Sleepy-Waterspout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$320

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.7%

Resolved

Trades

433

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 05-11 19:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 57% +$193

Other

29% 60% +$127

Sports

15% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	9	$1.6K	1,562	1,562	+0	open	—	05-11 19:54
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 xc mens 10km interval start free johannes klaebo nor	3	$631	474	474	+0	open	—	02-13 11:59
bun hsv lei 2026 03 01 total 3pt5	2	$320	239	239	+0	open	—	03-01 20:26
ucl bog1 int2 2026 02 18 bog1	3	$288	238	238	+0	open	—	02-18 21:53
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 biathlon mens 4 x 75km relay norway	6	$244	240	221	+19	open	—	02-17 10:05
ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 rma	1	$215	0	216	-216	open	—	02-17 22:31
wwoh swi swe 2026 02 19	4	$208	310	86	+224	open	—	02-18 22:35
epl bri not 2026 03 01 total 4pt5	2	$206	156	156	+0	open	—	03-01 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$200	328	0	+328	Down	+$128	05-11 09:53
btc updown 5m 1771328100	3	$182	104	103	+1	open	—	02-17 11:41
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	2	$172	122	122	+0	No	+$72	05-10 21:00
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 total 3pt5	2	$154	104	104	+0	open	—	03-01 16:08
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	2	$148	108	108	+0	FC Barcelona	+$68	05-10 21:00
epl ars che 2026 03 01 btts	2	$142	93	93	+0	open	—	03-01 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$139	137	89	+48	Up	+$26	05-11 09:58
btc updown 5m 1771328700	3	$139	91	89	+1	open	—	02-17 11:50
epl ars che 2026 03 01 total 2pt5	2	$138	88	88	+0	open	—	03-01 18:35
btc updown 5m 1771371300	4	$134	117	89	+29	open	—	02-17 23:40
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 biathlon mens 4 x 75km relay sweden	3	$132	455	455	+0	open	—	02-17 14:33
btc updown 5m 1771329300	3	$130	101	100	+1	open	—	02-17 11:59
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 biathlon mens 4 x 75km relay france	2	$125	85	85	+0	open	—	02-17 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	5	$125	171	132	+39	Down	+$9	05-10 18:58
epl bre ars 2026 02 12 btts	2	$122	91	91	+0	open	—	02-12 21:43
btc updown 5m 1771451700	3	$120	131	129	+2	open	—	02-18 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$119	100	100	+0	Up	+$19	05-10 21:00
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	2	$117	88	88	+0	Movistar KOI	+$57	05-10 19:23
epl ars che 2026 03 01 che	2	$115	750	0	+750	open	—	03-01 17:37
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 xc mens 10km interval start free einer hedegart nor	2	$113	73	73	+0	open	—	02-13 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$112	73	73	+0	Up	+$32	05-10 18:50
btc updown 5m 1771368300	4	$111	129	82	+48	open	—	02-17 22:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 19:54:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	406	50¢	$203	0x7ce3cf…
05-11 19:43:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	209	50¢	$105	0x3f9c88…
05-11 11:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x2d2f72…
05-11 10:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xdb592b…
05-11 10:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xb72765…
05-11 10:02:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	615	54¢	$330	0xe4d26c…
05-11 10:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	108	46¢	$50	0xb392e6…
05-11 09:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0xb3a2b7…
05-11 09:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	89	66¢	$59	0x8529e8…
05-11 09:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0x6e1ac5…
05-11 09:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	206	49¢	$100	0xe26e19…
05-11 09:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xb34ec3…
05-11 09:53:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	630	53¢	$334	0x51d373…
05-11 09:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xca6fd5…
05-11 09:25:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x519033…
05-11 09:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x57b8e8…
05-11 09:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	86	56¢	$48	0x2d37fb…
05-11 08:59:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	444	54¢	$240	0x5a5983…
05-11 08:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	121	58¢	$70	0x03055a…
05-11 08:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	152	46¢	$70	0xa7895b…
05-11 08:39:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	318	53¢	$168	0x0a4275…
05-11 08:37:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	122	54¢	$66	0x107acc…
05-11 08:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x59f896…
05-11 08:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x31d566…
05-11 08:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	108	46¢	$50	0x7cc3ab…
05-11 06:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	64	63¢	$40	0x12ba50…
05-11 06:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x4896f0…
05-11 05:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x899a2d…
05-11 05:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xae8c21…
05-11 05:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x3c8de1…
05-11 05:20:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	121	16¢	$19	0x0e35e1…
05-11 05:18:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	121	17¢	$20	0x5a8f71…
05-11 05:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xf48127…
