Wide-Eyed-Reliability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$120

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

213

Trades

492

lifetime

Volume

$1.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-22 20:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 55% -$63

Other

9% 19% -$47

Politics

9% 12% -$13

Sports

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	4	$63	109	38	+71	Up	-$7	10-11 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$52	27	27	+0	Up	+$2	10-11 11:01
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$49	33	33	+0	No	+$8	10-08 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$48	34	34	+0	Down	+$18	10-11 10:44
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$39	69	69	+0	No	-$1	10-09 07:55
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$33	466	452	+14	No	-$12	03-31 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$26	17	17	+0	Down	+$7	10-11 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$25	62	0	+62	Down	-$25	10-11 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$25	15	15	+0	Up	+$5	10-11 11:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$25	59	39	+20	No	-$5	05-13 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	7	$24	19	19	+0	Down	+$2	10-21 11:18
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$22	47	47	+0	No	+$2	03-27 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	10-11 15:49
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$20	25	25	+0	Yes	$0	03-29 01:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	8	$20	17	12	+5	Down	$0	10-22 20:24
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	2	$19	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	10-01 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	6	$19	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	10-20 07:23
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$19	4,637	0	+4,637	No	-$19	10-09 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$19	14	14	+0	Down	+$9	10-12 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$18	7	13	-7	Down	+$1	10-12 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$17	11	11	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	5	$17	234	34	+200	Up	+$1	10-21 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	8	$17	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	10-21 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:05 UTC	4	$16	16	16	+0	Down	+$5	10-14 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:55 UTC	5	$16	140	40	+100	Up	+$2	10-14 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	4	$16	11	6	+6	Up	-$4	10-12 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	10-12 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	4	$14	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	10-12 00:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:35 UTC	4	$14	24	24	+0	Down	+$6	10-14 05:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:35 UTC	4	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 02:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 20:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x83b75b…
10-22 20:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xa16457…
10-22 20:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x756950…
10-22 20:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xb2d89e…
10-22 20:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x8eaa93…
10-22 20:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	82¢	$3	0x9420c4…
10-22 20:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x0575f6…
10-22 20:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xef37cc…
10-22 20:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x6cb442…
10-22 20:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf74d12…
10-22 20:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$3	0x650cad…
10-22 20:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf03385…
10-22 20:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd1b391…
10-22 20:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x17714f…
10-22 20:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x439a46…
10-22 20:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x21fe59…
10-22 20:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5bd827…
10-22 20:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x626769…
10-22 20:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x57b528…
10-22 04:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xe46126…
10-22 04:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x51bd7f…
10-22 04:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6632c5…
10-22 04:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$2	0xedf025…
10-22 04:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x99037f…
10-21 11:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xa888ae…
10-21 11:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xbd8907…
10-21 11:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x0b472c…
10-21 11:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x95dff2…
10-21 11:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x434d75…
10-21 11:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xdd6f43…
10-21 11:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0xbd645d…
10-21 11:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1977f6…
10-21 11:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xf52bf0…
10-21 11:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xfdff22…
10-21 11:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xac6b9b…
10-21 11:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf00e1b…
10-21 11:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xfe45f1…
10-21 11:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x7bba2e…
10-21 11:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa830aa…
10-21 11:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x6e0608…
10-21 11:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9db3a6…
10-21 11:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x604392…
10-21 11:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0f2fc3…
10-21 11:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x0e4f5a…
10-21 10:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x46aafd…
10-21 10:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x75b1dd…
10-21 10:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x8c74bb…
10-21 10:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xaf373f…
10-21 10:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x766595…
10-21 10:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x920ab9…
10-21 10:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xa6547a…
10-21 10:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc8b98d…
10-21 10:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x294d8f…
10-21 10:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5168e4…
10-21 10:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x781c03…
10-21 10:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xe83785…
10-21 08:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xe5aca9…
10-21 08:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x5a00da…
10-21 08:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xa4fceb…
10-21 08:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x97b277…
10-21 08:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x6577d5…
10-21 08:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x010a86…
10-21 08:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x9f14b0…
10-21 08:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7e05bd…
10-21 08:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xc76f4b…
10-21 08:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7d7d08…
10-21 08:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xf2c39f…
10-21 08:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0d0c37…
10-21 08:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xad4f17…
10-21 08:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x765eb1…
10-21 07:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x452d6a…
10-21 07:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xe5d918…
10-21 07:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe167e9…
10-21 07:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xbe303b…
10-21 07:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xce1046…
10-21 07:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x99f535…
10-21 07:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0x56d2b4…
10-21 07:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x93f225…
10-21 07:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x0bc409…
10-21 07:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x025ce5…
10-21 07:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x784d47…
10-21 07:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x5eff39…
10-21 07:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xc59825…
10-21 07:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0xedbb09…
10-21 07:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xa37b20…
10-21 06:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa50362…
10-21 06:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa025d0…
10-21 06:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x87a687…
10-21 06:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4cdacc…
10-21 06:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x2919d2…
10-21 06:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf43a41…
10-21 06:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xfb1a50…
10-21 06:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x61cb51…
10-21 06:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xce28e3…
10-21 06:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x4440e7…
10-21 06:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd75d2a…
10-21 05:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0xf95d24…
10-21 05:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xee0846…
10-21 05:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0xbb2f5d…
10-21 05:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9fdf7c…