Excitable-Silica — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$116

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$5.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-07 00:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 56% +$87

Other

5% 0% $-24

Politics

2% 100% +$102

Tech

1% 0% $-50

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	5	$548	406	299	+107	Down	+$55	05-06 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$368	221	221	+0	Up	+$68	05-07 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$304	238	238	+0	Up	+$44	05-06 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$294	196	196	+0	Up	+$94	05-06 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$266	168	168	+0	Up	+$66	05-06 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$246	172	172	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	3	$236	198	143	+56	Down	+$26	05-06 22:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$232	236	217	+18	Up	+$12	05-06 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$229	130	130	+0	Down	+$29	05-06 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$224	196	196	+0	Up	+$24	05-06 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$185	264	91	+173	Down	$-116	05-07 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	3	$182	241	83	+157	Up	+$39	05-06 23:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	2	$176	1,153	1,153	+0	Yes	$-24	05-05 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$127	250	0	+250	Down	$-127	05-07 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	6	$111	114	114	+0	Up	+$79	05-06 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$110	297	0	+297	Down	$-110	05-07 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$100	167	0	+167	Up	$-100	05-06 23:32
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	1	$100	202	0	+202	Yes	+$102	04-26 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$100	148	0	+148	Down	$-100	05-07 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$89	60	60	+0	Down	+$29	05-06 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$82	53	53	+0	Up	+$22	05-06 23:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$81	105	105	+0	open	—	05-06 21:32
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by May 5?	1	$50	31,588	0	+31,588	Yes	$-50	05-04 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$43	36	36	+0	Up	+$23	05-06 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$41	36	36	+0	Down	+$29	05-06 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	5	$38	304	85	+219	Up	+$8	05-06 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$34	24	24	+0	Down	+$14	05-06 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$33	36	36	+0	Down	+$12	05-06 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$31	37	21	+17	Up	+$1	05-06 21:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$28	24	20	+4	Down	+$6	05-06 21:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 00:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	250	51¢	$127	0x32a744…
05-07 00:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x21455b…
05-07 00:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xf5b728…
05-07 00:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	221	99¢	$218	0x58fe29…
05-07 00:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	221	68¢	$150	0x31648a…
05-07 00:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0xb9b7aa…
05-07 00:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	91	38¢	$34	0xc6c99d…
05-07 00:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0xa81e45…
05-07 00:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x6e3fb0…
05-06 23:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	175	78¢	$137	0xbd7b93…
05-06 23:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	62	60¢	$38	0xd9d390…
05-06 23:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x357500…
05-06 23:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x939f87…
05-06 23:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x1397e7…
05-06 23:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xa69dcb…
05-06 23:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x384bfd…
05-06 23:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	196	99¢	$194	0xd4390b…
05-06 23:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	130	99¢	$129	0x280c70…
05-06 23:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x470f10…
05-06 23:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x58a251…
05-06 23:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xe44762…
05-06 23:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	83	38¢	$32	0x221508…
05-06 23:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0x22a0fe…
05-06 23:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x59723b…
05-06 23:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	168	99¢	$166	0x683b0e…
05-06 23:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	168	60¢	$100	0x3501c8…
05-06 23:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	196	63¢	$124	0x2efd07…
05-06 23:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x0c5e49…
05-06 23:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	127	99¢	$125	0x8acc27…
05-06 23:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x72949a…
05-06 23:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xb7856a…
05-06 23:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x73b1b2…
05-06 23:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x3a290b…
05-06 23:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x5107cf…
05-06 23:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3,242	0¢	$5	0x8573cd…
05-06 22:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xaeb8f4…
05-06 22:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	143	86¢	$123	0x9ff393…
05-06 22:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xbee78c…
05-06 22:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	156	80¢	$125	0x24ae92…
05-06 22:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x835e60…
05-06 22:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x63098e…
05-06 22:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x4174fc…
05-06 22:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	29	29¢	$9	0xef310e…
05-06 22:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x40897d…
05-06 22:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	56	26¢	$14	0x192f34…
05-06 22:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	143	92¢	$131	0x2b9d69…
05-06 22:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x1dd9e4…
05-06 22:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x0d422d…
05-06 22:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x01586c…
05-06 22:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	217	56¢	$122	0x0b657c…
05-06 22:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xe4edda…
05-06 22:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x206570…
05-06 22:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xed68bd…
05-06 22:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x94af14…
05-06 22:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xef968f…
05-06 22:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	21	40¢	$8	0x6e6951…
05-06 22:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x4df580…
05-06 22:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xdab4ed…
05-06 22:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xd01092…
05-06 22:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xb56c76…
05-06 22:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x294b0b…
05-06 22:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0x71a794…
05-06 22:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x36db4e…
05-06 22:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x291716…
05-06 22:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	21	17¢	$4	0xe772d0…
05-06 22:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x5ec1db…
05-06 21:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x1a58d3…
05-06 21:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x625473…
05-06 21:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7fce1b…
05-06 21:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x677663…
05-06 21:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0x7226fd…
05-06 21:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x71b99d…
05-06 21:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x507cd0…
05-06 21:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	19	76¢	$14	0x26cb72…
05-06 21:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x5bc38c…
05-06 21:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x84eedb…
05-06 21:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x381ad4…
05-06 21:39:55	Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x6028e5…
05-06 21:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	21	79¢	$16	0x0249ff…
05-06 21:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x866836…
05-06 21:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x6f61c9…
05-06 21:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xb1682f…
05-06 21:32:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	105	58¢	$61	0x0d25ee…
05-06 21:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x637dbb…
05-06 21:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x0beff8…
05-06 21:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7dd060…
05-06 20:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0bfc73…
05-06 20:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7ed8b6…
05-06 20:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x9eacd3…
05-06 19:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xf0dd63…
05-06 19:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x736a6d…
05-06 19:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xd21da3…
05-06 19:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2bde89…
05-06 19:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	25	65¢	$17	0x929622…
05-06 19:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xcf3589…
05-06 19:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0xdf734c…
05-06 19:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb463ae…
05-06 19:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0xc73bce…
05-06 19:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe61059…
05-06 19:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf72503…