Blond-Toothpick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

Trades

608

lifetime

Volume

$16.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 06-07 07:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 74% $-43

Politics

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$372	238	238	+0	open	—	05-31 20:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$323	363	363	+0	open	—	04-07 21:00
btc updown 5m 1776504600	2	$308	170	168	+2	open	—	04-18 09:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$232	123	123	+0	open	—	06-07 07:15
btc updown 5m 1776519300	2	$231	178	176	+2	open	—	04-18 13:38
btc updown 5m 1776588000	2	$213	115	114	+1	open	—	04-19 08:45
btc updown 5m 1776505800	2	$197	104	103	+1	open	—	04-18 09:54
btc updown 5m 1776588600	2	$194	146	144	+2	open	—	04-19 08:51
btc updown 5m 1776582900	2	$184	103	102	+1	open	—	04-19 07:19
btc updown 5m 1776505500	2	$183	98	97	+1	open	—	04-18 09:49
btc updown 5m 1776519000	2	$179	113	113	+1	open	—	04-18 13:33
btc updown 5m 1776522600	2	$178	95	95	+1	open	—	04-18 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$170	98	98	+0	open	—	04-30 16:59
btc updown 5m 1776504900	2	$170	90	89	+1	open	—	04-18 09:39
btc updown 5m 1776503400	2	$166	91	90	+1	open	—	04-18 09:13
btc updown 5m 1776582600	2	$164	85	84	+0	open	—	04-19 07:15
btc updown 5m 1776523200	2	$164	111	110	+1	open	—	04-18 14:43
btc updown 5m 1776520200	2	$164	88	88	+1	open	—	04-18 13:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$163	92	92	+0	open	—	04-27 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$161	172	0	+172	open	—	05-04 18:27
btc updown 5m 1776522300	2	$159	90	88	+1	open	—	04-18 14:28
btc updown 5m 1776503700	2	$156	105	104	+1	open	—	04-18 09:18
btc updown 5m 1776582300	2	$155	82	81	+1	open	—	04-19 07:09
btc updown 5m 1776547800	2	$155	80	79	+0	open	—	04-18 21:35
btc updown 5m 1776520500	2	$155	106	104	+1	open	—	04-18 13:59
btc updown 5m 1776548100	2	$152	84	84	+0	open	—	04-18 21:39
btc updown 5m 1776519900	2	$150	79	79	+0	open	—	04-18 13:49
btc updown 5m 1776504300	2	$150	85	84	+1	open	—	04-18 09:29
btc updown 5m 1776548400	2	$148	76	76	+0	open	—	04-18 21:44
btc updown 5m 1776503100	2	$148	79	78	+1	open	—	04-18 09:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 07:16:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	130	94¢	$122	0x92d47f…
06-07 07:15:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0xec2e4f…
05-31 20:21:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	123	90¢	$110	0xa2f099…
05-31 20:20:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0xbc4ad5…
05-08 16:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0xd8736e…
05-08 16:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0xc099b6…
05-08 16:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x4d29f1…
05-08 16:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xc01a89…
05-08 16:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x4f0fe6…
05-08 12:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4a4348…
05-08 12:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xe7a7cd…
05-08 11:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb1e271…
05-08 11:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa438c9…
05-08 11:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x4a1252…
05-08 11:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x263784…
05-07 16:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xd572a2…
05-07 16:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0x595d39…
05-07 16:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0xe3960f…
05-07 16:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$3	0x79cacb…
05-07 16:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa8261f…
05-07 16:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$3	0x2b74db…
05-07 12:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xb368b0…
05-07 12:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x90cfaa…
05-07 12:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0xc7cf60…
05-07 12:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8efdf9…
05-07 12:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x9b3da2…
05-07 11:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xf350da…
05-07 11:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x2ee24e…
05-07 11:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0xe53045…
05-07 11:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd2183e…
05-07 11:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x7d5fd9…
05-06 21:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x661319…
05-06 21:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x74e8e1…
05-06 21:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xb7f0d9…
05-06 21:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x10f35d…
05-06 21:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x38d609…
05-06 21:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x17a7d0…
05-06 21:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x315e26…
05-06 20:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x27324e…
05-06 20:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x7792bc…
05-06 20:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf6eab5…
05-06 20:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x43e2c3…
05-06 20:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xd9c96c…
05-06 15:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x697b48…
05-06 15:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x07e0db…
05-06 14:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe0ee65…
05-06 14:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc0fd35…
05-06 14:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x40f729…
05-06 14:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x88f948…
05-06 14:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x20eb4b…
05-06 14:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe01c5a…
05-06 10:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x982c4e…
05-06 10:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb7eb8a…
05-06 10:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xa2a9c6…
05-06 10:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x9ddd72…
05-06 10:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x370656…
05-06 10:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x949b17…
05-06 10:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x881b8f…
05-06 10:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8ea9c8…
05-06 10:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x90239b…
05-06 08:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xea43d1…
05-06 08:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x5b2fd8…
05-06 08:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xeed9b9…
05-06 08:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xade946…
05-06 08:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xedec0a…
05-06 08:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xc0e03e…
05-06 08:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x86c9d8…
05-06 08:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x4bec4c…
05-06 08:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xebae3d…
05-06 08:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa112e0…
05-06 08:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x15bc4a…
05-06 07:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x20e4c4…
05-06 07:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1c86b0…
05-06 07:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x819581…
05-06 07:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xb0b0df…
05-06 07:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x1e2159…
05-06 07:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb8aaaa…
05-06 07:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xcd4b41…
05-05 21:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x641b59…
05-05 21:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x173fa6…
05-05 21:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x0454a9…
05-05 21:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xd6e0f0…
05-05 20:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0x75c71a…
05-05 20:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$4	0xd6f600…
05-05 20:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x86dbfb…
05-05 20:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xa949d5…
05-05 20:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0xbed40d…
05-05 20:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0xa5bad2…
05-05 20:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x8ce17a…
05-05 20:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x04b4f2…
05-05 20:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$3	0x3c6a0b…
05-05 20:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x402ca7…
05-05 20:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x4d71ac…
05-05 20:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xcfdb6b…
05-05 20:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0xe3fc4d…
05-05 20:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x30c87c…
05-05 16:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8c978b…
05-05 16:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x9fbcd5…
05-05 16:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc81922…
05-05 16:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xa242ec…