Daring-Midden — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$301

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

373

Trades

1,351

lifetime

Volume

$26.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 08-27 15:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

64% 73% -$255

Crypto

20% 62% -$88

Politics

14% 76% +$82

Sports

1% 75% +$3

Tech

1% 0% -$43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	5	$1.2K	719	719	+0	Yes	+$216	06-11 21:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$929	600	600	+0	No	+$57	06-01 00:04
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	2	$793	721	721	+0	No	-$504	06-15 17:51
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-15 00:00 UTC	7	$679	755	110	+645	Up	-$19	06-15 03:47
highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 15c	15	$642	328	327	+0	Yes	+$11	04-19 18:19
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	6	$530	273	273	+1	Yes	+$15	04-17 03:07
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	14	$510	400	400	+0	No	+$2	05-12 17:29
highest temperature in paris on april 14 2026 18c	4	$482	257	257	+0	Yes	-$9	04-14 17:32
highest temperature in atlanta on april 14 2026 82 83f	5	$468	240	240	+0	No	+$12	04-14 20:37
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 16 2026 22c	6	$464	250	250	+0	No	+$34	04-16 18:04
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 12 2026 26c	9	$424	245	250	-5	Yes	-$23	04-12 22:11
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 23c	2	$395	200	200	+0	Yes	+$5	04-14 12:32
highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 16c	20	$373	242	242	+0	Yes	+$0	04-18 18:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$368	200	200	+0	No	+$16	05-11 07:41
highest temperature in atlanta on april 14 2026 86 87f	6	$360	187	187	+0	No	+$12	04-14 23:33
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$338	200	200	+0	No	+$2	06-08 22:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 14:45 UTC	1	$326	329	0	+329	Up	+$3	06-22 14:59
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	2	$322	180	180	+0	Yes	+$38	06-15 18:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 14:00 UTC	3	$310	387	182	+205	Up	-$85	06-23 14:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	10	$306	200	200	+0	No	+$2	05-10 03:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$296	200	200	+0	No	+$8	05-24 14:18
highest temperature in munich on april 12 2026 12c	21	$296	190	189	+0	No	-$38	04-12 17:17
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 22c	5	$295	150	150	+0	Yes	+$4	04-15 21:47
highest temperature in munich on april 15 2026 12c	6	$284	150	150	+0	No	+$15	04-15 14:23
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	2	$275	100	200	-100	Up	+$21	05-18 18:24
highest temperature in paris on april 17 2026 21c	12	$272	140	140	+0	Yes	+$7	04-17 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12AM ET	8	$255	168	168	+0	Down	+$27	05-23 04:41
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	2	$246	200	200	+0	No	-$6	05-14 23:35
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$226	200	200	+0	No	+$2	05-27 15:15
highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 13c	6	$226	120	120	+0	Yes	+$14	04-13 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-27 15:33:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x95836d…
08-27 15:29:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x6c4980…
08-27 15:28:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 15:15 UTC	Up	SELL	26	12¢	$3	0x2cf6c5…
08-27 15:13:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0x6801c4…
08-27 15:11:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xaa8eab…
08-27 15:01:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe0efef…
08-27 15:00:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x2ea88e…
08-27 14:47:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	15	90¢	$13	0x76e636…
08-27 14:45:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x687b3e…
08-27 14:37:30	bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x89910b…
08-27 14:13:28	bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xbcbe6a…
08-27 13:48:12	bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x50677b…
08-27 07:14:21	bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9de272…
08-27 07:14:19	bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x229690…
08-27 07:14:18	bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x200451…
08-26 21:55:22	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xe09313…
08-26 21:19:51	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x878604…
08-26 21:18:43	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xb51fb2…
08-26 20:00:03	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x688cb0…
08-26 13:00:04	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xaa9e29…
08-26 12:45:07	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x54eed7…
08-25 23:56:10	bitcoin up or down august 25 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xdfb603…
08-25 19:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x612bc5…
08-25 19:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x64955d…
08-25 16:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x46a087…
08-25 15:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x272c18…
08-25 15:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x6774c8…
08-25 13:47:13	bitcoin up or down august 25 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x79a26a…
08-24 16:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	31	40¢	$13	0xb1463e…
08-24 16:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0x4b2912…
08-24 16:29:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x5011cf…
08-24 15:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x69fc4d…
08-24 15:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xf8f0d9…
08-24 15:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xacbe5e…
08-24 14:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0xb974c4…
08-24 14:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xbaec26…
08-24 14:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x9d4792…
08-24 14:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x502eb2…
08-24 14:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x4ee669…
08-24 14:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x12025e…
08-24 14:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x56ef35…
08-24 13:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xec0699…
08-24 13:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x8e63ca…
08-24 12:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	22	94¢	$20	0x236022…
08-24 12:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x5d2e0b…
08-24 12:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x12f54e…
08-24 12:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2f5d3f…
08-23 04:46:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-23 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$4	0xb7033c…
08-23 04:01:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-23 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x8e7c51…
08-23 03:49:25	bitcoin up or down august 22 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x46bb76…
08-22 14:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x34cfea…
08-21 23:00:07	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xcad17d…
06-23 14:10:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	271	59¢	$160	0xc0c837…
06-23 14:07:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x14eed0…
06-23 14:05:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x8d15a0…
06-23 14:04:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x034d56…
06-23 14:03:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	182	6¢	$10	0x24b115…
06-23 14:00:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xf3f1a2…
06-23 13:59:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:55 UTC	Down	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xc401d7…
06-23 13:55:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xea54ed…
06-23 13:53:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:50 UTC	Down	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x11bb0b…
06-23 13:50:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa24a7d…
06-23 12:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x954ac8…
06-23 12:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xfbdf4c…
06-23 03:15:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x0b8724…
06-22 23:23:47	bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 7pm et	Down	SELL	34	37¢	$13	0x4524e5…
06-22 23:20:02	bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xdd269d…
06-22 23:19:55	bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 7pm et	Up	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xfd32de…
06-22 23:02:07	bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa3bc6b…
06-22 23:02:07	bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x65d626…
06-22 23:02:07	bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4ecaff…
06-22 22:47:05	bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 6pm et	Up	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x7e7b6e…
06-22 22:14:16	bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x978023…
06-22 16:11:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x90f512…
06-22 14:59:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	329	99¢	$326	0xe47c80…
06-22 12:35:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xaaf76a…
06-22 12:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0xad0b3c…
06-22 12:30:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf43cb6…
06-22 12:29:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x51e891…
06-21 00:19:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x44216d…
06-21 00:19:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2dccbf…
06-21 00:19:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x14cb15…
06-21 00:17:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6b3853…
06-21 00:04:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe11d4a…
06-21 00:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3c65c4…
06-20 23:56:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x50666a…
06-20 22:47:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 20?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x037350…
06-20 22:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd37d4c…
06-20 21:59:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7308fd…
06-20 21:59:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x0ea55c…
06-20 20:30:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe727c6…
06-20 15:38:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x39209d…
06-20 12:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x29b70d…
06-20 03:29:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xf6f779…
06-20 03:26:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 03:25 UTC	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xcb6d7e…
06-20 03:25:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x53dd45…
06-20 03:17:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xe5648e…
06-20 03:17:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$0	0x48db26…
06-20 03:09:46	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-20 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	35	7¢	$2	0x3e3106…
06-20 03:06:59	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-20 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x0c2035…