Cruel-Terrapin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$114

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

345

Trades

4,839

lifetime

Volume

$33.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 10-26 06:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% -$114

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 01:15 UTC	8	$1.5K	1,157	1,106	+52	Up	+$706	04-18 01:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	123	$851	781	753	+28	Up	+$159	05-15 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	175	$737	566	566	+0	Down	-$19	05-15 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	196	$622	790	790	+0	Up	-$294	05-15 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	94	$567	406	406	+0	Down	+$73	05-15 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	133	$525	549	241	+308	Up	-$67	05-15 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	15	$523	311	311	+0	Down	+$43	05-07 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	157	$514	307	307	+0	Up	+$48	05-15 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	73	$487	301	301	+0	Down	+$55	05-15 05:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	14	$483	401	401	+0	Down	-$37	05-07 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	115	$474	993	153	+840	Up	-$172	05-15 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	126	$468	409	409	+0	Down	+$20	05-15 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	89	$462	297	297	+0	Up	+$72	05-15 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	47	$407	540	540	+0	Up	+$137	05-15 05:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 22:30 UTC	4	$406	309	296	+13	Up	+$159	04-17 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	8	$346	337	214	+124	Up	+$78	05-07 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	16	$338	288	288	+0	Up	+$28	05-07 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	100	$331	414	365	+49	Down	-$63	05-15 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	59	$315	202	202	+0	Up	+$69	05-15 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	9	$307	198	198	+0	Down	+$86	05-07 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	12	$288	172	172	+0	Down	+$52	05-07 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	15	$285	287	287	+0	Up	-$29	05-07 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	97	$279	250	231	+19	Down	-$36	05-15 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	14	$273	249	249	+0	Down	+$16	05-07 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	84	$248	307	0	+307	Up	-$248	05-15 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	4	$247	161	161	+0	Up	+$67	05-07 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	14	$244	250	250	+0	Up	+$14	05-07 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	8	$241	176	158	+18	Up	+$35	05-07 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	65	$241	179	179	+0	Up	+$13	05-15 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	13	$240	299	299	+0	Down	-$22	05-05 19:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 06:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x128eb0…
10-26 06:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x58df32…
10-26 06:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xbdaf28…
10-26 06:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x85082f…
10-26 06:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3674db…
10-26 06:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xcb8e68…
10-26 06:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xd5d605…
10-26 06:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xd54910…
10-26 06:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	43	57¢	$24	0x62acdf…
10-26 06:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd11e36…
10-26 06:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x94ff89…
10-26 06:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8f2367…
10-26 06:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa04e33…
10-26 06:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x70dd09…
10-26 06:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb85179…
10-26 06:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb787ef…
10-26 05:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x67d2ab…
10-26 05:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa39cc1…
10-26 05:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	24	48¢	$12	0x3310ee…
10-26 05:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc5925e…
10-26 05:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x7651cd…
10-26 05:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x1ab2fc…
10-26 05:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf77743…
10-26 05:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3f330c…
10-26 05:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe79ba7…
10-26 05:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x45c391…
10-26 05:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	22	74¢	$16	0xd29403…
10-26 05:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe26083…
10-26 05:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc59eba…
10-26 05:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8697e7…
10-26 05:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	34	31¢	$10	0x6a9258…
10-26 05:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xabf38f…
10-26 05:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xc46def…
10-26 05:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x16d73d…
10-26 05:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x777919…
10-26 05:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xb2b365…
10-26 05:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xbab8e2…
10-26 05:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	43	14¢	$6	0x58951a…
10-26 05:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x5d26a3…
10-26 05:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xa9e6b7…
10-26 05:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x1ad1fd…
10-26 05:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0e88e7…
10-26 05:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd39d95…
10-26 05:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0x4131b9…
10-26 05:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x68837d…
10-26 05:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xdc2bab…
10-26 05:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	28	20¢	$6	0x2a9a6f…
10-26 05:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x25b5b9…
10-26 05:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	42	52¢	$22	0x7ccb78…
10-26 05:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x5de4cf…
10-26 05:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x40c37d…
10-26 05:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x225a16…
10-26 05:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc4469f…
10-26 05:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x984397…
10-26 05:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xdb24a9…
10-26 05:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	29	57¢	$16	0x662b78…
10-26 05:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd0e01f…
10-26 05:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x683459…
10-26 05:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	52	45¢	$23	0x3da873…
10-26 05:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x3d8fa1…
10-26 05:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x80e6ea…
10-26 05:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xadc39f…
10-26 05:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x60a197…
10-26 05:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x34d68e…
05-15 16:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x24f987…
05-15 16:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x42225d…
05-15 16:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x393c4a…
05-15 16:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7e855c…
05-15 16:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8dff6a…
05-15 16:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x020abb…
05-15 16:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7193ff…
05-15 16:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2fec43…
05-15 16:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9c1cf1…
05-15 16:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3e40f2…
05-15 16:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe706aa…
05-15 16:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x146982…
05-15 16:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbccab1…
05-15 16:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1824b7…
05-15 16:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0xa3e28c…
05-15 16:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb87a44…
05-15 16:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4c57fd…
05-15 16:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4b6ab6…
05-15 16:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x34fa45…
05-15 16:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xee9ad5…
05-15 16:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2959e5…
05-15 16:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfd429c…
05-15 16:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc797b0…
05-15 16:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa47f8c…
05-15 16:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8f55a1…
05-15 16:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8b1ad3…
05-15 16:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x619845…
05-15 16:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x54c830…
05-15 16:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xfd69dc…
05-15 16:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2e0ccf…
05-15 16:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf2deee…
05-15 16:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xfb2f38…
05-15 16:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf2e1a2…
05-15 16:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xad09b1…
05-15 16:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8f45b3…
05-15 16:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3fd739…