Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$287

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

190

Trades

358

lifetime

Volume

$7.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$69

5 positions

First seen

2026-08-28

last 11-04 00:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

64% 67% -$216

Politics

22% 68% -$25

Crypto

12% 77% -$13

Sports

2% 60% -$34

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	+39	$32	85¢	$33	+$1	10-31 23:55
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	No	+20	$16	80¢	$17	+$1	11-01 12:02
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	+10	$8	98¢	$10	+$2	10-30 06:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	+10	$8	90¢	$9	+$1	10-29 20:53
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?	No	+1	$7	92¢	$1	-$7	09-23 05:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026?	3	$162	90	90	+0	No	+$4	10-09 04:37
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$161	92	92	+0	open	—	09-26 00:38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on September 18?	2	$125	75	75	+0	No	+$13	09-18 16:36
wti closes above 102 on september 16 2026	2	$124	68	68	+0	Yes	+$13	09-16 21:25
will bitcoin reach 78k on september 16 2026	2	$122	70	70	+0	No	+$11	09-16 19:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$120	64	64	+0	No	+$8	09-16 18:04
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 18?	3	$119	67	67	+0	Up	+$9	09-18 16:35
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 14?	2	$119	65	65	+0	Yes	+$8	09-14 15:38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 14?	2	$119	68	68	+0	Up	+$8	09-14 11:53
will bitcoin reach 82k on september 18 2026	2	$116	64	64	+0	No	+$5	09-18 23:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 18?	3	$115	63	63	+0	No	+$4	09-18 14:02
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on September 14?	3	$115	64	64	+0	Yes	+$4	09-14 08:34
will bitcoin dip to 74k on september 16 2026	2	$115	63	63	+0	No	+$4	09-16 19:49
will bitcoin dip to 73k on september 16 2026	2	$113	68	68	+0	No	+$2	09-16 17:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on September 22?	2	$113	66	66	+0	No	+$2	09-22 14:52
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	2	$111	64	64	+0	open	—	09-22 17:14
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on September 22?	2	$108	60	60	+0	No	+$8	09-22 19:59
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 15?	2	$104	58	58	+0	Yes	+$4	09-15 17:57
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$87	70	70	+0	No	-$25	10-25 22:13
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on September 15?	2	$85	69	67	+2	Yes	-$27	09-15 16:09
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	1	$80	94	0	+94	India	+$14	10-22 10:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	1	$79	91	0	+91	No	+$12	10-21 14:04
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	1	$79	92	0	+92	Yes	+$13	10-30 12:37
Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	1	$79	90	0	+90	No	+$11	11-02 07:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	7	$79	93	0	+93	Yes	-$79	10-30 18:47
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	2	$76	61	61	+0	Yes	-$36	10-22 13:34
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 21?	2	$69	62	62	+0	Yes	-$31	09-21 15:49
will wti reach 95 in september 2026 from september 25	2	$68	37	37	+0	Yes	+$5	09-28 08:28
will ethereum dip to 2600 on september 19 2026	3	$65	67	11	+57	Yes	-$45	09-19 23:39
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of September 21 2026?	4	$65	37	37	+0	No	+$2	09-22 21:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 00:54:37	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	38¢	$14	0x21c5aa…
11-04 00:02:55	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	53	32¢	$17	0x8b6c92…
11-03 23:50:52	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xe4f077…
11-03 23:50:48	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	52	30¢	$15	0x6bc589…
11-03 01:44:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x782389…
11-02 15:32:57	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	No	BUY	23	70¢	$16	0x06c6d8…
11-02 12:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on November 3?	No	BUY	23	70¢	$16	0x6d8066…
11-02 09:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on November 3?	No	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x2c36e5…
11-02 07:36:40	Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	90	88¢	$79	0x52ffbb…
11-02 06:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2?	No	SELL	24	33¢	$8	0x710a32…
11-02 04:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 2?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xac60b1…
11-02 04:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 2?	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x4ac2fd…
11-02 04:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 2?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x122611…
11-02 03:34:30	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0xcf4c1d…
11-01 22:39:54	Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs KRÜ Blaze (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	KRÜ Blaze	BUY	38	84¢	$32	0x20f8f3…
11-01 21:55:43	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	SELL	28	61¢	$17	0xeb436b…
11-01 19:04:55	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x617269…
11-01 12:57:18	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0x161637…
11-01 12:56:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0xf7d129…
11-01 12:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2?	No	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0x3efc59…
11-01 12:02:19	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x8e2490…
11-01 09:46:54	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$9	0xb4560e…
11-01 08:25:19	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	23	69¢	$16	0xda724f…
11-01 08:07:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xaa2fc5…
10-31 23:55:10	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	39	82¢	$32	0x0f99d3…
10-31 23:48:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0344b6…
10-31 23:48:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 1?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xf78628…
10-31 23:48:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 1?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x224907…
10-31 23:48:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 1?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x120627…
10-31 23:48:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 1?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x9bd16e…
