Untimely-Pregnancy-Butterfly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

-$73

Hit rate

41.1%

Resolved

Trades

555

lifetime

Volume

$1.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-07

last 06-29 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 68% $-23

Other

21% 0% $-1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 253 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No		+1,377	$74	0¢	$1	$-73	06-29 16:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	3	$74	1,377	0	+1,377	open	—	06-29 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$17	24	16	+8	Down	$-3	05-10 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$17	32	10	+22	Up	$-3	05-10 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-17 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$13	17	12	+6	Down	$-1	05-10 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$6	11	0	+11	Down	$-6	05-08 19:22
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 01:26
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 02:33
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 03:08
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 02:56
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 02:41
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 01:23
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 02:08
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 02:33
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-18 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-4	05-11 01:44
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 03:19
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 02:26
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 02:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 21:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 01:49
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 01:42
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 02:04
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 02:26
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	05-19 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 22:14
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 09:03
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Down	$-5	05-08 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	5	$5	9	7	+2	Down	$-1	05-10 18:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 16:47:56	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	636	1¢	$7	0xa9c1d9…
06-27 23:13:23	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	226	9¢	$21	0x193270…
06-27 23:01:02	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	514	9¢	$46	0x7e7a8d…
05-21 00:20:24	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x602593…
05-21 00:18:38	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6c4b2f…
05-21 00:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x8b4509…
05-21 00:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbeba6b…
05-21 00:13:21	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x46954e…
05-21 00:12:41	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x97cdae…
05-21 00:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x8656ec…
05-21 00:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3e4350…
05-21 00:10:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x360c39…
05-21 00:10:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xba890f…
05-21 00:08:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xdf3df7…
05-21 00:08:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb78794…
05-21 00:07:43	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x3589bf…
05-21 00:07:19	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa3f33e…
05-20 23:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0e855e…
05-20 23:56:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x5223cd…
05-20 23:55:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4a165b…
05-20 23:51:35	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x17dea8…
05-20 23:51:27	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x4d56c5…
05-20 23:51:25	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xfd9b97…
05-20 23:50:53	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x93ff71…
05-20 23:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x6e0b81…
05-20 23:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc45838…
05-20 23:46:48	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x9931e5…
05-20 23:46:17	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x5e68e1…
05-20 19:27:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6c67e2…
05-20 19:27:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9c5247…
05-20 19:27:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xafab78…
05-20 19:27:41	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x8670d4…
05-20 19:27:40	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb7df6f…
05-20 19:27:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x752b65…
05-20 19:27:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9b9467…
05-20 19:27:19	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xa959e3…
05-20 19:27:17	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6ee4c5…
05-20 19:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x075a08…
05-20 19:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x892f8e…
05-20 19:25:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x761c62…
05-20 19:25:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1381d7…
05-20 19:21:23	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xabf924…
05-20 19:20:27	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbc1195…
05-20 19:20:22	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0xa07f18…
05-20 19:20:19	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xda0f4c…
05-20 19:18:51	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x8656a4…
05-20 19:16:52	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf00921…
05-20 19:16:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x062f4c…
05-20 19:16:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc1cf5b…
05-20 19:16:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x92f906…
05-20 19:15:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xbebdb7…
05-20 19:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x60bf94…
05-20 19:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd01485…
05-20 19:14:04	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x7707b1…
05-20 19:12:19	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5c99c2…
05-20 19:12:07	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x977d00…
05-20 19:10:29	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4d68bc…
05-20 19:09:28	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x7db575…
05-20 19:08:47	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8e60bb…
05-20 19:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x6b892d…
05-20 19:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x062706…
05-20 19:03:53	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x639d12…
05-20 19:03:04	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe68d82…
05-19 23:36:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x30541a…
05-19 23:36:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x715d77…
05-19 23:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xafb1d6…
05-19 23:36:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe17790…
05-19 23:35:51	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x8519a3…
05-19 23:35:42	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x68a668…
05-19 23:35:34	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x17ebf5…
05-19 23:35:25	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe1828d…
05-19 23:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xdd6cd4…
05-19 23:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x082f23…
05-19 23:34:45	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0xcc3da1…
05-19 23:34:22	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x71ba37…
05-19 23:34:13	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xb75333…
05-19 23:33:57	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9151fc…
05-19 23:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0x73a699…
05-19 23:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa6c886…
05-19 23:33:19	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x05019d…
05-19 23:32:44	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc40068…
05-19 23:32:40	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x981ff3…
05-19 23:31:36	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe870a4…
05-19 23:31:30	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0xb48cca…
05-19 23:30:19	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe502bb…
05-19 23:28:27	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0xdd48c6…
05-19 23:27:48	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1d0f29…
05-19 23:27:29	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xe9ef1e…
05-19 23:26:24	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd0d27d…
05-19 23:26:17	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x0e6b93…
05-19 23:25:19	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6ee993…
05-19 23:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xfc5aec…
05-19 23:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xf9d8c7…
05-19 03:49:12	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0x401e48…
05-19 03:49:11	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe2f605…
05-19 03:49:02	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xda0330…
05-19 03:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc51557…
05-19 03:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x086028…
05-19 03:42:23	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x600779…
05-19 03:24:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xe52e94…