Deadly-Initial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$88

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.4%

Resolved

104

Trades

2,808

lifetime

Volume

$77.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 06-17 06:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% +$88

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1775562300	6	$588	387	381	+6	open	—	04-07 11:59
btc updown 15m 1774882800	1	$485	490	0	+490	open	—	03-30 15:12
btc updown 15m 1775560500	2	$341	362	0	+362	open	—	04-07 11:28
btc updown 15m 1774906200	4	$323	230	105	+125	open	—	03-30 21:44
btc updown 15m 1775853000	3	$297	224	109	+115	open	—	04-10 20:41
btc updown 5m 1774979400	3	$277	201	89	+112	open	—	03-31 17:54
btc updown 5m 1775039100	1	$250	253	0	+253	open	—	04-01 10:29
btc updown 15m 1775638800	3	$240	153	107	+46	open	—	04-08 09:13
btc updown 15m 1775497500	4	$230	137	135	+2	open	—	04-06 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	10	$230	175	175	+0	open	—	05-04 15:05
btc updown 15m 1775772000	4	$227	119	118	+1	open	—	04-09 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$218	167	167	+0	Down	+$29	05-05 13:18
btc updown 15m 1775542500	2	$216	126	124	+2	open	—	04-07 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	22	$216	133	133	+0	open	—	05-04 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	3	$213	125	104	+20	open	—	04-30 07:11
btc updown 5m 1775416800	3	$213	503	47	+455	open	—	04-05 19:26
btc updown 15m 1775567700	2	$210	111	110	+1	open	—	04-07 13:27
btc updown 15m 1775812500	2	$209	116	115	+1	open	—	04-10 09:27
btc updown 15m 1775734200	2	$209	111	110	+1	open	—	04-09 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$209	110	110	+0	Down	+$9	05-06 17:59
btc updown 15m 1775766600	2	$208	110	109	+1	open	—	04-09 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	7	$208	112	112	+0	Down	+$8	05-06 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$206	108	108	+0	open	—	05-16 22:29
btc updown 5m 1775218500	2	$206	124	122	+2	open	—	04-03 12:19
btc updown 5m 1775417400	2	$206	154	150	+4	open	—	04-05 19:31
btc updown 15m 1775772900	2	$206	108	107	+1	open	—	04-09 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	4	$205	108	108	+0	Up	+$5	05-08 17:42
btc updown 15m 1776268800	2	$205	106	106	+0	open	—	04-15 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	4	$204	106	106	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$204	105	105	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 16:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 06:19:47	eth updown 5m 1781676900	Up	BUY	124	99¢	$122	0x7e1cc2…
06-17 05:59:44	eth updown 5m 1781675700	Up	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x27e3f4…
06-17 03:29:31	eth updown 5m 1781666700	Up	BUY	127	96¢	$122	0x0765cf…
06-16 18:34:19	eth updown 5m 1781634600	Up	BUY	126	97¢	$122	0x9a6a72…
06-16 17:59:50	eth updown 5m 1781632500	Down	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0xcd6fa7…
06-16 13:29:23	eth updown 5m 1781616300	Down	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0xbb5661…
06-16 11:29:28	eth updown 5m 1781609100	Down	BUY	137	94¢	$129	0x236732…
06-16 10:49:43	eth updown 5m 1781606700	Down	BUY	124	98¢	$122	0x850e27…
06-16 10:09:52	eth updown 5m 1781604300	Up	BUY	127	96¢	$122	0xf63a3e…
06-16 09:14:45	eth updown 5m 1781601000	Down	BUY	124	98¢	$122	0x6f2c46…
06-16 08:39:22	eth updown 5m 1781598900	Down	BUY	121	97¢	$118	0x63bf49…
06-15 22:44:19	eth updown 5m 1781563200	Down	BUY	114	98¢	$112	0x7c6ee2…
06-15 20:54:22	eth updown 5m 1781556600	Up	BUY	109	98¢	$107	0x37bed2…
06-15 20:19:01	eth updown 5m 1781554500	Down	BUY	112	96¢	$107	0x04d380…
06-15 20:09:51	eth updown 5m 1781553900	Up	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x9badb0…
06-15 18:29:30	eth updown 5m 1781547900	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x61fda1…
