢	$46	0xf39e26…
10-27 04:33:20	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	41	32¢	$13	0x5bce65…
10-27 04:33:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	99	32¢	$32	0xefa447…
10-27 04:33:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xca5e80…
10-27 04:33:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0xb1afee…
10-27 04:33:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	64	32¢	$20	0x90d295…
10-27 04:33:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	69	32¢	$22	0x2ef394…
10-27 04:33:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x1c7eb3…
10-27 04:33:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	95	32¢	$30	0x19d686…
10-27 04:33:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	181	32¢	$58	0x0976dd…
10-26 22:28:14	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xad2a44…
10-26 22:28:14	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x888425…
10-26 01:47:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	14	32¢	$5	0x3ee8de…
10-26 01:47:05	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x28bb23…
10-25 12:24:36	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	187	36¢	$67	0xd2a600…
10-25 09:14:56	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x456fc2…
10-25 09:14:56	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	177	36¢	$64	0x250e18…
10-25 06:05:05	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x413a9e…
10-20 17:15:53	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x56dc45…
10-20 17:15:53	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x054a3d…
10-20 15:19:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0xe5d71a…
10-20 15:19:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	134	32¢	$43	0xb862a5…
10-20 15:19:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0xa22a34…
10-20 15:19:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xa171b9…
10-20 15:19:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	310	32¢	$99	0x9e407c…
10-20 15:19:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x4e57b4…
10-20 15:19:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x084587…
10-20 03:34:53	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	45	36¢	$16	0x356246…
10-18 22:56:41	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xac50c0…
10-18 22:56:41	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x825aa8…
10-18 22:56:39	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xc8fdbf…
10-18 22:56:39	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	65	26¢	$17	0x5c6f8e…
10-18 22:56:39	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	80	26¢	$21	0x2a568e…
10-18 22:56:39	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x115b32…
10-18 20:39:26	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	1,699	32¢	$544	0x43c827…
10-18 16:11:05	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x9618e2…
10-18 13:24:11	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x95320a…
10-18 10:15:59	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x564e6d…
10-18 08:47:02	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$13	0x5f0d90…
10-18 07:44:38	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	589	76¢	$448	0xc9417e…
10-18 06:00:39	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x088d7c…
10-18 04:22:53	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xe5019d…
10-18 01:51:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xf3f529…
10-17 21:20:26	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x070f53…
10-17 21:15:41	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	195	76¢	$148	0xe24359…
10-17 20:53:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xc3d9ef…
10-17 20:37:53	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	62	76¢	$48	0x5ddd2a…
10-17 19:26:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xefcde9…
10-17 19:26:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x5c9a16…
10-17 19:26:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	46	31¢	$14	0x229e48…
10-17 19:26:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0x129c9b…
10-17 19:18:29	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	44	76¢	$33	0xb890b0…
10-17 16:42:14	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	104	76¢	$79	0x22635d…
10-17 16:40:39	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	577	36¢	$208	0x778da6…
10-17 16:35:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	77¢	$768	0xb18bd6…
10-17 16:26:30	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	38¢	$190	0xcc4db0…
10-17 16:25:36	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0x622601…
10-17 16:13:08	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	500	65¢	$325	0x88d181…
10-17 16:12:18	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0x6ddf76…
10-17 16:05:20	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	206	31¢	$64	0x43ac23…
10-17 16:04:54	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	38¢	$190	0x2ccec3…
10-17 16:01:39	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	57	25¢	$14	0x83db1a…
10-17 16:00:42	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	500	65¢	$325	0xd65d61…
07-03 00:29:41	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x9f5db7…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	35	$1.1K	3,567	+3,567	open	—	10-27 04:33
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$768	1,000	+1,000	No	-$768	10-17 16:35
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	6	$760	1,000	+1,000	open	—	10-18 07:44
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$705	1,000	+1,000	open	—	10-17 16:25
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$650	1,000	+1,000	open	—	10-17 16:13
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	2	$380	1,000	+1,000	open	—	10-17 16:26
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	6	$360	1,000	+1,000	open	—	10-25 12:24
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	9	$103	404	+404	open	—	10-18 22:56
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	1	$100	250	+250	Yes	+$150	07-03 00:29