Plush-Forearm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$280

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.4%

Resolved

267

Trades

10,830

lifetime

Volume

$42.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-28 21:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 56% +$280

Politics

1% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 657 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	36	$223	170	170	+0	open	—	01-30 15:56
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	36	$148	190	190	+0	open	—	01-30 15:58
btc updown 15m 1772873100	30	$144	142	140	+2	open	—	03-07 08:51
btc updown 15m 1780552800	598	$136	609	609	+0	open	—	06-04 06:08
btc updown 15m 1770906600	42	$106	210	0	+210	open	—	02-12 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	11	$99	121	0	+121	open	—	06-01 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	9	$99	120	0	+120	open	—	05-22 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	9	$98	120	0	+120	open	—	05-30 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$97	120	0	+120	open	—	05-18 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	12	$97	126	0	+126	open	—	06-03 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$96	120	0	+120	Down	$-16	05-09 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$96	120	0	+120	Down	$-16	05-11 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	10	$95	120	0	+120	open	—	05-30 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$94	122	0	+122	open	—	05-20 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	12	$93	120	0	+120	open	—	05-27 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	11	$93	120	0	+120	open	—	05-26 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	7	$93	120	0	+120	Up	$-13	05-09 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$93	120	0	+120	open	—	05-19 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	9	$92	120	0	+120	open	—	05-30 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$92	120	0	+120	Up	$-12	05-07 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	3	$92	120	0	+120	Down	$-12	05-13 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	9	$90	120	0	+120	open	—	05-30 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$90	120	0	+120	open	—	05-15 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$90	120	0	+120	Up	$-10	05-09 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$90	120	0	+120	Down	$-10	05-09 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	10	$88	120	0	+120	open	—	05-30 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$88	122	0	+122	open	—	05-22 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	9	$87	120	0	+120	open	—	05-30 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$87	120	0	+120	open	—	05-15 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	10	$86	119	0	+119	open	—	05-30 18:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 21:26:52	btc updown 15m 1782681300	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf97594…
06-28 21:26:52	btc updown 15m 1782681300	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x209bc0…
06-28 21:26:50	btc updown 15m 1782681300	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd52c09…
06-28 21:24:32	btc updown 15m 1782681300	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1bf6f8…
06-28 21:13:04	btc updown 15m 1782680400	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x796233…
06-28 21:06:01	btc updown 15m 1782680400	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x4011bd…
06-28 20:39:50	btc updown 15m 1782678600	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc6b009…
06-28 20:39:49	btc updown 15m 1782678600	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe799ed…
06-28 20:39:49	btc updown 15m 1782678600	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x6eadbd…
06-28 20:39:49	btc updown 15m 1782678600	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x564cbf…
06-28 20:39:43	btc updown 15m 1782678600	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x41fb51…
06-28 20:39:04	btc updown 15m 1782678600	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcf558a…
06-28 19:21:17	btc updown 15m 1782674100	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5a0e1c…
06-28 16:39:34	btc updown 15m 1782664200	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xbccea6…
06-28 16:39:28	btc updown 15m 1782664200	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xff5e95…
06-28 16:39:28	btc updown 15m 1782664200	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe11642…
06-28 16:39:28	btc updown 15m 1782664200	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7cbc28…
06-28 15:35:59	btc updown 15m 1782660600	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9d1137…
06-28 15:35:40	btc updown 15m 1782660600	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd6de0e…
06-28 15:18:20	btc updown 15m 1782659700	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa96328…
06-28 15:18:20	btc updown 15m 1782659700	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x8c1988…
06-28 15:18:13	btc updown 15m 1782659700	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe591bd…
06-28 15:18:11	btc updown 15m 1782659700	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x739a15…
06-28 15:14:44	btc updown 15m 1782658800	Up	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xa50ee1…
06-28 15:13:25	btc updown 15m 1782658800	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x92f099…
06-28 15:13:23	btc updown 15m 1782658800	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x54baf0…
06-28 15:09:02	btc updown 15m 1782658800	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9b5a30…
06-28 15:08:38	btc updown 15m 1782658800	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1b78d8…
06-28 11:52:59	btc updown 15m 1782647100	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x169c5e…
06-28 11:52:46	btc updown 15m 1782647100	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0bcdfd…
06-28 11:52:40	btc updown 15m 1782647100	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd9e50c…
06-28 11:52:38	btc updown 15m 1782647100	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc8e546…
06-28 10:48:14	btc updown 15m 1782643500	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x230cf2…
06-28 10:14:53	btc updown 15m 1782640800	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x362412…
06-28 10:03:29	btc updown 15m 1782640800	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6009b0…
06-28 10:02:20	btc updown 15m 1782640800	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7b3a0a…