05-10 21:59:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xce17e4…
05-10 21:29:18	New York Liberty vs. Washington Mystics	Washington Mystics	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x9a4181…
05-10 21:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0xc9068f…
05-10 21:20:08	New York Liberty vs. Washington Mystics	Washington Mystics	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x17817f…
05-10 21:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	76	40¢	$30	0xb1453b…
05-10 21:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	94	42¢	$40	0xd95d60…
05-10 21:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0xf97448…
05-10 21:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xb9d513…
05-10 21:00:15	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xa80478…
05-10 21:00:08	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x8b80fd…
05-10 20:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x30c5d1…
05-10 20:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x19ea8a…
05-10 20:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x3edbf4…
05-10 20:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0x97f80a…
05-10 20:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0x2522fd…
05-10 20:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x332238…
05-10 20:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0d623a…
05-10 20:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb92fce…
05-10 20:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x3809c4…
05-10 19:56:59	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xec4679…
05-10 19:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x2decf7…
05-10 19:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x1072c1…
05-10 19:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xe7c853…
05-10 19:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x5b2249…
05-10 19:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xfc8775…
05-10 19:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x1035e7…
05-10 19:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xf04385…
05-10 19:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x7aa3df…
05-10 19:23:37	LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Movistar KOI	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0x92bd7a…
05-10 19:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	103	23¢	$24	0x0a302b…
05-10 18:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	39	46¢	$18	0x199ab2…
05-10 18:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	87	38¢	$33	0xc36c87…
05-10 18:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xc6dcac…
05-10 18:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	45	74¢	$34	0xcf1434…
05-10 18:56:35	Dani Olmo: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x500d8a…
05-10 18:56:17	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0xbfa2bc…
05-10 18:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xea69d6…
05-10 18:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	56	88¢	$49	0x3ae214…
05-10 18:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xa74e46…
05-10 18:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0x6521ed…
05-10 18:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0x1e6a70…
05-10 18:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x8eb478…
05-10 18:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x565d1e…
05-10 18:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	57	95¢	$54	0x6c58b9…
05-10 18:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x3ebfec…
05-10 18:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0xca3669…
05-10 18:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0x795d5b…
05-10 18:26:37	LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Movistar KOI	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x332a35…
05-10 18:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	71	41¢	$29	0x976d51…
05-10 18:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	29	44¢	$12	0x876e9c…
03-02 09:35:23	btc updown 5m 1772444100	Up	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x1def1a…
03-02 09:35:17	btc updown 5m 1772444100	Up	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x784e21…
03-02 09:30:55	btc updown 5m 1772443800	Down	BUY	72	41¢	$30	0x9c0139…
03-02 09:30:35	btc updown 5m 1772443500	Down	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0xa7825b…
03-02 09:25:13	btc updown 5m 1772443500	Down	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x10cfa8…
03-02 09:24:35	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	SELL	82	50¢	$41	0x8d77bd…
03-02 07:35:35	btc updown 5m 1772436900	Down	BUY	81	27¢	$22	0x31a39c…
03-02 07:34:49	btc updown 5m 1772436600	Up	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0xe8ac1a…
03-02 07:32:07	btc updown 5m 1772436600	Up	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0x3fc91c…
03-02 07:21:05	btc updown 5m 1772436000	Down	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0x39068f…
03-02 05:51:03	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x4546b8…
03-02 05:48:43	kor dae1 any 2026 03 02 dae1	Yes	BUY	96	42¢	$40	0x69a0cf…
03-02 05:35:35	btc updown 5m 1772429700	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x7f8ac3…
03-02 05:30:21	btc updown 5m 1772429400	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xed3ef3…
03-01 20:36:37	fl1 olm lyo 2026 03 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xb826b0…
03-01 20:26:53	bun hsv lei 2026 03 01 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	239	92¢	$220	0x5bc322…
03-01 19:51:25	btc updown 5m 1772394600	Down	BUY	58	67¢	$39	0x768ae7…