Untidy-Link — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14.4K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.1%

Resolved

2,268

Trades

4,868

lifetime

Volume

$33.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-27 01:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 223 days

Categories

Other

81% 63% +$10,759

Sports

7% 78% +$1,403

Politics

6% 77% +$1,310

Crypto

5% 4% +$790

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$124

Tech

0% 60% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on May 6?	5	$1.2K	1,273	1,338	-65	Yes	+$1,125	05-06 12:43
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?	6	$816	793	793	+0	Yes	+$760	06-15 19:29
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$761	751	830	-79	No	+$654	05-14 14:03
Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$657	636	722	-86	No	+$557	05-14 11:42
will france win the 2026 six nations championship	6	$583	618	618	-0	Yes	+$533	03-14 22:43
lol sr dsg 2026 07 26 game1 kill over 30pt5	7	$577	557	557	+0	Over	+$521	07-26 23:00
spx opens up or down on august 6 2026	5	$513	539	539	+0	Down	+$457	08-06 16:06
mlb sf tex 2026 08 03 total 6pt5	14	$489	522	522	+0	Under	+$452	08-04 03:00
chi xin ton 2026 08 01 total 2pt5	3	$486	525	525	+0	Under	+$458	08-02 13:54
ufc mar12 ale15 2026 08 01 go the distance	7	$428	437	437	+0	Yes	+$378	08-01 18:41
dota2 pari navi 2026 03 08 game2 kill over 45pt5	5	$359	375	375	+0	Over	+$339	03-08 17:04
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $345-$350 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 24 – Aug 28?	7	$329	339	339	+0	Yes	+$282	08-28 19:56
sclc ste liv 2026 07 25 btts	7	$325	309	309	+0	No	+$281	07-25 17:03
mlbb tlid dewa 2026 08 16	5	$296	311	311	+0	Team Liquid ID	+$276	08-16 08:20
Exact Score: Lions FC 2 - 2 Perth Glory FC?	8	$289	264	264	+0	No	+$219	07-21 11:34
cze1 fvp fsl 2026 07 25 total 2pt5	5	$283	277	277	+0	Over	+$227	07-25 16:36
mlb ari mia 2026 06 11 total 8pt5	7	$255	247	247	+0	Under	+$213	06-11 19:20
efa rt bri1 2026 08 22 first half team total home 0pt5	4	$238	241	241	+0	Under	+$196	08-22 16:27
dota2 pari navi 2026 03 08 game2 kill over 48pt5	3	$237	250	250	+0	Over	+$227	03-08 17:06
dota2 pari navi 2026 03 08 game2 kill over 47pt5	3	$237	250	250	+0	Over	+$227	03-08 17:06
dota2 pari navi 2026 03 08 game2 kill over 46pt5	5	$237	250	250	+0	Over	+$227	03-08 17:05
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A	2	$226	171	243	-72	Yellow Submarine	+$139	05-03 01:55
Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5	7	$220	192	192	+0	Under	+$164	08-31 20:31
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 29?	5	$201	173	173	+0	Yes	+$145	09-29 22:48
Vilnius FK Zalgiris vs. FC Hegelmann Kaunas: Vilnius FK Zalgiris 1st Half O/U 1.5	5	$199	173	173	+0	Under	+$143	10-18 15:15
Las Vegas Lights vs. Lexington SC: 1st Half O/U 4.5	7	$199	173	173	+0	Under	+$143	10-18 04:45
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 25?	5	$197	173	173	+0	Yes	+$141	10-26 06:11
Vilnius FK Zalgiris vs. FC Hegelmann Kaunas: 1st Half O/U 2.5	6	$190	173	173	+0	Under	+$134	10-19 01:51
cs2 regain emp2 2026 04 15 game1 odd even total rounds	2	$187	199	199	+0	Odd	+$171	04-16 00:14
amzn close above 255 on october 13 2026	6	$186	173	173	+0	Yes	+$130	10-13 16:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:50:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xbb2913…
10-27 01:34:33	EC Juventude vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0xd0589e…
10-26 23:31:53	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: Race to 10 Points	Timberwolves	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x159c79…
10-26 23:28:23	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: Race to 10 Points	Timberwolves	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x9e8bca…
10-26 17:51:35	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x1ce4ab…
10-26 15:17:09	FK Neftchi Fargona vs. Al-Ittihad Club: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0x035d27…
10-26 15:16:59	FK Neftchi Fargona vs. Al-Ittihad Club: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x30961b…
10-26 06:11:41	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 25?	Yes	SELL	173	98¢	$169	0x50902d…
10-26 05:58:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xab06c4…
10-25 22:49:17	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?	No	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x5494f6…
10-25 22:24:08	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x2bcdd8…
10-25 22:24:06	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?	No	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x2f145a…
10-25 19:59:39	Cavalry FC vs. Vancouver FC: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4fc3c8…
10-25 06:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 25?	No	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0x08acc4…