06-28 08:01:47	btc updown 15m 1782633600	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7affaa…
06-28 08:01:47	btc updown 15m 1782633600	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6cc342…
06-28 08:01:46	btc updown 15m 1782633600	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x12cf3f…
06-28 08:01:44	btc updown 15m 1782633600	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x275f37…
06-28 08:01:41	btc updown 15m 1782633600	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9b180d…
06-28 08:01:07	btc updown 15m 1782633600	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x644fb6…
06-28 07:54:40	btc updown 15m 1782632700	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2a9936…
06-28 07:54:35	btc updown 15m 1782632700	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd7a573…
06-28 07:50:01	btc updown 15m 1782632700	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4b2f1a…
06-28 07:50:01	btc updown 15m 1782632700	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x338783…
06-28 06:15:56	btc updown 15m 1782627300	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x638fa9…
06-28 06:15:55	btc updown 15m 1782627300	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4a8749…
06-28 06:15:53	btc updown 15m 1782627300	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe5ff80…
06-28 06:15:53	btc updown 15m 1782627300	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9f2523…
06-27 16:02:20	btc updown 15m 1782576000	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9f73f2…
06-27 14:35:40	btc updown 15m 1782570600	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa40de6…
06-27 14:35:38	btc updown 15m 1782570600	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbd31c2…
06-27 14:33:14	btc updown 15m 1782570600	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x96d664…
06-27 14:33:13	btc updown 15m 1782570600	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x622a6f…
06-27 13:46:55	btc updown 15m 1782567900	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x8101c3…
06-27 13:35:59	btc updown 15m 1782567000	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x597176…
06-27 13:35:59	btc updown 15m 1782567000	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x11aeff…
06-27 13:35:53	btc updown 15m 1782567000	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x2739c2…
06-27 13:35:44	btc updown 15m 1782567000	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5ae709…
06-27 13:23:17	btc updown 15m 1782566100	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xef0118…
06-27 13:23:08	btc updown 15m 1782566100	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x40dd47…
06-27 13:23:07	btc updown 15m 1782566100	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x2d650b…
06-27 13:18:26	btc updown 15m 1782566100	Up	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0xddadc6…
06-27 13:18:25	btc updown 15m 1782566100	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x46cbe0…
06-27 13:14:43	btc updown 15m 1782565200	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x5f14f0…
06-27 13:09:32	btc updown 15m 1782565200	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x33b990…
06-27 13:09:31	btc updown 15m 1782565200	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x55a0b2…
06-27 13:09:23	btc updown 15m 1782565200	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x60aceb…
06-27 13:08:26	btc updown 15m 1782565200	Up	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xf8996b…
06-27 13:03:17	btc updown 15m 1782565200	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x11bd7c…
06-27 12:44:44	btc updown 15m 1782563400	Down	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0xc1a3b6…
06-27 12:38:05	btc updown 15m 1782563400	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x3cfc9a…
06-27 12:37:41	btc updown 15m 1782563400	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x14b50d…
06-27 12:36:16	btc updown 15m 1782563400	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x7ee2a8…
06-27 12:36:13	btc updown 15m 1782563400	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0bc3b2…
06-27 11:36:19	btc updown 15m 1782559800	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3d2494…
06-27 11:35:58	btc updown 15m 1782559800	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x870bb1…
06-27 11:13:25	btc updown 15m 1782558000	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xb40c5e…
06-27 11:05:46	btc updown 15m 1782558000	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x91a135…
06-27 11:05:44	btc updown 15m 1782558000	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xfe6b52…
06-27 11:01:50	btc updown 15m 1782558000	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x6ca9b7…
06-27 10:20:56	btc updown 15m 1782555300	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xaa31f6…
06-27 10:20:56	btc updown 15m 1782555300	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x80c449…
06-27 10:20:55	btc updown 15m 1782555300	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1ff928…
06-27 10:19:07	btc updown 15m 1782555300	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb9a635…
06-27 10:01:16	btc updown 15m 1782554400	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xfa9385…
06-27 10:01:13	btc updown 15m 1782554400	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x7b5c89…
06-27 10:01:11	btc updown 15m 1782554400	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc1de57…
06-27 10:01:04	btc updown 15m 1782554400	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf3e7c0…
06-27 09:52:52	btc updown 15m 1782553500	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x61a8ff…
06-27 09:52:35	btc updown 15m 1782553500	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4fd870…
06-27 09:51:50	btc updown 15m 1782553500	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x349bf1…
06-27 09:50:34	btc updown 15m 1782553500	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xaba387…
06-27 09:10:25	btc updown 15m 1782550800	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5668df…
06-27 09:10:14	btc updown 15m 1782550800	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x650d23…
06-27 09:10:05	btc updown 15m 1782550800	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8dd335…
06-27 09:07:52	btc updown 15m 1782550800	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x59622c…
06-27 08:36:41	btc updown 15m 1782549000	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x93c0a6…
06-27 05:53:41	btc updown 15m 1782539100	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x670594…