Gray-Industry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$573

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.2%

Resolved

194

Trades

403

lifetime

Volume

$1.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 06-12 17:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Politics

48% 10% -$475

Crypto

45% 24% +$34

Other

7% 0% -$133

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	2	$92	83	83	+0	No	+$72	05-25 23:53
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$90	695	0	+695	No	-$90	02-18 22:12
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	3	$85	731	62	+669	No	+$35	05-25 23:54
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	3	$74	704	50	+654	No	+$24	05-25 23:54
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	1	$70	1,751	0	+1,751	No	-$70	02-01 17:50
will the us next strike iran on january 24 2026 et 848	27	$50	1,244	0	+1,244	No	-$50	01-22 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$45	75	42	+33	Down	+$33	05-22 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$45	37	37	+0	Down	+$27	05-20 19:04
will the us next strike iran on january 26 2026 et 241	2	$35	1,832	0	+1,832	No	-$35	01-22 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$34	192	25	+167	Up	+$8	05-20 19:19
will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	1	$30	1,078	0	+1,078	No	-$30	01-22 01:32
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	2	$30	1,052	0	+1,052	No	-$30	02-03 17:22
will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	1	$30	1,472	0	+1,472	No	-$30	01-22 01:31
will the us next strike iran on january 25 2026 et 395	2	$30	940	0	+940	No	-$30	01-22 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$28	29	29	+0	Up	+$18	05-20 19:39
will the us next strike iran on january 27 2026 et 332	12	$27	1,574	0	+1,574	No	-$27	01-23 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$21	89	14	+75	Down	+$5	05-20 20:03
will the us next strike iran on january 28 2026 et 699	1	$20	1,428	0	+1,428	No	-$20	01-22 01:34
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?	1	$20	254	0	+254	No	-$20	06-12 17:10
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	1	$20	823	0	+823	No	-$20	02-01 17:51
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$20	200	0	+200	No	-$20	02-01 17:52
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	1	$20	2,222	0	+2,222	No	-$20	02-03 17:22
will the us next strike iran on february 17 2026 et	1	$20	1,512	0	+1,512	No	-$20	02-16 20:41
us forces enter iran by january 31	1	$20	804	0	+804	No	-$20	01-22 17:10
will the us next strike iran on february 18 2026 et	1	$20	1,219	0	+1,219	No	-$20	02-16 20:41
will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et	1	$20	1,178	0	+1,178	No	-$20	02-16 20:41
will the us next strike iran on february 10 2026 et	2	$18	1,292	0	+1,292	No	-$18	02-09 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	5	$17	75	6	+68	Up	-$7	05-21 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$15	45	12	+33	Up	+$7	05-26 15:44
will the us next strike iran on february 16 2026 et	1	$15	1,663	0	+1,663	No	-$15	02-16 20:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 17:19:27	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0xfa7037…
06-12 17:13:04	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x2c9a59…
06-12 17:12:10	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x711473…
06-12 17:11:27	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xe3c3cc…
06-12 17:10:58	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?	Yes	BUY	254	8¢	$20	0x1382c4…
05-26 21:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x189e7f…
05-26 21:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xcfbe52…
05-26 21:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3f0eed…
05-26 21:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcd1515…
05-26 21:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xf9d29b…
05-26 21:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x365e7c…
05-26 20:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x89afc4…
05-26 19:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x55aaea…
05-26 19:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x842696…
05-26 19:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5ac487…
05-26 19:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x78478c…
05-26 19:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2a58fd…
05-26 19:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x3db039…
05-26 15:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6d9797…
05-26 15:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2c4079…
05-26 15:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa12fe9…
05-26 15:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x03f9a3…
05-26 15:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa86113…
05-26 15:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x47652d…
05-26 15:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x305b28…
05-26 15:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x0a710d…
05-26 15:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x191ae2…
05-26 15:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0de059…
05-26 15:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4435f1…
05-26 15:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x782a71…
05-26 15:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x0c0ccb…
05-26 15:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xce685d…
05-26 15:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x74b980…
05-26 15:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa1eb3f…
05-26 15:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x5d4bf0…
05-26 15:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xf66dbb…
05-26 15:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x1ef336…
05-26 15:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xac3f5e…
05-26 15:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0e36ef…
05-26 15:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x8d4b8c…
05-26 14:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xc8a5cd…
05-26 14:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8c7e75…
05-26 02:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0fcfc9…
05-26 02:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x18f156…
05-26 02:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x128c17…
05-26 02:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x58e32d…
05-26 01:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xaefedb…
05-26 01:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x0bc2f8…
05-26 01:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x043f48…
05-26 01:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc190ca…
05-26 01:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xe363b9…
05-26 01:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xeeef02…
05-26 01:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xde249d…
05-26 01:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2f27ba…
05-26 01:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x078074…
05-26 00:34:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	115	2¢	$2	0x8559b9…
05-25 23:54:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	654	3¢	$20	0xe03049…
05-25 23:54:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	669	3¢	$20	0x42d3e2…
05-25 23:53:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	183	2¢	$3	0x7a71e5…
05-25 23:53:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	83	98¢	$82	0x97dd42…
05-25 23:52:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0x12c60d…
05-25 23:52:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x44f0ad…
05-24 02:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x927897…
05-24 02:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xf66bf8…
05-23 23:26:32	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x59f05b…
05-23 23:25:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9311ac…
05-23 23:25:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x8b799e…
05-23 23:25:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0x765361…
05-23 23:25:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xbde571…
05-23 23:23:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xc40ec0…
05-23 23:22:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x1d7453…
05-23 23:22:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x75c177…
05-23 23:22:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	183	5¢	$10	0xc75bb0…
05-23 23:21:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x1afa15…
05-23 23:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x6b767c…
05-23 23:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb1a7b2…
05-23 23:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x146e29…
05-23 23:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x0d8266…
05-23 23:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xe4982d…
05-23 23:13:00	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xbf38b7…
05-23 23:04:29	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdbc2e6…
05-23 23:03:59	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x143da3…
05-23 23:03:33	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x9fb43b…
05-23 23:02:05	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x3f9cc8…
05-23 22:52:59	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x3703a9…
05-23 22:49:57	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x36b241…
05-23 22:47:14	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0x95cef8…
05-23 22:47:06	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xcdaae7…
05-23 22:43:43	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xea9975…
05-23 22:42:45	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3c591f…
05-23 22:42:03	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0xdba3ed…
05-23 22:40:49	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xd46321…
05-23 22:36:30	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0d9d62…
05-23 22:35:36	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x98f059…
05-23 22:35:27	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xdd5970…
05-23 22:35:19	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x6c9225…
05-23 22:31:12	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x47b6d3…
05-23 22:28:31	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0x042278…
05-23 22:27:59	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x523d10…
05-23 22:27:38	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6bc30f…