Giant-Variation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

30.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-06 08:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up		+3	$3	100¢	$3	+$0	05-06 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up		+1	$1	70¢	$1	$-0	05-06 08:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 08:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x16f0e4…
05-06 08:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xbf60fd…
05-06 08:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x26ad55…
05-06 07:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4493ec…
05-06 07:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x05a3d3…
05-06 07:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x7f6762…
05-06 06:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x24bc74…
05-06 01:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0x2fd4c4…
05-06 01:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0xc2c3b6…
05-06 01:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x458ccb…
05-06 01:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xcdd4e8…
05-05 03:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x047276…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	9	$2.27K	87	05-06 08:51
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	9	$1.18K	108	05-06 08:50
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	8	$2.29K	43	05-06 08:51
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	8	$1.10K	21	05-06 08:50
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	8	$789	74	05-06 08:50
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	7	$2.85K	14	05-06 08:15
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	7	$1.71K	23	05-06 08:50
Aromatic-Freedom 0xc547…7b30	7	$830	12	05-06 08:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	05-06 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$3	3	+3	open	—	05-06 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-06 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	3	$2	3	+3	Down	$-2	05-06 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$1	4	+4	open	—	05-06 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-06 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-06 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Up	+$0	05-05 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Down	$-1	05-06 01:44