Humble-Beating — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$778

Unrealized P&L

+$91

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

928

Trades

2,069

lifetime

Volume

$113.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

$177

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 10-30 01:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 177 days

Categories

Other

77% 49% +$613

Sports

18% 54% +$343

Politics

2% 35% +$26

Crypto

2% 49% +$40

Tech

2% 40% -$243

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	+272	$64	58¢	$158	+$94	10-29 23:43
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+206	$15	7¢	$14	-$1	10-29 16:34
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+108	$6	4¢	$5	-$1	10-19 17:40
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+14	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	05-16 17:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 tyloo lgc 2026 06 09 map handicap home 1pt5	3	$2.7K	1,624	1,624	+0	Legacy	+$527	06-09 17:06
lol jdg blg 2026 06 06	3	$2.7K	1,696	1,696	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$102	06-06 11:59
cs2 ts7 bb3 2026 06 06	3	$2.6K	1,498	1,498	+0	Spirit	+$396	06-06 15:13
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	3	$2.5K	1,464	1,464	+0	Spirit	+$453	05-15 10:35
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	4	$2.3K	2,453	2,453	+0	No	-$79	06-05 04:12
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$2.3K	1,590	1,590	+0	Yes	+$192	07-12 03:43
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	2	$1.6K	1,030	1,030	+0	Legacy	-$10	05-24 02:40
cs2 vit mouz 2026 06 13	6	$1.5K	907	907	+0	Vitality	+$49	06-13 17:38
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	15	$1.5K	1,439	1,439	+0	Yes	+$85	06-14 03:52
spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	19	$1.4K	1,061	1,061	+0	Up	+$32	06-12 15:54
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	2	$1.3K	750	750	+0	Vitality	+$149	05-03 22:14
cs2 fal2 g2 2026 06 11	4	$1.3K	794	794	+0	Team Falcons	+$293	06-11 18:32
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	3	$1.2K	957	957	+0	Knicks	-$133	06-06 01:59
cs2 lgc prv 2026 10 14	2	$1.1K	590	590	+0	Legacy	+$30	10-14 17:59
Kings vs. Spurs	4	$1.1K	610	610	+0	Spurs	+$36	10-17 01:09
cs2 mglz mnte 2026 06 14 map handicap away 1pt5	2	$1.1K	588	588	+0	Monte	+$88	06-14 12:58
fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	3	$1.0K	1,154	450	+704	Over	+$242	06-26 17:15
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	3	$1.0K	1,356	1,356	+0	Yes	-$577	06-28 00:51
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	2	$992	833	833	+0	Spain	-$8	07-12 11:49
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?	4	$982	527	527	+0	Yes	+$62	10-17 16:03
Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	6	$977	593	593	+0	Yes	+$204	10-11 18:15
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	6	$882	772	772	+0	Yes	-$18	06-28 18:52
cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 20 game4	4	$806	448	448	+0	Vitality	+$90	09-20 18:46
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	4	$794	872	872	+0	No	-$461	06-15 17:51
fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	1	$780	1,054	0	+1,054	Netherlands	+$274	06-25 14:15
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	2	$772	608	608	+0	No	-$6	06-15 18:02
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	4	$769	2,339	2,339	+0	No	-$40	06-15 17:53
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	2	$719	441	441	+0	Portugal	+$119	06-23 17:24
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs	2	$699	404	404	+0	JD Gaming	+$108	09-18 12:30
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	6	$683	450	450	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$101	10-29 00:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 01:49:04	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x1296e0…
10-30 01:46:13	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x958d1f…
10-29 23:57:18	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0xf96e0b…
10-29 23:43:01	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	241	58¢	$140	0x588faa…
10-29 16:38:31	Will Chovy win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	212	17¢	$36	0xa2d86c…
10-29 16:34:59	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	7¢	$15	0xe3e96d…
10-29 16:33:56	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xfd8d0c…
10-29 16:21:22	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd108c5…
10-29 16:20:38	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x90f8c1…
10-29 16:20:22	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfc83e1…
10-29 14:58:13	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	MOUZ	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x4848a6…
10-29 13:08:04	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x0ee3bd…
10-29 13:05:41	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	SELL	298	100¢	$298	0xeeadff…
10-29 12:11:17	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x61c078…
10-29 12:10:59	Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x630721…
10-29 12:10:23	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc3bc73…
10-29 12:10:08	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	714	1¢	$5	0xfb2d33…
10-29 10:08:20	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	37¢	$39	0x49eebe…
10-29 06:40:40	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	282	71¢	$200	0xa4c4f9…
10-29 06:40:14	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xc8f883…
10-29 02:36:17	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x959d39…
10-29 02:30:04	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	SELL	231	100¢	$231	0x6a3a3e…
10-29 01:23:16	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	BUY	231	86¢	$199	0x986350…
10-29 00:43:40	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	37¢	$80	0xb51a00…
10-29 00:16:53	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	SELL	281	100¢	$280	0x6c6ab8…
10-28 23:32:05	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	111	60¢	$67	0xdd00b6…
10-28 23:31:38	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	193	36¢	$70	0x16a91c…
10-28 18:41:56	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	387	40¢	$155	0xad06da…
10-28 18:40:11	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	SELL	169	66¢	$112	0xd14bbe…
