Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$127

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

3,330

Trades

4,598

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 09-08 20:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 201 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 48% -$188

Other

15% 58% +$55

Sports

7% 36% +$4

Politics

0% 27% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	57	$180	104	169	-65	Yes	-$9	02-27 18:08
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	31	$118	145	0	+145	Yes	+$27	03-06 15:46
will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in february 2026	10	$84	55	55	+0	Yes	-$4	03-11 14:58
nba hou orl 2026 02 26	4	$84	45	45	+0	Rockets	+$6	02-27 03:53
nba mia phi 2026 02 26	2	$78	44	44	+0	76ers	$0	02-27 02:18
nba mia cha 2026 03 06	4	$75	41	41	+0	Heat	-$3	03-07 02:20
nba orl mia 2026 03 14	2	$75	40	40	+0	Magic	-$3	03-15 02:29
nba por ind 2026 03 18	2	$75	44	44	+0	Trail Blazers	-$4	03-19 01:50
nba chi phx 2026 03 05	2	$73	44	44	+0	Bulls	-$2	03-06 04:30
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	14	$61	70	0	+70	Yes	+$9	03-03 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 14:50 UTC	3	$53	62	0	+62	Down	+$9	02-27 14:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 13:35 UTC	4	$53	56	0	+56	Down	+$3	02-27 13:38
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	16	$49	79	39	+40	Yes	+$17	03-17 13:37
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	7	$49	35	24	+11	Yes	+$2	03-14 19:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:40 UTC	3	$49	54	0	+54	Down	+$5	02-28 14:44
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	12	$49	107	172	-65	No	+$8	03-05 23:35
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 65 89	11	$46	45	12	+33	Yes	+$5	02-25 15:18
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 115 139	22	$45	154	47	+107	No	-$25	03-09 12:38
nba bkn phi 2026 03 14	1	$40	41	0	+41	76ers	+$1	03-14 19:21
nba den mem 2026 01 25	1	$40	40	0	+40	Grizzlies	+$0	03-19 02:55
nba det tor 2026 03 15	1	$39	42	0	+42	Raptors	+$3	03-15 21:57
nba por phi 2026 03 15	2	$39	47	0	+47	76ers	+$8	03-16 00:14
nba sac lac 2026 03 14	1	$39	42	0	+42	Kings	+$3	03-15 04:55
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	11	$35	52	0	+52	Yes	+$17	03-04 15:10
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	11	$34	54	0	+54	Yes	+$20	03-27 13:25
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 40 64	23	$33	1,222	922	+300	No	+$9	02-25 14:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 01:55 UTC	2	$30	33	0	+33	Down	+$3	03-01 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 04:20 UTC	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	02-27 04:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 10:50 UTC	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	02-27 10:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 10:20 UTC	6	$30	33	0	+33	Down	+$3	02-27 10:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 20:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0x9adde4…
09-08 20:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3d64aa…
09-08 20:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x83a955…
09-08 19:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x648f65…
09-08 19:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x483a00…
09-08 18:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xc0815c…
09-08 17:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x36fd5f…
09-08 16:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x35b9c8…
09-08 16:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xc925c4…
09-08 16:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x8c7b6e…
09-08 10:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xb30cf1…
09-08 10:04:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xe59a4c…
09-08 09:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xd10365…
09-08 07:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x62679e…
09-08 07:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x343378…
09-08 06:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x62b8ed…
09-08 06:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xc4e80f…
09-08 06:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x964cbf…
09-08 06:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x7c2b35…
09-08 04:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x765ea6…
09-08 03:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x5678c7…
09-08 02:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6fff8b…
09-08 01:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7d0741…
09-07 23:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x5c8c3f…
09-07 22:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xc945b2…
09-07 22:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x1f51bf…
09-07 22:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$2	0xe5b7a5…
09-07 22:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x026653…
09-07 19:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa95e34…
09-07 17:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0a73ac…
09-07 16:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xff8d09…
09-07 03:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xfa72b3…
09-07 02:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x95e651…
09-07 02:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x234751…
09-07 01:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x39cbe4…
09-07 00:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x533879…
09-07 00:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x6f6bfa…
09-07 00:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x80515f…
09-06 23:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xdc0c66…
09-06 22:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x6db284…
09-06 19:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xa9a013…
09-06 15:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xc4bc33…
09-06 06:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x6bd4b9…
09-06 01:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x06f3b7…
09-05 18:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0xae52de…
09-05 18:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x8cbe95…
09-05 16:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x894477…
09-05 01:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x005f2f…
09-05 00:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x48b7b3…
09-05 00:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0x362190…
09-05 00:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x030640…
09-04 20:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0x0d17fd…
09-04 20:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0xfc0574…
09-04 18:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xb3c32d…
09-04 17:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x37ee28…
09-04 16:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 4?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0xf4001e…
09-04 16:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfe924a…
09-04 16:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x94cd04…
09-04 12:27:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x1ef2a9…
09-04 09:30:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xfead78…
09-04 05:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x9e7f7e…
09-04 04:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x777823…
09-04 03:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x38f8d6…
09-04 03:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xe036b2…
09-04 01:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x6dde5e…
09-04 00:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xc3064d…
09-04 00:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa65968…
09-03 23:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xb1551a…
09-03 22:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xe6af5f…
09-03 14:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xbfc22d…
09-03 13:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x361ce9…
09-03 06:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0xd61495…
09-03 05:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x9813dd…
09-03 05:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xee0d64…
09-03 05:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x13704c…
09-03 04:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x050d35…
09-03 03:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x762448…
09-03 00:22:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x80b60b…
09-02 22:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0x440d70…
09-02 18:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xcc38d0…
09-02 18:06:40	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 2?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x85b8fc…
09-01 22:38:45	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd3f532…
09-01 20:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x2ea6a1…
09-01 19:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xdad226…
09-01 19:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x80e040…
09-01 18:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xb98ca7…
09-01 18:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$1	0xba6bcd…
09-01 17:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0xbcaabe…
09-01 17:33:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x587579…
09-01 17:33:22	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x47456d…
09-01 16:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xa6248d…
09-01 16:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xd0ef31…
09-01 14:39:31	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x14ba83…
09-01 14:38:30	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf2d441…
09-01 14:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x4a0259…
09-01 14:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x076c1f…
09-01 12:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xbc94d8…
09-01 12:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x03da7a…
09-01 10:49:28	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xa265c1…
09-01 10:48:27	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xdbbcf8…