Informal-Stylus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$606

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.4%

Resolved

378

Trades

1,505

lifetime

Volume

$23.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-24

last 06-17 16:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

39% 58% -$237

Other

37% 44% -$283

Politics

15% 21% -$175

Tech

7% 25% -$13

Sports

2% 67% +$103

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	110	$1.7K	1,776	1,776	+1	Yes	-$14	06-13 07:58
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	24	$877	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$3	06-11 22:04
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	33	$765	771	771	+0	open	—	06-13 13:58
will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	11	$502	500	500	+0	open	—	06-13 16:42
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	12	$383	600	600	+0	open	—	06-13 13:59
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	24	$352	359	359	+0	Yes	-$11	06-17 16:50
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?	9	$342	469	169	+300	No	-$12	06-14 03:08
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	13	$300	302	302	+0	open	—	06-17 16:51
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	14	$289	308	308	+0	Yes	-$19	06-15 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	6	$284	321	84	+238	Up	-$28	05-31 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	8	$278	219	219	+0	Down	-$22	05-31 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	5	$255	274	160	+114	Down	-$95	05-31 02:34
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	6	$247	260	260	+0	open	—	06-13 13:35
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?	11	$233	408	408	+0	No	-$33	06-14 06:30
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?	18	$231	294	294	+0	No	+$1	06-17 16:50
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?	14	$230	175	147	+28	open	—	06-17 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	5	$228	135	135	+0	Up	+$28	05-31 03:14
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	19	$227	194	194	+0	No	-$5	06-10 23:59
will spencer pratt concede by june 15 20260608151037170	23	$213	298	298	+0	No	-$23	06-12 01:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	6	$213	147	147	+0	Up	+$13	05-31 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	6	$208	167	167	+0	Up	+$8	05-31 04:20
ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	9	$208	180	180	+0	open	—	06-13 07:58
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	8	$207	200	195	+5	No	-$8	06-12 07:20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	5	$206	146	146	+0	No	+$2	06-14 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$205	131	131	+0	Up	+$55	05-31 00:00
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	5	$196	126	126	+0	open	—	06-17 16:50
Will Love Island USA be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	10	$185	188	188	+0	No	-$30	06-10 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	6	$183	421	421	+0	Down	+$33	05-31 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	5	$179	126	126	+0	Up	+$29	05-30 22:09
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?	8	$178	230	230	+0	No	-$15	06-13 19:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 16:51:16	Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xa50a50…
06-17 16:51:13	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0xc4d133…
06-17 16:51:13	Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	No	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x861890…
06-17 16:51:10	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x526628…
06-17 16:51:05	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xda7927…
06-17 16:51:02	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x5b504b…
06-17 16:50:58	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x6d3348…
06-17 16:50:55	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x3c90b3…
06-17 16:50:52	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x2ef5d0…
06-17 16:50:46	Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xfcc781…
06-17 16:50:43	Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0xb0ece9…
06-17 16:50:43	Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0xacdb81…
06-17 16:50:37	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x7ad21b…
06-17 16:50:22	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x8ec8e3…
06-17 16:50:14	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?	Yes	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x6555b7…
06-17 16:48:17	Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xde9fce…
06-17 16:48:17	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x068c7f…
06-17 16:48:16	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xe4ce7e…
06-17 16:48:16	Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x355ef7…
06-17 16:48:14	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xbc444c…
06-17 16:48:13	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x6ea8f5…
06-17 16:48:13	Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	Yes	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x6a953c…
06-17 16:48:13	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x594d86…
06-17 16:48:11	Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Yes	SELL	69	72¢	$49	0xea4c94…
06-17 16:48:11	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x5f265f…
06-17 16:48:10	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?	No	SELL	99	77¢	$76	0x54e50a…
06-17 12:36:34	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?	No	SELL	8	78¢	$7	0x2a6e7a…
06-17 12:35:56	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?	No	SELL	8	78¢	$7	0x711636…
06-16 16:27:05	Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?	Yes	SELL	23	36¢	$8	0xf3c82b…
06-16 13:06:01	Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0xdabdc8…
06-16 11:30:57	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?	No	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0x2cdf4e…
06-16 11:21:12	Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?	Yes	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0x7f7273…
