Probable-Paperwork — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.2%

Resolved

183

Trades

244

lifetime

Volume

$966

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-13 11:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 47% $-31

Other

1% 56% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$113	77	74	+3	open	—	04-27 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$70	48	46	+2	open	—	04-27 00:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$60	109	0	+109	open	—	04-27 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$57	39	38	+1	open	—	04-27 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$48	92	0	+92	open	—	04-27 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$32	62	0	+62	Up	+$11	05-09 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	04-27 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$30	41	0	+41	open	—	04-27 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$28	53	0	+53	open	—	04-27 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	04-27 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$20	40	0	+40	Down	$-20	05-09 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$20	42	0	+42	Down	$-20	05-09 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$20	44	0	+44	open	—	04-27 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$15	11	10	+0	open	—	04-27 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$15	36	0	+36	open	—	04-26 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$14	31	0	+31	open	—	04-27 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$13	9	8	+0	open	—	04-26 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$12	24	0	+24	open	—	04-27 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$11	22	0	+22	open	—	04-27 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-27 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-27 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-27 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-27 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-27 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$9	16	15	+1	open	—	04-26 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$8	39	0	+39	Up	+$31	05-09 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$6	13	0	+13	Up	$-6	05-09 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 13:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 11:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf8d1df…
05-13 11:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x065275…
05-13 11:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xabbeae…
05-13 11:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa7ef9e…
05-13 11:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa8f645…
05-13 08:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x346544…
05-13 08:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x84868f…
05-13 07:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7f283a…
05-13 07:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa75d18…
05-13 06:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xabefba…
05-13 06:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8a0021…
05-13 05:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd417c7…
05-13 05:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x661695…
05-13 05:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3ad731…
05-13 03:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x07c929…
05-13 02:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe9664d…
05-13 02:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9aaa7a…
05-13 01:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x82a9c4…
05-13 00:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x417564…
05-13 00:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbae19d…
05-13 00:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2b1a96…
05-12 23:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xadb91a…
05-12 23:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6a2986…
05-12 23:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0c8f42…
05-12 23:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xaddca7…
05-12 23:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xda920d…
05-12 22:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3c3ca7…
05-12 22:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2ae6d6…
05-12 21:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x292966…
05-12 21:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xabd356…
05-12 21:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x211d2a…
05-12 16:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x75762c…
05-12 16:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe9cd5e…
05-12 16:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xed52f3…
05-12 16:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2b7015…
05-12 16:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x66b138…
05-12 15:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbbf16f…
05-12 15:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xac6836…
05-12 15:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5a66e4…
05-12 15:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2c0ecc…
05-12 14:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x486b74…
05-12 14:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9df870…
05-12 14:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6527c6…
05-12 14:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x65bb96…
05-12 14:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x939a37…
05-12 13:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbffda8…
05-12 13:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa9a225…
05-12 13:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xcaebb8…
05-12 13:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9d87a4…
05-12 12:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x481691…
05-12 12:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbdf781…
05-12 12:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9a4fbe…
05-12 12:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbdd863…
05-12 12:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xec1585…
05-12 11:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x74ee05…
05-12 11:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd6c9f2…
05-12 11:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1c30b9…
05-12 11:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd0950e…
05-12 11:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x58d20d…
05-12 11:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf0c453…
05-12 11:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xfeeec2…
05-12 11:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x71cb55…
05-12 07:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8a119c…
05-12 07:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb423f9…
05-12 07:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4734e9…
05-12 06:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7e469a…
05-12 06:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6d8a72…
05-12 06:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3b942a…
05-12 05:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6e350f…
05-12 05:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x25d986…
05-12 05:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7beb69…
05-12 04:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x080841…
05-12 04:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3d22e2…
05-12 04:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x42da88…
05-12 04:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0d79b4…
05-12 04:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x84bf44…
05-12 03:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x913614…
05-12 03:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x45fe74…
05-12 02:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8f6932…
05-12 02:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9859c5…
05-12 02:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe4e0dc…
05-12 02:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0c13f7…
05-12 02:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x11b200…
05-12 01:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3240a0…
05-12 01:07:22	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3e1418…
05-12 00:25:46	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x52b5f7…
05-12 00:25:46	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x402f80…
05-12 00:10:45	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf2ae58…
05-12 00:10:45	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc9157e…
05-12 00:10:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x57d918…
05-12 00:05:46	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xac96c8…
05-12 00:05:46	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8dc5f4…
05-12 00:05:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6158bd…
05-12 00:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf76eb1…
05-12 00:00:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xca8cbf…
05-12 00:00:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x342987…
05-12 00:00:48	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x02ebe0…
05-11 23:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x177d0d…
05-11 23:50:46	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x592edd…
05-11 23:30:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe28b66…