06-15 18:24:33	eth updown 5m 1781547600	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1569c0…
06-11 18:29:58	eth updown 5m 1781202300	Up	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x6b956e…
06-11 18:29:40	eth updown 5m 1781202300	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xde990a…
06-11 16:19:24	eth updown 5m 1781194500	Down	BUY	102	99¢	$100	0x089f9b…
06-11 06:54:21	eth updown 5m 1781160600	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x6daa9f…
06-10 21:04:28	eth updown 5m 1781125200	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x48afd3…
06-10 20:14:22	eth updown 5m 1781122200	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x834674…
06-10 18:24:54	eth updown 5m 1781115600	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xdd9184…
06-10 14:19:43	eth updown 5m 1781100900	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x4cc356…
06-10 13:59:13	eth updown 5m 1781099700	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x5412f3…
06-10 12:19:18	eth updown 5m 1781093700	Down	BUY	108	95¢	$102	0xae7db8…
06-10 07:59:52	eth updown 5m 1781078100	Down	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x90ebde…
06-09 20:49:34	eth updown 5m 1781037900	Down	BUY	101	97¢	$97	0x145d8a…
06-09 20:09:52	eth updown 5m 1781035500	Down	BUY	102	95¢	$97	0x257eee…
06-09 16:14:25	eth updown 5m 1781021400	Up	BUY	97	97¢	$94	0xad3a1b…
06-09 15:34:51	eth updown 5m 1781019000	Up	BUY	95	96¢	$91	0x5a8ec4…
06-09 14:04:48	eth updown 5m 1781013600	Down	BUY	91	94¢	$86	0x59bc85…
06-09 13:39:15	eth updown 5m 1781012100	Down	BUY	81	96¢	$78	0x35796c…
06-09 13:29:30	eth updown 5m 1781011500	Up	BUY	81	96¢	$78	0xbe2267…
06-09 12:34:51	eth updown 5m 1781008200	Down	BUY	79	98¢	$77	0x630dc9…
06-09 12:14:52	eth updown 5m 1781007000	Down	SELL	103	77¢	$79	0x008887…
06-09 12:14:18	eth updown 5m 1781007000	Down	BUY	103	80¢	$82	0xdf1b6b…
06-09 11:34:31	eth updown 5m 1781004600	Up	BUY	82	98¢	$81	0xbcd823…
06-09 10:39:10	eth updown 5m 1781001300	Up	BUY	80	94¢	$75	0xea4012…
06-09 08:18:51	eth updown 5m 1780992900	Down	BUY	72	96¢	$69	0xe84a50…
06-09 07:49:24	eth updown 5m 1780991100	Down	BUY	73	95¢	$69	0x8b7fe5…
06-08 22:39:00	eth updown 5m 1780958100	Up	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0xeec2b7…
06-08 22:34:01	eth updown 5m 1780957800	Down	BUY	68	97¢	$66	0x146810…
06-08 22:09:13	eth updown 5m 1780956300	Down	BUY	66	95¢	$63	0xd798db…
06-08 21:44:15	eth updown 5m 1780954800	Up	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x54ee95…
06-08 21:24:16	eth updown 5m 1780953600	Up	BUY	61	93¢	$57	0xa7c0ad…
06-08 20:59:40	eth updown 5m 1780952100	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x607097…
06-08 19:54:00	eth updown 5m 1780948200	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x967551…
06-08 19:49:37	eth updown 5m 1780947900	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x438076…
06-08 19:39:22	eth updown 5m 1780947300	Down	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0x5f029a…
06-08 19:24:40	eth updown 5m 1780946400	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xbce658…
06-08 18:24:55	eth updown 5m 1780942800	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x85f92c…
06-08 17:29:07	eth updown 5m 1780939500	Up	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x7d7c52…
06-08 17:08:55	eth updown 5m 1780938300	Up	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0x8bedc9…
06-08 15:13:54	eth updown 5m 1780931400	Up	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x6e75d6…
06-08 15:08:58	eth updown 5m 1780931100	Up	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x3ac155…
06-08 14:44:45	eth updown 5m 1780929600	Up	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x6ad5a9…
06-08 14:33:43	eth updown 5m 1780929000	Up	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x542a42…