10-31 21:48:42	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0x3f51e3…
10-31 20:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xf0b31d…
10-31 20:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 1?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x1c8166…
10-31 19:43:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 15%-18%?	No	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0x4adb7e…
10-31 19:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 31?	No	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x72d2cc…
10-31 19:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 31?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x0fe7aa…
10-31 16:21:51	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	60¢	$28	0xa9f7b9…
10-30 22:47:16	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0xf2a31f…
10-30 22:16:10	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0xb0f8dd…
10-30 21:28:42	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	36	87¢	$32	0x468708…
10-30 18:47:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xde4a78…
10-30 18:47:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xd6bfff…
10-30 18:47:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x8c731d…
10-30 18:47:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x1ed17a…
10-30 18:46:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xdfd0d1…
10-30 18:46:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xd8ce36…
10-30 18:46:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xa2b47e…
10-30 18:46:10	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x17103e…
10-30 12:37:42	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	Yes	BUY	92	86¢	$79	0x48447a…
10-30 06:15:00	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x1f6647…
10-30 03:11:06	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	39	35¢	$14	0x0f6305…
10-30 00:43:30	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	38	84¢	$32	0x750bb1…
10-30 00:33:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xfaac58…
10-29 23:38:34	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?	Yes	BUY	39	83¢	$32	0x64d085…
10-29 20:53:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xba2e7d…
10-29 17:36:46	Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	38	85¢	$32	0x608c82…
10-28 23:18:56	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x212090…
10-28 16:36:47	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	54	25¢	$14	0xe753ce…
10-28 13:02:41	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xe22e8b…
10-28 05:32:14	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x2c2fbc…
10-28 03:37:04	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	54	51¢	$27	0xeecade…
10-28 02:07:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	23	43¢	$10	0xda3fb2…
10-27 22:03:08	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	38	85¢	$32	0x612b54…
10-27 20:08:30	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	40	45¢	$18	0xb1fa1a…
10-27 17:27:38	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce	Alexander Zverev	BUY	36	88¢	$32	0x60dfe3…
10-27 04:50:45	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xa32e4e…
10-27 02:58:53	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x246f3a…
10-27 02:58:48	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x7bc90f…
10-27 01:32:38	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	69¢	$28	0x9a621e…
10-26 21:07:20	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x0b4d4f…
10-26 20:26:45	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner	LOS	BUY	22	71¢	$16	0x9f3f74…
10-26 19:57:56	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	Yes	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x8fa12c…
10-26 19:49:21	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	Yes	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x65ce88…
10-26 18:09:29	Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	12	89¢	$10	0xf811a7…
10-26 17:46:00	Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xd829e2…
10-26 17:46:00	Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x500c22…
10-26 16:55:33	Paris curfew effectively lifted by November 7?	Yes	BUY	63	89¢	$56	0x2e3d89…
10-26 16:27:02	Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x2561c9…
10-26 13:54:11	Persija Jakarta vs. Persik Kediri: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	64	87¢	$56	0x1e85f7…
10-26 09:47:17	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0xae8b6b…
10-25 23:27:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0xf81475…
10-25 23:03:18	CA River Plate vs. Racing Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xc59a75…
10-25 23:03:15	CA River Plate vs. Racing Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x499583…
10-25 22:13:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	70	44¢	$31	0x4331eb…
10-25 21:57:41	HFX Wanderers FC vs. FC Supra Du Quebec: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x1184ab…
10-25 21:57:12	HFX Wanderers FC vs. FC Supra Du Quebec: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x3b0320…
10-25 20:36:56	Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Nova Esports GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	Team Liquid Brazil	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb39004…
10-24 20:50:51	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	Yes	BUY	32	82¢	$26	0x64f516…
10-24 18:28:47	SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	52	54¢	$28	0x81521d…
10-24 14:32:08	Will Verizon (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x818573…
10-24 14:08:57	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	43	89¢	$38	0x5fb2a5…
10-24 10:27:24	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	67	73¢	$49	0x9cd0f3…
10-23 17:32:32	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	61¢	$24	0x636bac…
10-23 13:31:38	Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 1 Winner	Eternal Fire	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xb14765…
10-23 12:45:51	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 Winner	Dragon Ranger Gaming	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0x20392b…
10-23 11:09:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x6e8875…
10-22 18:01:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	58	88¢	$51	0x47477d…
10-22 16:17:35	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 22?	No	BUY	51	78¢	$39	0x7ca86e…
10-22 15:08:20	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	52	53¢	$27	0x8f4a18…
10-22 15:07:23	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	53	53¢	$28	0x00b673…