Tragic-Noon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.2%

Resolved

Trades

714

lifetime

Volume

$3.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 05-22 15:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 50% $-20

Politics

4% 0% $-1

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776690000	6	$93	100	70	+29	open	—	04-20 13:09
btc updown 15m 1775566800	6	$89	71	68	+3	open	—	04-07 13:15
btc updown 15m 1776085200	15	$89	80	79	+1	open	—	04-13 13:03
btc updown 15m 1775134800	7	$85	79	68	+11	open	—	04-02 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	9	$70	101	35	+66	open	—	05-22 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	10	$68	59	59	+0	open	—	05-19 13:02
btc updown 15m 1776776400	9	$67	67	63	+4	open	—	04-21 13:11
btc updown 15m 1776258000	4	$65	57	55	+2	open	—	04-15 13:09
btc updown 15m 1770324300	10	$60	134	0	+134	open	—	02-05 20:51
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	5	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	02-06 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	5	$57	50	48	+2	open	—	04-27 13:00
btc updown 15m 1775221200	3	$57	80	32	+48	open	—	04-03 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	1	$57	111	0	+111	open	—	04-28 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$56	48	48	+0	Up	+$6	05-11 13:00
btc updown 15m 1770316200	13	$55	118	0	+118	open	—	02-05 18:39
btc updown 15m 1775048400	6	$54	45	44	+1	open	—	04-01 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	4	$53	55	27	+28	open	—	05-22 15:27
btc updown 15m 1776344400	7	$51	45	43	+2	open	—	04-16 13:02
btc updown 5m 1771004100	9	$47	93	0	+93	open	—	02-13 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	6	$46	40	40	+0	open	—	05-14 13:03
btc updown 15m 1775739600	3	$46	40	39	+1	open	—	04-09 13:00
btc updown 15m 1776171600	4	$46	40	39	+1	open	—	04-14 13:02
btc updown 15m 1775653200	5	$46	39	37	+1	open	—	04-08 13:07
btc updown 15m 1776862800	2	$45	40	39	+1	open	—	04-22 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	6	$45	56	56	+0	open	—	05-20 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$43	70	21	+48	open	—	05-22 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$40	120	0	+120	open	—	05-22 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$40	79	0	+79	open	—	05-22 14:33
btc updown 15m 1773838800	5	$39	28	28	+0	open	—	03-18 13:14
btc updown 5m 1771001400	9	$38	74	0	+74	open	—	02-13 16:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 15:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3f0b44…
05-22 15:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x01afd5…
05-22 15:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xa9995f…
05-22 15:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x88576c…
05-22 15:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa01acf…
05-22 15:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xce589c…
05-22 15:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x63042b…
05-22 15:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x1c230b…
05-22 15:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x015245…
05-22 15:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf438fd…
05-22 15:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaaa713…
05-22 15:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa80cdb…
05-22 15:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3b0226…
05-22 15:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x296869…
05-22 15:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x197f19…
05-22 15:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x1d4cd7…
05-22 15:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x286e38…
05-22 15:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0cb4cb…
05-22 15:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x637750…
05-22 15:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4c83e7…
05-22 15:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0xcadbfb…
05-22 15:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x673af6…
05-22 15:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9b024d…
05-22 15:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x19511f…
05-22 15:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8c09a9…
05-22 15:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x0a5a94…
05-22 15:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x6a632f…
05-22 15:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xec8559…
05-22 15:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xb38f99…
05-22 14:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x32507a…
05-22 14:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x40f875…
05-22 14:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	27	15¢	$4	0x39c6b9…
05-22 14:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0xe83f54…
05-22 14:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x4032e0…
05-22 14:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0xdb5fc1…
05-22 14:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x435924…
05-22 14:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x3270f1…
05-22 14:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x6d4a1e…
05-22 14:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xe07c23…
05-22 14:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x9563e0…
05-22 14:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xf784fa…
05-22 14:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xeca836…
05-22 14:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0x4f3faf…
05-22 14:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc8ce17…
05-22 14:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf5d0c5…
05-22 14:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x298937…
05-22 14:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x934424…
05-22 14:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x103289…
05-22 14:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x1730b4…
05-22 14:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x0379e8…
05-22 14:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc28e61…
05-22 14:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x2bfb0d…
05-22 14:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x1d2261…
05-22 14:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xf0259e…
05-22 14:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x32b8af…
05-22 14:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xbf00be…
05-22 14:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x8e2d69…
05-22 14:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x584541…
05-22 14:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x60d255…
05-22 14:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x246ce1…
05-22 14:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8981fc…
05-22 14:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xdf8fd6…
05-22 14:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x07855a…
05-22 14:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x52d02c…
05-22 14:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x0d5ea8…
05-22 14:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x7d3716…
05-22 14:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x82a5d4…
05-22 14:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x74957a…
05-22 14:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xeec439…
05-22 14:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xe90534…
05-22 14:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x719b14…
05-22 14:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x55f269…
05-22 13:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4eaf15…
05-22 13:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x12ac80…
05-22 13:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x71ca62…
05-22 13:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x450a42…
05-22 13:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x52fcd5…
05-22 13:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x888f17…
05-22 13:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x0caa1a…
05-22 13:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xf4efc6…
05-22 13:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x63cde3…
05-22 13:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xcef726…
05-22 13:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0393e4…
05-22 13:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x354c92…
05-22 13:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd74702…
05-22 13:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0x27eac9…
05-22 13:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0x354c8b…
05-22 13:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xf26c2b…
05-22 13:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xe34772…
05-22 13:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8bc0bd…
05-22 13:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	22¢	$4	0xb32547…
05-22 13:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x686793…
05-22 13:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x59499f…
05-22 13:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x236fc9…
05-22 13:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4445fa…
05-22 13:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3da18e…
05-22 13:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x413a07…
05-22 13:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xba8323…
05-22 13:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xb9b206…
05-22 13:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x272bc1…