10-24 19:11:18	FC Zurich vs. FC Luzern: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x793285…
10-24 19:11:08	FC Zurich vs. FC Luzern: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x45c4fa…
10-24 18:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 24?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x9b8e26…
10-24 18:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 24?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0xa91a12…
10-24 18:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 24?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x73c8aa…
10-24 18:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 24?	No	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x3c1786…
10-24 17:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x04b69f…
10-24 12:47:29	Will IFK Varnamo win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xcd164e…
10-24 12:47:23	Will IFK Varnamo win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xb7c053…
10-24 10:49:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 24?	No	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0xc6bdd3…
10-24 10:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 24?	No	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xf8abc9…
10-24 00:21:29	Knicks vs. Celtics: Race to 10 Points	Celtics	SELL	34	90¢	$31	0x822b12…
10-23 23:43:53	Knicks vs. Celtics: Race to 10 Points	Celtics	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x9857a1…
10-23 13:48:32	Tianjin Pioneers vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions: O/U 185.5	Under	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0x6ef491…
10-23 08:23:41	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xa9ea38…
10-23 01:06:30	Atlético Nacional vs. AD Pasto: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	34	93¢	$32	0x2a26f7…
10-23 01:06:21	Atlético Nacional vs. AD Pasto: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xe1bfbb…
10-22 15:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 22?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xf96e77…
10-22 12:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xf8ca48…
10-22 12:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x43359a…
10-22 10:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 22?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x57a28b…
10-22 10:09:47	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 22?	No	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x573a0f…
10-22 05:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 22?	No	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x545159…
10-22 05:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x012c77…
10-21 12:51:14	Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)	Sinners	SELL	34	90¢	$31	0x079115…
10-21 12:51:06	Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)	Sinners	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xa2c33a…
10-21 12:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on October 21?	No	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0x4faca8…
10-21 12:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on October 21?	No	BUY	97	7¢	$7	0x35e530…
10-21 12:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on October 21?	No	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x399913…
10-21 08:31:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	78	90¢	$70	0x764d45…
10-21 08:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x219734…
10-19 22:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 19?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x627874…
10-19 14:12:38	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on October 19?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x5f408c…
10-19 13:49:14	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on October 19?	No	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x96d984…
10-19 13:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 19?	No	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x035186…
10-19 13:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 19?	No	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x12cf05…
10-19 01:51:59	Vilnius FK Zalgiris vs. FC Hegelmann Kaunas: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x86083e…
10-18 15:15:54	Vilnius FK Zalgiris vs. FC Hegelmann Kaunas: Vilnius FK Zalgiris 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	173	99¢	$171	0xfeebff…
10-18 15:15:48	Vilnius FK Zalgiris vs. FC Hegelmann Kaunas: Vilnius FK Zalgiris 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x39bf09…
10-18 15:15:47	Vilnius FK Zalgiris vs. FC Hegelmann Kaunas: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x509bcf…
10-18 15:15:33	Vilnius FK Zalgiris vs. FC Hegelmann Kaunas: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0x2164a6…