06-16 10:26:40	Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf9402e…
06-16 10:26:39	Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xe27550…
06-16 10:26:39	Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x7899c9…
06-16 06:13:13	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x51ef6f…
06-16 06:13:13	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x51ef6f…
06-16 01:23:18	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	SELL	45	41¢	$18	0xff15f4…
06-16 00:57:04	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	17	51¢	$9	0x1971a6…
06-16 00:53:16	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	48	73¢	$35	0x12bd55…
06-16 00:53:15	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0xfd20e6…
06-16 00:19:40	Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x97c159…
06-15 21:17:48	Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xa8a9f2…
06-15 21:17:24	Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xce9a02…
06-15 21:17:10	Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0xcf1d95…
06-15 21:13:27	Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x1b15f6…
06-15 21:12:36	Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	105	53¢	$56	0xc473f2…
06-15 21:12:28	Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xf63925…
06-15 21:12:28	Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0x6fa01e…
06-15 21:12:27	Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xe7564a…
06-15 21:07:58	Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x2bc2ba…
06-15 21:07:54	Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	118	66¢	$78	0x23ac8f…
06-15 21:07:54	Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	35	34¢	$12	0x23ac8f…
06-15 19:53:33	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	91	12¢	$11	0xae723e…
06-15 19:43:28	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	159	12¢	$19	0xdd930c…
06-15 19:43:27	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	91	13¢	$12	0x68e980…
06-15 19:35:33	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0xc48db1…
06-15 19:25:45	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa33163…
06-15 13:51:39	Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	No	SELL	53	16¢	$8	0x79c95a…
06-15 13:44:01	Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	No	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x35de9a…
06-15 13:41:34	Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	No	SELL	69	17¢	$12	0x4fe079…
06-15 13:40:25	Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	No	BUY	128	20¢	$26	0x0bea41…
06-15 11:24:28	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1911b6…
06-15 11:18:57	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x753586…
06-15 07:54:24	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?	No	BUY	123	78¢	$96	0x6ff145…
06-15 07:31:12	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x683930…
06-15 06:19:03	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0x6a2780…
06-15 05:23:54	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x5be440…
06-15 04:27:40	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	27	75¢	$20	0x7bc2bf…
06-15 04:14:51	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	SELL	148	39¢	$58	0x0e5aa0…
06-15 03:25:40	Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	70	32¢	$22	0xc06cf0…
06-15 02:18:55	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4c2ae6…
06-15 01:13:45	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	111	15¢	$17	0xc5908b…
06-15 01:06:31	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	48	16¢	$8	0x3de5c3…
06-14 23:32:51	Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	140	31¢	$43	0xd5338a…
06-14 23:21:01	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	102	76¢	$78	0x4b0855…
06-14 21:40:33	Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x2f19d7…
06-14 20:19:16	Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Yes	BUY	69	74¢	$51	0x6484d2…
06-14 19:42:27	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	149	46¢	$68	0x4f0e34…
06-14 19:09:13	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xa033bb…
06-14 18:45:36	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xd0018d…
06-14 18:26:00	Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	No	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0x9577b8…
06-14 18:04:58	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0x9c63f9…
06-14 16:14:01	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x166cc6…
06-14 15:42:04	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	75	75¢	$56	0xafb9c5…
06-14 15:30:27	Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	No	SELL	34	59¢	$20	0xae0fff…
06-14 14:37:16	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	34	52¢	$18	0xc6dfce…
06-14 14:33:12	will trump speak to elon musk in june	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xc0cabd…
06-14 14:29:30	Will anyone say "Clone" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xe2b6c8…
06-14 13:50:58	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x8b40d7…
06-14 13:50:09	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	99	49¢	$49	0xeb0984…
06-14 13:50:09	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	BUY	81	51¢	$41	0xeb0984…
06-14 13:49:15	Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	No	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0xae3fad…
06-14 12:47:36	Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	SELL	101	4¢	$4	0x78f046…
06-14 12:46:06	Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x742ff5…
06-14 12:45:13	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0x96076c…
06-14 12:44:10	will anyone say clone during rick and morty e4 s9 20260609185832873	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x340d05…
06-14 12:44:04	will anyone say clone during rick and morty e4 s9 20260609185832873	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf041d8…
06-14 12:43:57	will anyone say clone during rick and morty e4 s9 20260609185832873	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x37375b…
06-14 12:43:45	will anyone say clone during rick and morty e4 s9 20260609185832873	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xd786d3…