Firsthand-Certainty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,427

lifetime

Volume

$3.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 05-30 16:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

83% 41% $-1

Crypto

17% 0% $-1

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 btts	3	$74	49	48	+1	open	—	04-19 15:49
Los Angeles FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Both Teams to Score	4	$62	46	46	+0	open	—	04-30 04:07
ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 fcb	2	$46	20	36	-16	open	—	01-11 21:29
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$44	29	29	+0	open	—	04-29 20:17
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	4	$39	24	23	+0	open	—	04-14 21:01
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	4	$32	26	25	+1	open	—	04-15 20:57
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	04-30 20:06
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5	3	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	05-02 20:45
epl eve liv 2026 04 19 liv	4	$23	20	19	+0	open	—	04-19 15:02
epl new sun 2026 03 22 sun	3	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	03-22 14:01
lal cel ala 2026 03 22 draw	4	$21	39	31	+9	open	—	03-22 16:57
epl mun mac 2026 01 17 mac	1	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	01-13 15:25
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	2	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	04-28 19:19
bun lei bay 2026 01 17 bay	2	$19	12	12	+0	open	—	01-17 19:31
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 4.5	4	$19	13	13	+0	open	—	05-01 15:49
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Score	2	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	04-29 04:40
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. IK Start: O/U 3.5	2	$18	24	24	+0	open	—	04-30 18:06
elc ips mid 2026 04 18 total 3pt5	2	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	04-19 12:44
lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bar	2	$17	14	14	+0	open	—	03-07 21:29
Palermo FC vs. US Catanzaro 1929: O/U 4.5	2	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 14:52
por spo ben 2026 04 19 btts	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	04-19 18:54
sea pis gen 2026 04 19 gen	4	$17	19	19	+0	open	—	04-19 17:30
sea lec fio 2026 04 20 btts	3	$16	12	11	+0	open	—	04-20 20:21
mls laf sje 2026 04 19 btts	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	04-20 00:46
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 20:31
SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 19:21
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	05-02 20:44
egy1 nbo zef 2026 04 24 total 2pt5	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 15:30
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: Both Teams to Score	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-02 05:32
Racing Club de Lens vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Score	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-22 19:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 16:31:25	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xef8559…
05-25 16:15:20	Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x262fc5…
05-24 15:58:33	West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf8decc…
05-24 15:56:16	FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x771270…
05-24 14:51:12	FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xd22a6e…
05-24 13:53:06	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xb40ddf…
05-24 10:54:24	AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x197910…
05-24 10:53:54	AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x332604…
05-24 10:40:38	Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xaa5918…
05-24 09:48:23	Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1b1463…
05-24 09:43:47	Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x55f0cf…
05-24 09:30:41	Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xb410fe…
05-24 09:27:58	Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4740a8…
05-24 09:27:25	Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xfa2235…
05-24 09:27:11	Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x50ed85…
05-24 09:14:18	Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdb05c2…
05-24 08:39:14	Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0xd6a8a7…
05-24 07:52:36	FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kawasaki Frontale: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x88cef5…
05-24 06:23:33	Gainare Tottori vs. Ōita Trinita: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1d860b…
05-24 06:11:02	FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kawasaki Frontale: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x668e87…
05-23 19:25:44	Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x70158f…
05-23 11:34:15	Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x997095…
05-23 11:15:35	Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x47487b…
05-23 10:27:50	Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd361b5…
05-23 09:01:13	Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x804a24…
05-23 09:00:34	Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9a16a9…
05-23 08:57:04	Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x424703…
05-23 08:31:07	AC Nagano Parceiro vs. Ventforet Kōfu: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x254f4a…
05-23 08:30:04	AC Nagano Parceiro vs. Ventforet Kōfu: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xca345b…
05-23 08:29:30	Albirex Niigata vs. Ehime FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf0d942…
05-23 08:29:13	Albirex Niigata vs. Ehime FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8ada5f…
05-23 06:12:59	Fujieda MYFC vs. Iwaki FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa99268…
05-23 06:11:52	Fujieda MYFC vs. Iwaki FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8dacd7…
05-23 05:36:35	Albirex Niigata vs. Ehime FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xb0e19f…