10-28 18:29:50	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	186	67¢	$124	0xb4c594…
10-28 18:29:32	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	SELL	93	18¢	$17	0x1ab139…
10-28 18:29:25	Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	3¢	$5	0x133bf7…
10-28 18:29:16	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x496678…
10-28 18:29:05	Will Canyon win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	225	7¢	$16	0x3bf1b0…
10-28 18:28:49	Will Chovy win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	216	16¢	$35	0xb0a88e…
10-28 18:28:25	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	SELL	652	7¢	$48	0xf3d059…
10-28 18:07:40	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	135	38¢	$51	0xb6fb7b…
10-28 18:07:22	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	79	67¢	$53	0x06c3b2…
10-28 17:43:56	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	62	65¢	$41	0xcd36e7…
10-28 17:43:37	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	455	9¢	$41	0x5aea42…
10-28 17:38:53	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	187	61¢	$114	0xf12825…
10-28 17:38:35	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	278	43¢	$119	0x21464b…
10-28 17:34:35	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	267	39¢	$104	0x0d632f…
10-28 17:17:47	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x9e8e49…
10-28 17:17:02	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	SELL	414	14¢	$58	0x513ee2…
10-28 16:36:34	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	93	21¢	$20	0x651cfc…
10-28 16:35:22	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xf5bcad…
10-28 16:21:04	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xcd7a17…
10-28 16:20:31	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	187	53¢	$99	0x30c9bf…
10-28 16:19:46	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	104	52¢	$54	0xa79852…
10-27 17:04:00	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	SELL	34	21¢	$7	0x8ffc0d…
10-27 16:55:42	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0x63f869…
10-27 12:51:24	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xd26ace…
10-27 05:35:26	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	53	62¢	$33	0x54cfd9…
10-27 01:06:30	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	SELL	26	42¢	$11	0x398321…
10-26 23:52:38	Suns vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x3bb06a…
10-26 23:38:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xffc2c7…
10-26 17:11:53	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Natus Vincere	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x4f5eff…
10-26 17:05:33	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x9d2b91…
10-26 15:48:59	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xa5bd42…
10-26 15:47:35	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,959	0¢	$5	0x9460ab…
10-26 15:46:14	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x134bae…
10-26 15:45:08	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x5b670a…
10-26 15:43:35	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x67c1fa…
10-26 15:05:42	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xc6f8f2…
10-26 13:01:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xc2befb…
10-26 01:24:15	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe107b9…
10-25 23:44:08	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x3e5dba…
10-25 16:30:36	Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: Leeds United FC O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xbdeaa2…
10-25 16:22:48	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xac0bec…
10-25 15:19:35	Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xa049cb…
10-25 13:43:05	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	SELL	104	47¢	$49	0x8dca8f…
10-25 07:26:03	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x033002…
10-25 07:15:29	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Legacy	BUY	29	73¢	$21	0x64d0fe…
10-25 07:15:00	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	104	82¢	$85	0x5f56c5…
10-25 04:22:12	Will Canyon win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	225	7¢	$15	0x88a3a1…
10-25 04:21:26	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x462684…
10-25 03:35:29	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xdf493f…
10-25 03:28:20	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	SELL	59	5¢	$3	0x600299…
10-25 03:24:20	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x1492a4…
10-25 03:23:21	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xde9dcd…
10-25 03:19:33	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0x6ff702…
10-25 03:16:23	Rockets vs. Hawks	Rockets	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xefeab5…
10-25 02:46:20	Rockets vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0xe62f96…
10-25 02:40:48	Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5	Under	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0xfec183…
10-25 01:40:21	Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5	Under	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x0f8e17…
10-25 01:35:59	Spread: Rockets (-1.5)	Rockets	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x14bfef…
10-25 01:10:56	LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xa1eb88…
10-25 00:38:33	LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	37	73¢	$27	0xb3115e…
10-24 22:56:11	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x5106d1…
10-24 22:32:08	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xbbd862…
10-24 18:59:21	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0xa451d6…
10-24 18:41:08	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xbb5951…
10-24 18:40:12	Rockets vs. Hawks	Rockets	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x73f13c…
10-24 18:28:27	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xbf2b66…
10-24 17:48:38	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0xa0d7cb…
10-24 17:46:23	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcf9602…
10-24 17:32:18	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xf3726b…
10-24 17:24:35	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x8ae14f…
10-24 17:03:36	Chelsea FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xadf26f…