Nimble-Harmonica — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20.3K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

4,768

Trades

44,243

lifetime

Volume

$367.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-27 02:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 140 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 42% +$20,725

Other

0% 29% -$419

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 340 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	86	$2.0K	1,739	1,270	+469	Down	+$544	05-08 23:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 12:10 UTC	39	$1.3K	838	835	+3	Down	+$334	03-29 12:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 11:25 UTC	60	$965	844	808	+36	Up	+$574	03-12 11:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 10:30 UTC	94	$909	2,520	0	+2,520	Up	+$1,611	03-14 10:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 03:45 UTC	54	$857	1,367	0	+1,367	Down	-$857	03-27 03:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:15 UTC	65	$778	1,408	0	+1,408	Up	+$630	03-27 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 05:45 UTC	58	$763	1,029	0	+1,029	Down	-$763	03-27 05:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:40 UTC	48	$691	1,623	0	+1,623	Up	-$691	03-24 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 04:40 UTC	42	$678	1,056	0	+1,056	Down	-$143	03-27 04:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 06:55 UTC	9	$673	1,291	0	+1,291	Up	-$54	06-18 07:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 07:55 UTC	33	$664	546	542	+4	Up	+$285	03-13 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	38	$651	858	157	+701	Down	-$114	05-10 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	38	$646	1,187	60	+1,127	Down	-$70	05-08 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:35 UTC	38	$632	1,175	0	+1,175	Down	+$543	03-24 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	33	$629	371	453	-82	Down	+$177	04-30 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	22	$625	1,226	0	+1,226	Up	-$625	10-03 22:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 02:50 UTC	39	$622	1,625	0	+1,625	Up	-$622	03-28 02:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 19:20 UTC	30	$622	419	415	+4	Up	+$189	03-08 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 03:50 UTC	44	$621	881	0	+881	Down	+$260	03-27 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	35	$616	403	402	+1	Down	+$173	05-01 22:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 02:30 UTC	30	$593	811	0	+811	Down	+$218	03-27 02:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 19:00 UTC	43	$592	563	380	+183	Down	+$237	03-28 19:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 09:50 UTC	40	$584	1,060	0	+1,060	Up	-$402	03-28 09:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:50 UTC	56	$584	1,081	0	+1,081	Down	+$37	03-27 01:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 23:45 UTC	22	$580	437	436	+1	Up	+$212	03-10 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 02:45 UTC	55	$575	1,389	0	+1,389	Down	-$575	03-28 02:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 05:15 UTC	12	$569	368	364	+4	Up	+$127	03-10 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	33	$552	1,028	0	+1,028	Up	-$294	05-10 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 04:20 UTC	58	$551	1,185	0	+1,185	Down	+$633	03-27 04:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 02:20 UTC	58	$548	976	0	+976	Down	+$427	03-27 02:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 02:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xe1de61…
10-27 02:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x4ad233…
10-27 02:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x623679…
10-27 02:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x1f4b35…
10-26 23:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xe1b4c2…
10-26 17:35:29	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x05a33b…
10-26 09:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x2d9aed…
10-26 07:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x5a0972…
10-25 21:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xadb937…
10-25 21:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0x23b3ba…
10-25 21:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x35a9d3…
10-25 21:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	37	4¢	$1	0x95c0a0…
10-25 21:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0xe2a23f…
10-25 21:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xdd6d35…
10-25 21:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x795112…
10-25 21:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x2d3d5d…
10-25 21:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xa2b246…
10-25 21:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc5e329…
10-25 21:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xbe77a2…
10-25 21:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x13a816…
10-25 21:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x849f7b…
10-25 21:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x73b233…
10-25 21:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x2d5f92…
10-25 21:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x7ca944…
10-25 21:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x73add5…
10-25 21:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x774b7e…
10-25 21:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xddc0f0…
10-25 21:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6633bd…
10-25 21:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x866bb7…
10-25 21:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x7b0c20…
10-25 21:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xdd420c…
10-25 21:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb5afc7…
10-25 21:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xa98ed8…
10-25 21:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xdf2626…
10-25 21:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x6da818…
10-25 21:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xe8da33…
10-25 21:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x0a131b…
10-25 21:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x69695d…
10-25 21:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xc4edcd…
10-25 21:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc8796b…
10-25 21:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x0093ba…
10-25 21:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xec5585…
10-25 21:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xda5ce6…
10-25 20:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xd9fb8f…
10-25 20:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9ace61…
10-25 20:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xc06fd3…
10-25 20:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x126062…
10-25 20:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x5e2556…
10-25 20:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x08a295…
10-25 20:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x63912b…
10-25 20:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xcd29ad…
10-25 20:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9198b9…
10-25 20:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x8fdb3a…
10-25 20:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x1e6b3c…
10-25 20:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x7103da…
10-25 20:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xf51f61…
10-25 20:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x4b36b1…
10-25 20:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xcf0600…
10-25 20:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x9327cc…
10-25 20:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x1829af…
10-25 20:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa8464a…
10-25 20:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x603e4a…
10-25 20:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xff8f16…
10-25 20:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x422f8a…
10-25 20:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x86d6fa…
10-25 20:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xd79eb5…
10-25 20:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xff009a…
10-25 20:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x9557d7…
10-25 20:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x317f2d…
10-25 20:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0xcf5769…
10-25 20:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xd7e79e…
10-25 20:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x32b783…
10-25 20:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x187d08…
10-25 20:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xed5a58…
10-25 20:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9304b2…
10-25 20:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x8862d4…
10-25 20:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x73d01a…
10-25 20:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xd5e7ed…
10-25 20:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x05fc33…
10-25 20:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x20f9bb…
10-25 20:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xca5309…
10-25 20:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x2861a8…
10-25 20:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4e7df2…
10-25 20:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0xf5dedd…
10-25 20:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x07de5e…
10-25 20:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0xdca714…
10-25 20:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x82a729…
10-25 19:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0xc3bd9f…
10-25 19:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x7a7b62…
10-25 19:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x37624d…
10-25 19:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xe098bf…
10-25 19:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x40f1e3…
10-25 18:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x69fd89…
10-25 18:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x2b9c5f…
10-25 18:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x7edba9…
10-25 18:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x22a5c1…
10-25 18:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x63858f…
10-25 18:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x527bcc…
10-25 18:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x5ef6fa…
10-25 18:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xd77c4e…