05-23 05:34:57	Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Nagoya Grampus: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe90e11…
05-23 05:32:07	Fujieda MYFC vs. Iwaki FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x430368…
05-22 19:56:10	Racing Club de Lens vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x590a13…
05-22 18:24:50	Racing Club de Lens vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x85f9bc…
05-21 18:43:56	Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x828e54…
05-21 18:36:00	Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd9a7e1…
05-21 18:32:00	Will Trump say "Comrade" this week?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1994ce…
05-21 18:24:56	AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3e420e…
05-21 18:08:43	AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x7c78ac…
05-21 01:16:40	LDU de Quito vs. CA Lanús: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x61f658…
05-21 01:15:46	CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9070db…
05-21 01:15:04	SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2f540f…
05-20 20:26:12	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1949cd…
05-20 20:21:34	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x3ae4a6…
05-20 20:20:38	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf01ceb…
05-20 19:22:26	Aalesunds FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc44f2a…
05-20 19:20:31	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x5191fd…
05-20 19:03:20	Lillestrøm SK vs. Kristiansund BK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xaa6184…
05-20 17:52:28	Lillestrøm SK vs. Kristiansund BK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x338853…
05-20 16:54:32	IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd26361…
05-20 16:52:17	IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0511c5…
05-20 16:40:55	IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xca902c…
05-20 16:37:00	IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x3e3312…
05-20 13:05:38	Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x53ad38…
05-20 13:04:25	Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x53e684…
05-20 13:03:44	Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3183bd…
05-19 21:03:43	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb740d4…
05-19 20:59:03	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc32642…
05-19 20:48:52	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x7ce02a…
05-19 20:47:06	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x22372b…
05-19 20:46:50	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7ad4a0…
05-19 20:30:11	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdab087…
05-19 20:24:26	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1ab5e1…
05-19 18:53:07	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa3f7df…
05-19 13:56:22	Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x62def7…
05-19 13:54:37	Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xaafaa6…
05-19 13:49:15	Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x561e40…
05-19 13:38:43	Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0xc203d0…
05-19 13:27:26	Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x349053…
05-19 13:27:02	Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x031a82…
05-18 15:53:31	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x6f19da…
05-18 15:44:16	Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Pharco FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc70b00…
05-17 22:25:49	Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x80ee38…
05-17 22:12:31	FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5a9067…
05-17 16:58:06	Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x0daa3f…
05-17 16:09:15	Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe4acc0…
05-17 15:09:45	Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc0da02…
05-17 15:08:54	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x49b3d6…
05-17 15:08:12	FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xec5430…
05-17 14:24:18	Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf1d802…
05-17 14:19:26	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x40b2e0…
05-17 14:18:49	Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7cfffd…
05-17 13:18:53	FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x196556…
05-17 13:13:19	SC Heerenveen vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9ff4f1…
05-17 13:12:33	PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9b4dc7…
05-17 11:52:14	Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5e5ddd…
05-17 11:51:32	Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbdcc48…
05-17 11:51:16	Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0xcc456e…
05-17 10:40:41	Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x98e092…
05-17 10:40:13	AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x68efaf…
05-17 10:39:05	Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x906e0f…
05-17 10:38:00	Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x990648…
05-17 10:35:26	Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5128b3…
05-17 10:34:58	AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc7abd9…
05-17 10:34:25	Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x29d780…
05-17 10:34:06	Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x72a97b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	668	$11.0M	53,926	05-30 17:54
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	556	$5.99M	64,479	05-30 17:56
Infamous-Ocelot 0x7ea5…de7b	507	$2.77M	14,652	05-25 14:39
Sophisticated-Bicycle 0xcf73…0215	375	$284.6K	6,750	05-30 15:32
Hospitable-Dame 0x2d6a…8add	366	$265.0K	6,150	05-30 15:56
Dirty-Automaton 0x200f…7a96	366	$23.9K	1,757	05-30 15:53
Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef	365	$133.5K	3,220	05-30 15:59
Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995	354	$1.58M	19,371	05-21 19:38