Yellow-Dirndl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,481

lifetime

Volume

$6.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 08-12 05:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

49% 50% +$2

Crypto

31% 49% $-19

Other

18% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran close its airspace by august 31 20260609184136057	2	$456	347	347	+0	open	—	06-17 20:29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	6	$264	383	383	+0	open	—	06-23 08:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	2	$214	200	200	+0	open	—	06-11 18:35
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	16	$213	1,864	1,734	+130	open	—	06-25 19:50
iran closes its airspace by june 15	6	$208	277	277	+0	open	—	06-07 19:17
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	5	$186	1,000	900	+100	open	—	06-23 03:36
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	15	$138	27,583	27,583	+0	open	—	04-30 07:04
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	14	$135	902	200	+702	open	—	06-20 05:34
israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	8	$128	348	348	+0	open	—	06-04 09:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	13	$124	1,582	1,582	+0	open	—	05-23 05:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$115	550	550	+0	open	—	06-25 11:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	4	$114	100	100	+0	open	—	05-29 05:58
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	1	$112	200	0	+200	open	—	06-12 18:47
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	1	$100	125	0	+125	open	—	06-14 20:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	6	$87	545	560	-15	open	—	05-29 07:33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	19	$85	2,049	364	+1,685	open	—	05-23 03:23
iran closes its airspace by june 8	8	$84	1,415	415	+1,000	open	—	06-09 05:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	5	$81	400	400	+0	open	—	06-18 03:51
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$75	50	50	+0	open	—	05-25 00:47
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	11	$63	957	957	+0	open	—	05-31 03:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	5	$62	800	500	+300	open	—	06-17 06:17
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	3	$59	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 07:07
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	8	$54	962	962	+0	open	—	05-28 20:09
will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	4	$53	640	114	+526	open	—	06-15 00:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	2	$52	399	399	+0	open	—	04-30 11:05
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	4	$52	250	250	+0	open	—	06-11 18:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	7	$49	240	240	+0	open	—	06-11 04:08
Israeli forces enter Choukine by May 31?	13	$45	1,276	776	+500	open	—	06-02 09:07
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	2	$41	60	60	+0	open	—	06-23 04:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	6	$40	289	289	+0	open	—	05-27 03:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 05:30:49	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	240	0¢	$1	0x5c897b…
08-10 20:15:21	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	SELL	700	0¢	$1	0xb72c78…
08-07 06:25:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0x7c7242…
08-04 00:58:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x4dfbf7…
08-02 10:22:47	btc updown 5m 1785666000	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe3418a…
08-02 06:38:57	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	700	2¢	$11	0xdd3a90…
07-28 02:37:15	btc updown 5m 1785206100	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdcfbae…
07-28 02:36:16	btc updown 5m 1785206100	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc38938…
07-27 06:53:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xedc4d5…
07-27 06:48:18	btc updown 5m 1785134700	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbbfa92…
07-26 20:19:07	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xfe0cb0…
07-25 22:08:51	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0xcfd1e3…
07-24 09:12:09	btc updown 5m 1784884200	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x31f06b…
07-24 09:11:16	btc updown 5m 1784884200	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd1be1c…
07-24 07:17:39	btc updown 5m 1784877300	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x8f218c…
07-24 07:16:27	btc updown 5m 1784877300	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x52969f…
07-23 11:37:49	btc updown 5m 1784806500	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xac9e98…
07-23 11:36:30	btc updown 5m 1784806500	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0a02b7…
07-23 11:32:40	btc updown 5m 1784806200	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0x88871e…
07-23 11:30:42	btc updown 5m 1784806200	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8c4344…
07-23 11:29:30	btc updown 5m 1784805900	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xc9616a…
07-23 11:27:51	btc updown 5m 1784805900	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5df87f…
07-23 11:21:49	btc updown 5m 1784805600	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xbfcd04…
07-23 11:20:18	btc updown 5m 1784805600	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa3ff98…
07-23 11:05:54	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x650532…
07-23 04:09:12	btc updown 5m 1784779500	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc88f94…
07-23 04:04:48	btc updown 5m 1784779200	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x73c5de…
07-23 03:56:24	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x98e3bc…
07-22 08:58:58	btc updown 5m 1784710500	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6bd834…
07-22 08:45:30	btc updown 5m 1784709900	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2e9c0d…
07-22 08:42:43	btc updown 5m 1784709600	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x974bde…
