Wiggly-Horse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

Trades

294

lifetime

Volume

$595

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 06-14 18:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 52% $-41

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-18 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$11	14	0	+14	Up	$-11	05-05 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-04 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-04 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	05-04 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-04 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$6	38	0	+38	Down	$-6	05-05 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	06-03 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$6	7	4	+4	open	—	05-20 11:48
btc updown 5m 1780566000	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	06-04 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-20 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$5	22	0	+22	Up	$-5	05-05 08:45
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	1	$5	0	23	-23	open	—	06-02 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	05-04 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-27 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-05 11:21
btc updown 5m 1780649100	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	06-05 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	05-04 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-27 21:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 18:37:36	btc updown 5m 1781462100	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8b36ff…
06-10 07:22:28	btc updown 5m 1781076000	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1e9a95…
06-10 07:13:00	btc updown 5m 1781075400	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xeb6a33…
06-09 20:16:16	btc updown 5m 1781036100	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa5332a…
06-09 18:37:09	btc updown 5m 1781030100	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xdbb377…
06-09 06:49:19	btc updown 5m 1780987500	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x915903…
06-09 06:48:13	btc updown 5m 1780987500	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf34936…
06-09 06:48:03	btc updown 5m 1780987500	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xb8a297…
06-09 06:46:12	btc updown 5m 1780987500	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xea4a87…
06-08 21:31:45	btc updown 5m 1780954200	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x65165c…
06-08 21:29:33	btc updown 5m 1780953900	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x3624bc…
06-08 21:26:04	btc updown 5m 1780953900	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x94acee…
06-08 21:22:42	btc updown 5m 1780953600	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5ffbce…
06-08 20:55:43	btc updown 5m 1780952100	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd60bda…
06-08 20:50:57	btc updown 5m 1780951800	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x82ea54…
06-05 18:36:12	btc updown 5m 1780684500	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x051be9…
06-05 18:33:46	btc updown 5m 1780684200	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x57b2ef…
06-05 17:03:58	btc updown 5m 1780678800	Up	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x357a8f…
06-05 17:00:36	btc updown 5m 1780678800	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x634ce8…
06-05 16:30:25	btc updown 5m 1780677000	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3d6fa2…
06-05 16:26:00	btc updown 5m 1780676700	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x6693ba…
06-05 11:11:28	btc updown 5m 1780657800	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x3da65b…
06-05 08:46:07	btc updown 5m 1780649100	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe5505d…
06-04 09:41:22	btc updown 5m 1780566000	Down	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xdb7a51…
06-04 09:33:16	btc updown 5m 1780565400	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xffcb7c…
06-04 08:00:46	btc updown 5m 1780560000	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa81a74…
06-04 07:55:18	btc updown 15m 1780559100	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2124c2…
06-04 07:40:34	btc updown 5m 1780558800	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x436335…
06-04 06:11:54	btc updown 5m 1780553400	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x8cc669…
06-04 05:55:58	btc updown 5m 1780552500	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x11482a…
06-04 05:36:28	btc updown 5m 1780551300	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x71a6e8…
06-04 05:25:51	btc updown 5m 1780550700	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x194496…
06-03 16:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xdd4f9d…
06-03 16:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe05359…
06-03 16:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc1a650…
06-03 16:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe02750…
06-03 16:41:00	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4c7332…
06-03 16:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x67a146…
06-03 16:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1992fc…
06-03 16:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x85bc82…
06-03 16:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xefe4d1…
06-03 11:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x124595…
06-03 11:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x02f213…
06-03 11:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0c54ff…
06-03 10:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x955a97…
06-03 10:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x4fd7ce…
06-03 10:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xed4bf0…
06-03 10:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x308db7…
06-03 10:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc9d6a8…
06-03 10:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa0844f…
06-03 10:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4a0390…
06-03 10:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x7adf9b…
06-02 18:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0c3e13…
06-02 18:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbcba2e…
06-02 18:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x572cbc…
06-02 18:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf4f061…
06-02 18:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9443bf…
06-02 18:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd2bb63…
06-02 06:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xecb88e…
06-02 04:11:30	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	SELL	23	23¢	$5	0xc5b356…
05-31 18:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x11c2e6…
05-31 18:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3a3df1…
05-31 18:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xc82f8b…
05-31 18:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xae0408…
05-31 17:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x76efa0…
05-31 11:00:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xcf1331…
05-31 11:00:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6032e3…
05-31 10:56:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8e0953…
05-31 10:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4a0c9f…
05-31 10:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1623e4…
05-30 11:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6a2bd6…
05-30 11:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x382f4f…
05-30 11:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x99c5b1…
05-30 11:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x1a41e3…
05-30 11:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xab7248…
05-30 11:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xa53dbe…
05-30 11:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xf24d33…
05-30 10:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x69b335…
05-30 10:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x803502…
05-30 10:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x543011…
05-30 10:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x167bcd…
05-30 10:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2b9be8…
05-28 06:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd381e5…
05-28 04:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfc1f08…
05-27 21:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x42a66f…
05-27 21:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xafbc7d…
05-27 21:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x513efa…
05-27 21:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xa4039d…
05-20 23:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xd669ed…
05-20 23:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd1752e…
05-20 19:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3f4737…
05-20 19:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x532542…
05-20 19:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0ed6bb…
05-20 13:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x88a8b9…
05-20 13:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x259aac…
05-20 13:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd11239…
05-20 13:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4917e8…
05-20 13:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe819ce…
05-20 11:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x417d03…
05-20 11:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x13bb48…