Even-Seabass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

439

Trades

824

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-19 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Other

75% 81% -$4

Crypto

18% 83% +$1

Politics

5% 75% +$0

Sports

1% 50% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 26?	5	$98	49	49	+0	No	$0	07-26 03:19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or below on July 25?	4	$91	46	46	+0	No	$0	07-25 03:48
ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	7	$89	44	44	+0	No	$0	07-23 03:45
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	5	$74	37	37	+0	No	+$0	07-22 13:16
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-19 17:40
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-28 09:41
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-21 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 27?	3	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-26 19:48
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 19?	6	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-19 11:30
ethereum above 1600 on july 28 2026	2	$66	33	33	+0	Yes	$0	07-27 10:45
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on July 21?	4	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-21 03:53
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 79°F or below on July 20?	3	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-20 20:16
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 21?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-21 14:34
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 29?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-29 14:05
will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-19 17:42
ethereum above 1700 on july 30 2026	3	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	07-30 02:57
bitcoin above 58k on july 24 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	07-23 19:34
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on July 24?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-24 04:55
xrp above 1pt3 on july 25 2026	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-25 10:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 27?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-26 11:03
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C or higher on July 26?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-25 23:46
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-21 09:07
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-31 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 24?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-24 18:19
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 12?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	10-12 12:25
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-31 13:33
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on July 21?	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-21 08:13
will bitcoin dip to 60k july 20 26 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-26 19:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 26?	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-25 23:07
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or below on July 21?	2	$51	25	25	+0	No	$0	07-20 11:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 16:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 20?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x518548…
10-18 20:21:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1416b5…
10-16 14:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf02d23…
10-13 04:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 13?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x316bd1…
10-13 01:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7eb4b7…
10-12 12:25:29	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 12?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xd672b1…
10-12 05:38:30	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 12?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0a0e83…
10-12 04:55:21	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6dddef…
10-12 04:53:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x825d26…
10-12 03:03:21	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x730326…
10-11 22:56:02	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 12?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6807ce…
10-11 20:51:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4a36d2…
10-10 01:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on October 10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x4a6586…
10-05 09:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdbad6b…
10-02 02:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on October 2?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x42ca2d…
10-01 22:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32b9c4…
10-01 05:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on October 1?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8f18b1…
09-28 04:11:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on September 28?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x6349cd…
09-27 22:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 28?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0580a0…
09-23 21:57:26	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 89°F or below on September 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa690d…
09-23 03:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 23?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd85599…
09-23 02:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xb0129e…
09-23 02:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on September 23?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xd25374…
09-22 21:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 23?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0b9a8d…
09-21 19:44:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xab048e…
09-18 01:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 18?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xaadbbe…
09-17 16:04:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x98e8ee…
09-13 05:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa5d218…
09-11 21:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 11?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc902c1…
09-11 03:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 11?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x776981…
09-10 19:34:13	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xae0b45…
09-07 14:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf78b2…
09-07 12:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C or higher on September 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa713bc…
09-06 07:40:55	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xeda63c…
09-05 22:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or higher on September 6?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x535ada…
09-05 05:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbac548…
09-05 03:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x64c066…
09-04 21:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on September 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0a540b…
09-04 19:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x89502c…
09-04 18:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 5?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xf14e4b…
09-04 10:39:49	Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x82e92d…
09-04 05:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x363571…
09-03 15:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0c8cca…
09-03 11:31:07	Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #1 US song this week?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x82b555…
09-03 03:46:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcbb5cd…
09-02 14:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x02885a…
09-02 11:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on September 2?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x75adb3…
09-02 06:00:52	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on September 2?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x6aeb48…
09-01 13:48:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 1?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x04cca2…
09-01 05:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 1?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8644f2…
08-31 04:39:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbffc77…
08-31 02:23:48	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd5f1ba…
08-30 18:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 31?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x82c5cc…
08-30 15:59:48	Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x73711d…
08-30 01:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x71f9b4…
08-29 19:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x94c638…
08-29 09:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x46f115…
08-29 08:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8e8ff4…
08-28 18:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2c0ad2…
08-27 09:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2ba5a…
08-27 06:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4da3ea…
08-27 01:30:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8ca7b9…
08-26 19:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xffea2e…
08-26 17:15:39	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 27?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0xbaccba…
08-25 14:08:15	ethereum above 2600 on august 25 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x797371…
08-25 12:44:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd14ef1…
08-25 06:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x41f909…
08-24 22:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7867c7…
08-24 20:20:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9000a5…
08-24 08:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x703787…
08-24 01:32:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4eb09a…
08-23 19:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 24?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7b9a94…
08-23 17:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on August 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2437e6…
08-14 07:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfdf682…
08-13 18:27:31	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 13	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb6d45c…
08-13 16:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 14?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb0e111…
08-13 10:13:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbc2f98…
08-13 07:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6258eb…
08-12 22:40:43	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb95217…
08-12 06:30:42	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80ce54…
08-12 02:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C or higher on August 12?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbabf0e…
08-12 01:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x22a6d8…
08-11 20:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x0617aa…
08-11 14:08:06	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x717bf6…
08-10 22:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 11?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x006eb0…
08-10 19:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 11?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x042fe1…
08-10 14:05:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x61d333…
08-10 11:34:36	Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x20cea8…
08-09 13:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 10?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xab5af0…
08-09 07:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x62fe4f…
08-09 05:15:54	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x649138…
08-09 02:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 9?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8b1669…
08-08 17:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe9ddf6…
08-08 03:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0xc469ea…
08-08 00:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x192d9b…
08-07 21:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0xf2b116…
08-07 14:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9b5499…
08-07 13:20:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 7?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x531ef3…
08-07 07:46:25	will nvda dip to 192 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x4a2062…
08-06 08:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf3b491…