Legitimate-Lilac — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

7.1%

Resolved

Trades

312

lifetime

Volume

$5.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-24

last 06-05 22:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 50% +$0

Other

27% — —

Politics

11% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-74	$-5	5¢	$-4	+$1	06-03 06:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$557	639	639	+0	open	—	01-26 00:28
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$294	1,088	1,088	+0	open	—	01-30 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	5	$266	190	190	+0	open	—	05-01 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	6	$266	208	208	+0	open	—	05-01 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$186	143	143	+0	open	—	05-01 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$179	119	119	+0	open	—	05-01 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	3	$179	1,079	150	+929	open	—	05-01 20:43
Will the US strike Iran next?	1	$165	1,056	0	+1,056	open	—	01-27 14:22
highest temperature in toronto on april 11 2026 10c	2	$153	113	109	+3	open	—	04-11 23:49
btc updown 5m 1780697400	9	$131	240	96	+144	open	—	06-05 22:13
will powell say stock market during january press conference 344	3	$113	373	730	-357	open	—	01-28 20:41
btc updown 5m 1775862000	4	$113	119	115	+4	open	—	04-10 23:03
btc updown 5m 1780697700	5	$110	71	71	+0	open	—	06-05 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	6	$108	109	109	+0	open	—	05-03 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$99	71	71	+0	open	—	05-01 20:14
btc updown 5m 1775860500	3	$98	82	39	+44	open	—	04-10 22:40
btc updown 5m 1776375600	1	$90	125	0	+125	open	—	04-16 21:42
highest temperature in toronto on april 18 2026 20c	3	$87	270	257	+13	open	—	04-18 17:57
highest temperature in toronto on april 17 2026 18c	4	$86	439	420	+19	open	—	04-17 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$86	131	21	+111	open	—	05-01 20:29
btc updown 5m 1775862900	4	$85	87	83	+3	open	—	04-10 23:18
btc updown 5m 1776375900	2	$77	68	65	+3	open	—	04-16 21:47
btc updown 5m 1775862300	4	$75	64	62	+2	open	—	04-10 23:08
btc updown 5m 1780697100	6	$74	65	65	+0	open	—	06-05 22:09
btc updown 5m 1775862600	4	$72	54	53	+1	open	—	04-10 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	10	$70	70	45	+25	open	—	04-27 01:40
btc updown 5m 1775861100	2	$69	73	70	+3	open	—	04-10 22:49
will trump say insane asylum during iowa speech 744 315	2	$68	49	49	+0	open	—	01-27 23:29
btc updown 5m 1775860800	2	$66	45	44	+1	open	—	04-10 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	6	$65	57	57	+0	Down	$-5	05-09 03:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 22:18:18	btc updown 5m 1780697700	Up	SELL	39	96¢	$37	0xb394b6…
06-05 22:16:31	btc updown 5m 1780697700	Up	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x7fc034…
06-05 22:16:21	btc updown 5m 1780697700	Up	SELL	32	72¢	$23	0xfe43c6…
06-05 22:15:52	btc updown 5m 1780697700	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x3802ca…
06-05 22:15:48	btc updown 5m 1780697700	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xac1d7c…
06-05 22:13:21	btc updown 5m 1780697400	Up	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xfdc981…
06-05 22:12:24	btc updown 5m 1780697400	Down	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xda4a8d…
06-05 22:11:51	btc updown 5m 1780697400	Down	SELL	27	54¢	$14	0x72a7c6…
06-05 22:11:18	btc updown 5m 1780697400	Up	SELL	29	29¢	$8	0x0fd7f4…
06-05 22:11:12	btc updown 5m 1780697400	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xaed900…
06-05 22:10:54	btc updown 5m 1780697400	Up	BUY	29	42¢	$12	0xea8f57…
06-05 22:10:33	btc updown 5m 1780697400	Up	SELL	41	52¢	$21	0x11f6e7…
06-05 22:10:27	btc updown 5m 1780697400	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1a58e7…
06-05 22:10:25	btc updown 5m 1780697400	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb48f06…
06-05 22:09:45	btc updown 5m 1780697100	Up	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0xd0f155…
06-05 22:09:30	btc updown 5m 1780697100	Up	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x6e70f6…
06-05 22:09:09	btc updown 5m 1780697100	Up	SELL	34	78¢	$27	0xd489ef…
06-05 22:08:46	btc updown 5m 1780697100	Down	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x0f9acb…
06-05 22:06:42	btc updown 5m 1780697100	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xbd641c…
06-05 22:06:01	btc updown 5m 1780697100	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xe27821…
06-03 06:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x8e5645…
06-03 06:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x81334a…
06-03 06:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	45¢	$3	0xab0b15…
06-03 06:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x58fd3e…
06-03 06:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x8d8ffc…
06-03 06:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x50dc32…
06-03 06:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	18	50¢	$9	0x9d01cd…
06-03 06:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x125b39…
06-03 06:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x2882f4…
06-03 06:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x3c3a3d…
06-03 06:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	16	59¢	$10	0xfd7d8b…
06-03 06:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x2e5ec8…
06-03 06:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xdc4abf…
06-03 06:05:16	Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	6¢	$8	0x26e042…
