Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$149

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

242

Trades

678

lifetime

Volume

$1.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 09-17 10:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Politics

45% 52% -$95

Other

34% 65% -$29

Crypto

11% 74% -$2

Sports

8% 50% -$27

Tech

1% 78% +$1

Pop-Culture

1% 50% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	-14	-$5	62¢	$-9	-$4	08-24 19:17
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes	+114	$15	2¢	$2	-$13	04-30 21:29
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	-26	$0	1¢	$-0	+$0	05-06 17:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl juv gal 2026 02 25 gal	46	$64	41	35	+7	No	+$1	02-25 19:51
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	30	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	02-05 21:11
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$53	535	535	+0	No	-$10	02-04 02:46
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	28	$49	26	26	+0	No	+$0	01-31 20:38
epl mac new 2026 02 21 mac	12	$35	24	24	+0	Yes	+$6	02-21 22:02
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	3	$33	15	18	-3	No	+$1	02-21 04:20
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	7	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	02-22 04:31
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	12	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	02-03 02:37
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	12	$24	30	9	+20	Yes	-$21	02-28 07:18
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	02-01 13:08
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	4	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$1	02-23 04:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$22	19	10	+9	Yes	-$5	03-02 07:08
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$20	222	9	+213	No	-$18	02-22 23:03
cs2 navi mglz 2026 02 17	1	$20	30	0	+30	TheMongolz	-$20	02-17 08:58
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	11	$16	20	10	+10	No	-$2	02-28 15:23
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	2	$15	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	02-02 04:32
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	1	$15	114	0	+114	open	—	04-30 21:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$14	11	5	+6	Yes	-$6	02-28 11:18
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$14	30	0	+30	Yes	-$14	02-19 16:09
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	2	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$0	02-28 21:41
mwoh usa slo 2026 02 20	2	$13	7	7	+0	USA	+$1	02-20 22:13
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	5	$10	15	3	+12	Yes	-$9	02-24 14:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$10	8	8	+0	Yes	+$6	05-09 05:35
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	3	$10	13	0	+13	Yes	-$10	02-19 04:42
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5	2	$9	6	6	+0	Over	+$3	05-01 01:21
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	4	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	02-28 04:58
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	4	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	02-24 06:38
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	4	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	02-25 03:44
another us strike on venezuela by march 31	2	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$1	03-31 02:49
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$8	26	0	+26	Yes	-$8	02-19 18:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 10:08:15	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x608eaf…
09-17 10:08:10	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfa9d42…
09-14 17:57:03	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1c3783…
09-13 20:57:58	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf3a226…
09-13 20:54:42	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4a2ce4…
09-13 20:47:03	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x565ebc…
09-07 07:18:28	Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x02e1f4…
09-06 18:32:22	Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x92af6d…
08-29 23:55:57	Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4b6ae1…
08-29 12:33:40	Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xda03e3…
08-24 19:17:25	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0x599966…
07-30 20:52:33	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x0a1e59…
07-30 08:10:08	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc6fb97…
07-21 07:59:12	Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xcc49f7…
07-14 05:00:34	Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x72d3a1…
07-13 19:32:05	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x48383e…
07-01 00:02:14	Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe2057e…
06-30 17:45:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x63d2f1…
06-30 05:23:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfff208…
06-27 03:48:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1e5290…
06-26 04:18:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0facd4…
06-21 21:11:22	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc3d00e…
05-31 09:09:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbbe5b9…
05-16 00:31:37	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2e771c…
05-14 21:47:28	Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa6dbe3…
05-12 23:01:30	Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9fd4a7…
05-09 05:35:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x76e47d…
05-06 17:46:37	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$0	0x0a5414…
05-01 11:17:48	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6cbb86…
05-01 04:16:38	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x155a48…
05-01 01:21:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x228624…
05-01 01:21:08	San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb5d27e…
05-01 00:26:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd8ad0f…
05-01 00:26:30	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1d8ed2…
04-30 22:07:24	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7f9847…
04-30 22:07:20	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x41d481…
04-30 22:07:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xea3c6c…
04-30 21:29:34	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes	BUY	114	13¢	$15	0xaef358…
04-30 21:25:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x69e5b2…
04-30 20:03:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8f7851…
04-30 19:09:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3dec7c…
04-30 18:20:30	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x20645e…
04-30 18:20:06	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe49f02…
04-30 15:52:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7812d3…
04-30 14:18:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x55b74f…
04-30 10:33:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2cf4f7…
04-30 10:33:26	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa703e8…
04-30 08:16:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x418c24…
04-30 02:20:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcb5c88…
04-29 20:34:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfd12d3…
04-29 20:34:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x697a36…
04-29 20:34:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x34b035…
04-29 20:25:52	San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x003e78…
04-28 08:13:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1e8f0a…
04-28 03:27:56	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9fbf65…
04-27 20:26:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4a6cd8…
04-27 20:17:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb1ba0d…
04-27 19:47:26	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xca468d…
04-27 19:17:56	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x01c883…
04-27 19:06:48	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xda5a8a…
04-27 09:32:20	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xac4931…
04-23 23:16:24	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf185fb…
04-23 17:52:44	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb5890a…
04-23 01:02:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd690d0…
04-22 06:48:18	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd141d3…
04-21 17:25:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd967be…
04-21 17:19:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1044c2…
04-21 17:17:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x041727…
04-20 20:46:10	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa88ba0…
04-20 20:24:18	will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be between 10m and 15m	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xaec82f…
04-20 17:09:16	will normal score at least 75 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x76c6db…
04-20 14:45:18	will normal score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x39ce0b…
04-18 09:51:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa64e40…
04-17 21:40:16	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb00efb…
04-17 19:43:06	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7417af…
04-17 19:12:30	will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be between 10m and 15m	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xadf552…
04-17 19:12:30	will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be between 10m and 15m	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1459f7…
04-17 19:07:34	will normal score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x474982…
04-17 19:07:12	will normal score at least 75 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x14164d…
04-17 18:56:58	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf80419…
04-17 18:28:06	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x162c1d…
04-17 18:27:20	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8db90c…
04-15 09:01:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x5d7fd8…
04-14 20:18:18	Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd9878b…
04-14 20:18:16	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6822d7…
04-13 20:15:51	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xaf5677…
04-13 18:10:19	Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa05baa…
04-13 18:04:27	Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x755ab3…
04-13 18:00:13	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe9bdec…
04-13 11:33:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x09b658…
04-13 08:48:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x736f6f…
04-13 08:44:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2fd41c…
04-13 01:47:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x54077a…
04-13 01:20:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf3b97c…
04-08 00:47:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x404d50…
04-06 02:04:01	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa6c5bd…
04-06 01:51:41	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xefc9d6…
04-05 20:16:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x148992…
04-05 20:03:51	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc1ae8e…
04-05 19:58:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x3630e0…