10-18 15:15:24	Vilnius FK Zalgiris vs. FC Hegelmann Kaunas: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0x9b7a1e…
10-18 05:25:48	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	26	90¢	$24	0x84f39d…
10-18 04:45:38	Las Vegas Lights vs. Lexington SC: 1st Half O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0xf88551…
10-18 04:41:44	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6f95f3…
10-18 04:41:44	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x3cf357…
10-18 04:41:42	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5f178a…
10-18 04:38:56	Las Vegas Lights vs. Lexington SC: 1st Half O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x478297…
10-18 03:58:35	Las Vegas Lights vs. Lexington SC: 1st Half O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x91fded…
10-18 03:58:03	Las Vegas Lights vs. Lexington SC: 1st Half O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0xade2df…
10-18 03:58:03	Las Vegas Lights vs. Lexington SC: Lexington SC 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0x5611cc…
10-18 03:57:54	Las Vegas Lights vs. Lexington SC: 1st Half O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0x9d86d8…
10-18 03:57:54	Las Vegas Lights vs. Lexington SC: Lexington SC 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0x62a85e…
10-17 14:54:17	Liverpool FC leading at halftime?	No	SELL	73	98¢	$71	0x47d614…
10-17 14:54:09	Liverpool FC leading at halftime?	No	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0x947634…
10-17 09:33:27	bkkbl won seo2 2026 10 17 total 171pt5	Over	SELL	34	90¢	$31	0x50c31f…
10-17 08:24:27	bkkbl won seo2 2026 10 17 total 171pt5	Over	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xd93018…
10-16 22:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 16?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x008416…
10-16 22:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 16?	No	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x9021e3…
10-16 15:02:57	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x341df1…
10-16 15:02:22	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xea6f4c…
10-16 12:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 16?	Yes	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x2f4574…
10-16 11:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 16?	Yes	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xb33c0b…
10-16 07:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x26a48d…
10-15 18:50:01	AC Sparta Praha vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Under	SELL	73	90¢	$66	0x6a01af…
10-15 18:49:31	AC Sparta Praha vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0xc09867…
10-15 00:31:25	usl1 gre spo 2026 10 14 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x816b21…
10-15 00:31:23	usl1 gre spo 2026 10 14 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xb93982…
10-15 00:31:23	usl1 gre spo 2026 10 14 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0x232b8d…
10-15 00:31:14	usl1 gre spo 2026 10 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x3f0de9…
10-14 18:49:52	Will Fortuna Dusseldorf win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0x1176eb…
10-14 18:49:51	Will Fortuna Dusseldorf win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x1d2d3f…
10-14 12:30:17	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in September?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x693e3f…
10-13 16:59:24	amzn close above 255 on october 13 2026	Yes	SELL	167	91¢	$153	0xb78795…
10-13 16:59:22	amzn close above 255 on october 13 2026	Yes	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xc0e87a…
10-13 16:59:16	amzn close above 255 on october 13 2026	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xf67a15…
10-13 16:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 13?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x0d4ed1…
10-13 16:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 13?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1f21d6…
10-13 10:31:13	Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xe6ae24…
10-13 10:31:13	Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0x979190…
10-11 20:06:42	Spread: Barcelona (-3.5)	Valencia	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x0f1b86…
10-11 20:00:09	Spread: Barcelona (-3.5)	Valencia	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x123f12…
10-11 14:07:55	Exact Score: Telstar 1963 0 - 1 ADO Den Haag?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf4dab1…
10-11 14:07:55	Exact Score: Telstar 1963 0 - 1 ADO Den Haag?	No	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0xa1b6b8…
10-11 14:07:48	Exact Score: Telstar 1963 0 - 1 ADO Den Haag?	No	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x02bf93…
10-11 08:00:06	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xbf4e52…