Blond-Toothpick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.7%

Resolved

350

Trades

662

lifetime

Volume

$17.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 07-20 17:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 79% +$39

Politics

9% 62% -$122

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$372	238	238	+0	No	+$32	05-31 20:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$323	363	363	+0	Yes	-$69	04-07 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 09:30 UTC	2	$308	170	168	+2	Up	+$17	04-18 09:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$232	123	123	+0	No	+$12	06-07 07:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:35 UTC	2	$231	178	176	+2	Down	-$74	04-18 13:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 08:40 UTC	2	$213	115	114	+1	Up	+$13	04-19 08:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 09:50 UTC	2	$197	104	103	+1	Down	+$7	04-18 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 08:50 UTC	2	$194	146	144	+2	Up	-$31	04-19 08:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 07:15 UTC	2	$184	103	102	+1	Down	+$19	04-19 07:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 09:45 UTC	2	$183	98	97	+1	Up	+$9	04-18 09:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:30 UTC	2	$179	113	113	+1	Down	-$25	04-18 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 14:30 UTC	2	$178	95	95	+1	Up	+$8	04-18 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$170	98	98	+0	Down	+$23	04-30 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 09:35 UTC	2	$170	90	89	+1	Down	+$5	04-18 09:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 09:10 UTC	2	$166	91	90	+1	Up	+$12	04-18 09:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 07:10 UTC	2	$164	85	84	+0	Up	+$3	04-19 07:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 14:40 UTC	2	$164	111	110	+1	Down	-$20	04-18 14:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:50 UTC	2	$164	88	88	+1	Up	+$9	04-18 13:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$163	92	92	+0	No	+$18	04-27 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$161	172	0	+172	Up	-$161	05-04 18:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 14:25 UTC	2	$159	90	88	+1	Up	+$13	04-18 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 09:15 UTC	2	$156	105	104	+1	Down	-$20	04-18 09:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 07:05 UTC	2	$155	82	81	+1	Down	+$7	04-19 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 21:30 UTC	2	$155	80	79	+0	Down	+$2	04-18 21:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:55 UTC	2	$155	106	104	+1	Down	-$16	04-18 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 21:35 UTC	2	$152	84	84	+0	Down	-$4	04-18 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:45 UTC	2	$150	79	79	+0	Up	+$6	04-18 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 09:25 UTC	2	$150	85	84	+1	Up	+$16	04-18 09:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 21:40 UTC	2	$148	76	76	+0	Up	+$1	04-18 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 09:05 UTC	2	$148	79	78	+1	Down	+$7	04-18 09:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 17:16:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x6350fd…
07-20 17:02:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xabc4f6…
07-20 16:46:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x87199b…
07-20 16:40:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x00714a…
07-20 16:40:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 16:30 UTC	Down	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0x836fea…
07-20 16:33:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0x61abc0…
07-20 16:26:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 16:15 UTC	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0x87ce20…
07-20 16:16:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x075807…
07-20 16:02:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x8cd9be…
07-20 15:55:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x1ab2a8…
07-20 15:46:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x44b502…
07-20 15:44:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x59b7c8…
07-20 15:42:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x9839da…
07-20 15:42:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0xfdbff7…
07-20 15:32:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xf1ffa5…
07-20 15:22:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa1f1de…
07-20 15:21:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 15:15 UTC	Up	SELL	14	39¢	$5	0x3eb1e1…
07-20 15:20:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0xe4b2f9…
07-20 15:20:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	18	46¢	$8	0xfa7a9e…
07-20 15:18:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x0b7602…
07-20 15:16:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	24	53¢	$13	0x2db709…
07-20 15:15:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0xdc3bad…
07-20 15:08:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x59677b…
07-20 15:04:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0xc60696…
07-20 15:03:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	15	86¢	$12	0x7aad7f…
07-20 15:00:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x9f9453…
07-20 14:59:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x16aff3…
07-20 14:49:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xb2b4b6…
07-20 14:48:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	13	49¢	$6	0x34839f…
07-20 14:46:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x8cde17…
07-20 14:42:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x2ac047…
07-20 14:41:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	16	50¢	$8	0x1658f5…
07-20 14:37:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	79¢	$13	0xecea18…
07-20 14:28:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x0b5299…
07-20 14:25:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x279d0f…
07-20 14:24:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 14:15 UTC	Down	SELL	24	40¢	$10	0x139517…
07-20 14:22:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0x90ff41…
07-20 14:14:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	90¢	$21	0x008a28…
07-20 14:13:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	34	62¢	$21	0xb48570…
07-20 14:10:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x3e8bf2…
07-19 15:37:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	36	86¢	$31	0x1972b8…
07-19 15:36:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	36	78¢	$28	0xe708b7…
07-19 15:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x74d146…
07-19 15:20:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x2bb7f1…
07-19 15:14:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x7ab117…
07-19 15:08:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x26d0bd…
07-19 14:52:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x6fbe80…
07-19 14:47:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0x1ecf93…
07-19 14:44:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xcce69a…
07-19 14:36:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xb9d8a0…
07-19 14:36:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	26	69¢	$18	0x22a7d6…
07-19 14:34:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	26	85¢	$23	0x4a6642…
07-19 14:24:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 14:15 UTC	Down	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0xe4afa9…
07-19 14:20:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x01c1c7…
06-07 07:16:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	130	94¢	$122	0x92d47f…
06-07 07:15:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0xec2e4f…
05-31 20:21:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	123	90¢	$110	0xa2f099…
05-31 20:20:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0xbc4ad5…
05-08 16:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0xd8736e…
05-08 16:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0xc099b6…
05-08 16:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x4d29f1…
05-08 16:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xc01a89…
05-08 16:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x4f0fe6…
05-08 12:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4a4348…
05-08 12:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xe7a7cd…
05-08 11:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb1e271…
05-08 11:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa438c9…
05-08 11:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x4a1252…
05-08 11:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x263784…
05-07 16:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xd572a2…
05-07 16:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0x595d39…
05-07 16:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0xe3960f…
05-07 16:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$3	0x79cacb…
05-07 16:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa8261f…
05-07 16:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$3	0x2b74db…
05-07 12:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xb368b0…
05-07 12:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x90cfaa…
05-07 12:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0xc7cf60…
05-07 12:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8efdf9…
05-07 12:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x9b3da2…
05-07 11:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xf350da…
05-07 11:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x2ee24e…
05-07 11:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0xe53045…
05-07 11:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd2183e…
05-07 11:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x7d5fd9…
05-06 21:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x661319…
05-06 21:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x74e8e1…
05-06 21:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xb7f0d9…
05-06 21:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x10f35d…
05-06 21:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x38d609…
05-06 21:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x17a7d0…
05-06 21:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x315e26…
05-06 20:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x27324e…
05-06 20:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x7792bc…
05-06 20:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf6eab5…
05-06 20:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x43e2c3…
05-06 20:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xd9c96c…
05-06 15:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x697b48…
05-06 15:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x07e0db…
05-06 14:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe0ee65…