07-22 08:40:42	btc updown 5m 1784709600	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5035fe…
07-22 07:31:13	btc updown 5m 1784705400	Down	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0xc3b978…
07-22 07:30:21	btc updown 5m 1784705400	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf1f761…
07-22 06:54:09	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x965511…
07-22 03:37:42	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	230	0¢	$1	0x71bef7…
07-21 11:48:06	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	230	1¢	$2	0xac05c5…
07-17 08:57:40	btc updown 5m 1784278500	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xdc9780…
07-17 08:56:43	btc updown 5m 1784278500	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf20c17…
07-17 08:36:24	btc updown 5m 1784277300	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1fbd98…
07-17 08:34:00	btc updown 5m 1784277000	Up	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x76f4bb…
07-17 08:33:12	btc updown 5m 1784277000	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0a61f7…
07-17 08:31:46	btc updown 5m 1784277000	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xf4b3df…
07-17 08:30:49	btc updown 5m 1784277000	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xffc455…
07-17 08:28:28	btc updown 5m 1784276700	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xa24b30…
07-17 08:27:00	btc updown 5m 1784276700	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x528a9c…
07-17 08:26:12	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	SELL	180	0¢	$0	0x6918a9…
07-15 11:09:44	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x56911d…
07-15 10:56:58	btc updown 5m 1784112900	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7dd7c8…
07-15 06:30:52	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$2	0xdda50e…
07-15 06:20:05	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xcff5d5…
07-15 06:19:47	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x4ccf4d…
07-15 06:18:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	66	14¢	$9	0x874e16…
07-15 06:03:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x196ac9…
07-14 06:20:44	btc updown 5m 1784010000	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8b5507…
07-14 05:58:37	btc updown 5m 1784008500	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa91146…
07-13 03:50:43	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x8a95aa…
07-12 01:40:58	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x41685a…
06-29 09:02:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x5e4f2a…
06-29 07:39:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$6	0x479b42…
06-29 07:37:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0xf2cf7a…
06-29 07:36:50	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb58c99…
06-29 07:36:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x988b71…
06-25 19:50:19	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	130	2¢	$3	0x310130…
06-25 11:03:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$15	0x8afe23…
06-25 05:32:13	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc0f0e6…
06-25 02:06:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$9	0x591bff…
06-25 02:02:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	18	52¢	$10	0x1fdd14…
06-25 01:57:02	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	Yes	BUY	730	0¢	$3	0x0ac4aa…
06-25 01:46:56	btc updown 5m 1782351900	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xa45541…
06-25 01:41:58	btc updown 5m 1782351600	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8e1eaf…
06-24 20:13:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x5dae44…
06-24 06:29:07	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$4	0xc9cd79…
06-24 06:26:11	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	1,500	2¢	$36	0x1d9b9d…
06-23 08:42:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	83	3¢	$3	0x69bdd9…
06-23 08:41:28	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x245d33…
06-23 04:02:55	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	60	33¢	$20	0x4702af…
06-23 03:52:04	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0x5a628b…
06-23 03:36:34	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x788091…
06-23 02:39:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x5fa94c…
06-23 02:35:04	btc updown 5m 1782181800	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1134d3…
06-23 02:33:05	btc updown 5m 1782181800	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2aa141…
06-23 02:24:34	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x93a660…
06-23 02:09:26	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	900	7¢	$65	0xf846a8…
06-22 02:13:25	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	391	12¢	$49	0xf8a598…
06-22 02:13:25	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	409	12¢	$51	0x028aef…
06-21 12:05:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	1,613	0¢	$2	0xd13f6c…
06-21 12:05:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x6c0927…
06-21 12:05:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	2,385	0¢	$2	0xe14274…
06-21 11:31:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x186986…
06-21 11:31:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x86975e…
06-21 07:30:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0xc7cb87…
06-21 06:33:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x9ece1f…
06-21 03:52:14	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x80a421…
06-21 00:11:25	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xda81de…
06-20 05:34:43	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x5e4b16…
06-20 05:11:04	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x3a09c1…
06-20 05:10:38	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xd11d62…
06-20 05:00:58	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	57	5¢	$3	0xd7a89e…
06-20 04:45:10	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xbfa675…