06-03 06:05:06	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	6¢	$5	0x05a54b…
05-22 22:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xe7258c…
05-22 22:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x97c5ae…
05-22 22:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0x092b7b…
05-22 22:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xfe71af…
05-22 22:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	62¢	$0	0x890c77…
05-22 22:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0xa7d766…
05-22 22:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x39444c…
05-19 00:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x1f1239…
05-19 00:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4f083e…
05-19 00:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x0bcb1d…
05-19 00:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x73cf47…
05-19 00:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x37648e…
05-19 00:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x02ea03…
05-19 00:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x7802b8…
05-19 00:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x4406df…
05-19 00:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x454fa1…
05-19 00:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc5f890…
05-19 00:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0xe92dd8…
05-19 00:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x96bd24…
05-19 00:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc21dcb…
05-19 00:42:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x855e5b…
05-16 20:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xa926c9…
05-16 20:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7b7a7d…
05-16 20:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x03982c…
05-16 20:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf7400b…
05-16 20:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2c9108…
05-16 20:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	16	46¢	$7	0x84a45c…
05-16 20:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xab80fe…
05-16 20:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x405187…
05-16 20:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	19	67¢	$12	0xee9a85…
05-16 20:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x30eca2…
05-16 20:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0eb4bd…
05-16 20:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x8ab435…
05-16 20:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xcbdaba…
05-16 20:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xf1cdb5…
05-16 20:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xe759af…
05-16 20:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x3c141f…
05-16 20:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xc89207…
05-16 18:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0xbe419e…
05-16 18:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x50d60b…
05-15 22:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x3dabc5…
05-15 22:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x25a348…
05-15 22:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x2b019d…
05-15 22:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0ac827…
05-15 22:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	17	47¢	$8	0x151326…
05-15 22:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x54947b…
05-15 22:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x343168…
05-15 22:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	23	60¢	$14	0x1d26c1…
05-15 22:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xf0560c…
05-14 17:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x1b5070…
05-14 17:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x203dc3…
05-14 17:44:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	147	18¢	$26	0x51decc…
05-09 03:29:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xbeb807…
05-09 03:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	21	80¢	$17	0x4e83f5…
05-09 03:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x9f7acf…
05-09 03:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x73f539…
05-09 03:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xc191ce…
05-09 03:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0xf20873…
05-09 03:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xab38c5…
05-08 20:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	77	6¢	$5	0xa8b9d4…
05-03 17:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	33	78¢	$26	0x6b227c…
05-03 17:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x71c109…
05-03 16:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	42	43¢	$18	0x06a65e…
05-03 16:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x489956…
05-03 16:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	46	54¢	$25	0x556041…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	67	$45.8K	1,485	06-07 05:00
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	62	$17.0K	3,507	06-05 22:19
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	62	$16.0K	5,179	06-05 22:19
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	62	$14.7K	2,893	06-05 22:19
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	61	$110.3K	5,163	06-05 22:19
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	60	$15.8K	5,186	06-05 22:19
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	60	$5.79K	1,131	06-05 22:19
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	59	$11.5K	462	06-05 22:16