Defensive-Mussel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

-$52

Hit rate

71.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$291

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$105

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-14 11:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

58% 100% +$8

Other

42% 57% $-34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (4)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	+185	$125	30¢	$56	$-68	05-14 10:39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?	Yes	+55	$33	61¢	$34	+$0	05-14 11:04
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	+17	$12	70¢	$12	+$0	05-14 10:54
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	-59	$-18	5¢	$-3	+$15	05-12 07:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$148	206	21	+185	open	—	05-14 10:39
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$40	49	0	+49	Yes	+$9	05-06 20:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?	1	$33	55	0	+55	open	—	05-14 11:04
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$18	0	59	-59	open	—	05-12 07:20
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$12	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 10:54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?	1	$10	0	26	-26	Yes	$-16	05-12 02:39
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	1	$8	0	21	-21	Yes	+$8	05-05 21:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	1	$7	0	36	-36	Yes	$-29	05-12 23:26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	2	$6	13	0	+13	No	$-6	05-13 00:17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 13?	1	$4	0	22	-22	No	+$4	05-13 00:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 13?	1	$4	0	40	-40	No	+$4	05-12 21:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14?	1	$1	0	85	-85	open	—	05-14 04:26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12?	1	$0	0	13	-13	No	+$0	05-12 01:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 11:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?	Yes	BUY	55	60¢	$33	0x6f33a1…
05-14 10:54:31	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	17	68¢	$12	0x4b765f…
05-14 10:39:23	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	21	54¢	$12	0x5afca8…
05-14 04:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	85	1¢	$1	0x32f427…
05-13 00:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x6c3f09…
05-13 00:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	22	19¢	$4	0x529103…
05-12 23:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xef93c6…
05-12 23:26:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	36	20¢	$7	0x22f7e6…
05-12 21:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0x008b5e…
05-12 07:20:59	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	31¢	$18	0xdcc8c6…
05-12 02:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	26	37¢	$10	0xafe9fd…
05-12 02:23:01	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	206	66¢	$136	0xd1af32…
05-12 01:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x171fb0…
05-06 20:00:19	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0x2ab2c7…
05-05 21:49:48	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	21	39¢	$8	0xdaf811…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pink-Balcony-Wick 0x3dd3…ccac	6	$1.15K	20	05-14 04:04
Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e	6	$614	34	05-13 05:46
Sophisticated-Scrutiny 0x0e06…42f0	5	$2.11K	17	05-14 04:26
Shady-Thunderbolt 0x85bd…7f75	3	$873	4	05-14 04:10