Aggravating-Smolt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

289

Trades

289

lifetime

Volume

$3.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-31 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:16
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:20
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 09:49
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 10:49
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 03:54
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 16:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 6?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:42
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:45
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-04 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-02 09:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:28
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:23
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:02
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 13c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:08
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 23c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 16:29
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 22corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 04:39
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 14:52
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:39
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 15:02
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:46
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:28
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 78 79f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:40
highest temperature in lucknow on march 30 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-30 14:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 15:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe53978…
10-30 14:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41284e…
10-29 17:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf6579…
10-29 09:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e97e5…
10-28 07:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeab6ab…
10-27 08:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7fcf1…
10-26 09:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45e162…
10-24 11:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc755e4…
10-22 10:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e346c…
10-20 07:33:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd2e8d…
10-19 09:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x108d8d…
10-18 09:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc84b26…
10-17 14:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fd8c5…
10-16 09:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39940e…
10-15 09:22:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa359fd…
10-14 09:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4658c…
10-13 14:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xadaa98…
10-13 09:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b14dc…
10-12 09:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2bc9a8…
10-11 08:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ac925…
10-08 09:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf86196…
10-07 15:21:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1322c…
10-06 08:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24e2ce…
10-04 15:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fd532…
10-03 08:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3e1ac…
10-02 11:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ca419…
10-01 08:24:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9985e7…
09-30 12:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98530d…
09-29 14:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7f6cb…
09-28 09:48:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d75a4…
09-27 08:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93e58c…
09-25 12:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdaadc3…
09-24 08:28:17	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e481c…
09-23 07:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7cc32…
09-22 08:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f049c…
09-21 09:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd36363…
09-20 05:47:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b0494…
09-19 08:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21a5ba…
09-18 06:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x600851…
09-17 04:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15c358…
09-16 08:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x610d8a…
09-15 09:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13161e…
09-14 08:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3f8d1…
09-12 16:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1fd9d…
09-11 07:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2a743…
09-10 08:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb8604c…
09-09 09:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ee64a…
09-08 15:37:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7706f…
09-08 06:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf98621…
09-07 08:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f0ed0…
09-06 17:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6732d1…
09-06 09:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x817105…
09-05 01:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd579ed…
09-03 09:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a5a7a…
09-02 07:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3f74d…
08-30 08:39:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3d016…
08-29 08:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6d9d0…
08-28 08:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf48b1…
08-27 08:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3f76f…
08-26 08:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f4526…
08-25 09:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc72244…
08-24 09:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x145136…
08-23 14:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90b74a…
08-22 08:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfddb60…
08-21 07:41:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x375672…
08-20 08:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbaa494…
08-19 11:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x497eb6…
08-18 08:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e432b…
08-17 07:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe57273…
08-16 11:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba825d…
08-15 09:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x541ccd…
08-14 06:49:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xffe0af…
08-13 07:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1deb6…
08-12 07:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6de193…
08-11 06:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf32e27…
08-10 07:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef8424…
08-09 01:24:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9527bf…
08-08 07:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39896d…
08-07 01:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x823ad4…
08-06 06:41:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12dad4…
08-05 07:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ab31e…
08-04 08:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1fd0b…
08-03 07:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa6280…
08-02 01:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc432ad…
08-01 07:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe5d84…
07-31 09:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b0ae5…
07-30 06:55:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9bd42…
07-29 07:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe874fc…
07-28 06:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x720aef…
07-27 08:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ce32f…
07-26 07:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x411492…
07-25 08:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f4eee…
07-24 10:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x996ad6…
07-23 08:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d3d55…
07-22 02:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9f846…
07-21 09:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbdd2bc…
07-21 00:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa83c5b…
07-20 07:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2d75e…
07-18 23:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67f868…
07-18 00:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6c5f5…