06-08 14:24:09	eth updown 5m 1780928400	Up	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0xeafb18…
06-08 13:54:07	eth updown 5m 1780926600	Up	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0xd50da2…
06-08 13:44:48	eth updown 5m 1780926000	Up	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x431b5c…
06-08 07:59:31	eth updown 5m 1780905300	Down	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x59dbf1…
06-07 21:39:49	eth updown 5m 1780868100	Down	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0xd10dbf…
06-07 20:54:54	eth updown 5m 1780865400	Up	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x832f96…
06-07 20:14:48	eth updown 5m 1780863000	Up	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x57a7a4…
06-07 18:44:42	eth updown 5m 1780857600	Down	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0xcb00f2…
06-07 18:39:34	eth updown 5m 1780857300	Up	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x996770…
06-07 15:59:55	eth updown 5m 1780847700	Up	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x047412…
06-07 11:04:37	eth updown 5m 1780830000	Down	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x84a29c…
06-07 10:29:46	eth updown 5m 1780827900	Down	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x5058d3…
06-07 10:19:39	eth updown 5m 1780827300	Up	SELL	58	97¢	$57	0xdd37b6…
06-07 10:19:18	eth updown 5m 1780827300	Up	BUY	58	91¢	$53	0x9d4388…
06-07 10:14:24	eth updown 5m 1780827000	Up	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x6ea8f5…
06-07 10:09:16	eth updown 5m 1780826700	Down	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0xb00095…
06-07 09:39:34	eth updown 5m 1780824900	Up	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x26f664…
06-07 08:44:40	eth updown 5m 1780821600	Up	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x40c4ae…
06-07 07:44:48	eth updown 5m 1780818000	Down	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0x6cac5a…
06-06 19:04:43	eth updown 5m 1780772400	Down	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x9a6ad5…
06-06 16:14:57	eth updown 5m 1780762200	Down	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0xa12961…
06-06 12:29:33	eth updown 5m 1780748700	Down	BUY	61	88¢	$53	0x9d7fe8…
06-06 12:14:25	eth updown 5m 1780747800	Down	BUY	58	92¢	$53	0xdf95fc…
06-06 11:44:30	eth updown 5m 1780746000	Down	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0xcef900…
06-06 11:13:51	eth updown 5m 1780744200	Down	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x1a95f4…
06-06 10:59:48	eth updown 5m 1780743300	Up	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x4b0c1b…
06-06 08:49:01	eth updown 5m 1780735500	Down	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x41ffe9…
06-06 08:44:21	eth updown 5m 1780735200	Up	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0xc67669…
06-06 07:54:21	eth updown 5m 1780732200	Down	BUY	62	85¢	$53	0x8d2a5d…
06-06 07:49:52	eth updown 5m 1780731900	Down	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0x941620…
06-06 05:38:54	eth updown 5m 1780724100	Up	BUY	58	91¢	$53	0xd9c4aa…
05-22 11:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x944133…
05-22 06:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x9914db…
05-20 10:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x79a86d…
05-20 09:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x9f7f71…
05-20 08:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	110	89¢	$98	0xa26ec9…
05-20 08:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x0be68b…
05-20 08:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xe0e0fa…
05-20 07:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x326df7…
05-19 23:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xa02672…
05-19 22:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	56	85¢	$47	0xad45c4…