Exalted-Manifestation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

329

Trades

330

lifetime

Volume

$3.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-14 18:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 237 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 90% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	$0	11-14 18:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	25	+25	No	-$24	05-15 05:08
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 15:10
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-30 08:56
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:05
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 10:18
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 04:41
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 10:31
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:39
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 09:12
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:49
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:39
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-22 02:46
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 10:52
highest temperature in san francisco on april 20 2026 64 65f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:36
highest temperature in ankara on april 20 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 17:01
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 06:25
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 24c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:25
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:50
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 22c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-18 08:50
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:53
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:11
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:24
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 09:13
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 82forhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 03:54
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 14 2026 31corhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 16:31
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-14 05:45
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-13 08:58
highest temperature in wellington on april 12 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-12 07:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 18:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x328803…
11-13 07:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3bdb0d…
11-12 08:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x08f3fe…
11-11 08:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6d4e1d…
11-08 11:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa93c88…
11-07 10:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xce3443…
11-06 09:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9170f5…
11-05 00:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdd5cb9…
11-04 04:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf2d481…
11-03 17:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x635129…
11-03 07:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbf0672…
11-02 08:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x35bc0e…
10-31 19:54:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1199f0…
10-31 04:42:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x912f88…
10-30 08:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb3a31f…
10-29 04:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd5925b…
10-28 04:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3bc4da…
10-27 06:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa339b6…
10-26 04:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3ce0bb…
10-25 12:22:23	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1704ec…
10-24 06:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3c035f…
10-22 09:49:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7e6a81…
10-20 03:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf334e4…
10-19 06:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc97207…
10-18 05:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x473a87…
10-17 07:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd162fd…
10-16 01:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1b7dce…
10-15 04:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe19fae…
10-14 03:52:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8bf832…
10-13 13:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3ae41c…
10-13 01:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x17e76a…
10-12 00:59:53	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6587bf…
10-11 01:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7eee50…
10-08 04:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd28687…
10-07 08:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbdc892…
10-06 14:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x12c276…
10-06 05:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd68897…
10-04 07:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9c431c…
10-03 00:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaba331…
10-02 07:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb01ec6…
10-02 03:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbf64a6…
10-01 05:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9e4c6f…
09-30 08:37:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1d2441…
09-29 03:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on September 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x06a96f…
09-28 02:59:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3e623c…
09-27 09:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x914df5…
09-26 07:43:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1c19d7…
09-25 01:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 25?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa2e3af…
09-24 01:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x001ce1…
09-23 05:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9406c…
09-22 10:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9feb2e…
09-22 01:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf1cbf…
09-21 06:24:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x977804…
09-20 02:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2c683…
09-19 05:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce9e41…
09-18 09:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x180142…
09-18 01:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e67ae…
09-17 00:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf47995…
09-16 07:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12f4c3…
09-15 23:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68096c…
09-15 01:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x982721…
09-14 00:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x492432…
09-13 12:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3013fd…
09-12 01:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67d676…
09-11 10:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf18302…
09-11 01:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71c92d…
09-10 01:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C or below on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16670a…
09-09 00:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44f908…
09-08 00:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76559b…
09-07 16:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a1d67…
09-07 09:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2dd5b…
09-07 01:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x406d59…
09-06 17:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33b081…
09-06 01:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb7241…
09-05 07:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42f6a6…
09-04 07:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0976f…
09-03 01:02:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x156110…
09-02 10:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or higher on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x957eda…
09-01 01:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5dd446…
08-30 00:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24a16a…
08-29 05:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67adbd…
08-28 01:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd185d…
08-27 01:00:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb8a9a6…
08-26 01:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3dff7c…
08-25 01:00:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x826a2b…
08-24 07:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbae39a…
08-23 00:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x213271…
08-22 01:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbea448…
08-21 01:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x830487…
08-20 00:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x658e58…
08-19 00:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60085d…
08-18 00:07:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6015e…
08-17 05:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa21cfd…
08-16 01:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7251ae…
08-15 01:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b4dce…
08-14 01:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x752d16…
08-13 00:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc239cb…
08-12 00:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d90df…
08-11 00:08:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b6fba…
08-10 00:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfad80a…