Courageous-Fridge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

295

Trades

297

lifetime

Volume

$3.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-06 10:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% -$2

Politics

5% 89% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 6?	No		+9	$8	100¢	$9	+$0	11-06 10:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 14?	1	$27	27	+27	Yes	+$0	05-14 15:03
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$27	27	+27	No	-$27	05-15 04:59
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 2?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	05-02 14:16
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	04-30 08:50
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$26	27	+27	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$26	26	+26	Yes	+$0	04-29 12:59
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on April 28?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	04-28 10:47
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 27?	1	$26	26	+26	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	04-27 10:30
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$26	26	+26	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 26?	1	$26	26	+26	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on April 25?	1	$26	26	+26	Yes	+$0	04-25 12:10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	26	+26	No	+$0	04-24 09:05
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:19
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:17
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 15:51
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 15corhigher	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-21 06:26
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 20c	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-21 01:22
highest temperature in karachi on april 20 2026 34c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:46
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 15c	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-20 06:10
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:08
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-19 05:40
highest temperature in moscow on april 18 2026 10c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:19
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 08:06
highest temperature in manila on april 17 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:20
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:47
highest temperature in busan on april 16 2026 21c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:01
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:53
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 14:47
highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 06:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 10:03:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x26ffea…
11-05 00:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1cc89d…
11-03 17:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5dea5…
11-03 09:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x855752…
11-02 10:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeea1cf…
11-01 09:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xffe921…
10-31 07:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1858c0…
10-30 09:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6a037…
10-29 07:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41f4bb…
10-28 04:57:23	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x568d21…
10-27 07:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x336fbf…
10-26 05:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd429fd…
10-24 06:50:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa88a04…
10-22 09:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf83914…
10-20 04:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28ab35…
10-19 06:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x064dba…
10-18 07:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9446a…
10-17 07:20:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07a4bb…
10-16 05:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb618b9…
10-15 06:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5867d6…
10-14 07:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5d83c…
10-13 14:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16b1c5…
10-13 04:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5b28f…
10-12 04:24:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x466ed5…
10-11 03:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25278b…
10-08 05:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x892178…
10-07 08:53:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb427e9…
10-06 07:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e70d3…
10-04 08:25:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31ef21…
10-03 03:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8cf0c5…
10-02 07:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xacd6be…
10-01 07:48:47	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	No	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x22054e…
10-01 07:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	No	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x8e352a…
09-30 07:38:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8202c…
09-29 07:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64764b…
09-28 08:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x667955…
09-27 02:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46247a…
09-25 07:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02a5b1…
09-24 06:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37b933…
09-23 05:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae2b7c…
09-22 06:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x839a53…
09-21 08:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68f0bb…
09-20 03:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6339a8…
09-19 06:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81330b…
09-18 01:10:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc997fb…
09-17 03:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x94fc8e…
09-16 08:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x216328…
09-15 23:34:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0709b8…
09-15 02:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0014d…
09-14 01:04:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3dedd8…
09-13 12:49:46	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe94647…
09-12 07:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99fce1…
09-11 01:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8c686…
09-10 01:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b7836…
09-09 01:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x075093…
09-08 01:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d2c9a…
09-07 01:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x216d55…
09-06 01:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b831c…
09-05 09:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2c3ec…
09-04 08:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x533f88…
09-03 01:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x765d62…
09-01 01:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0c07e…
08-30 00:13:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x304fe5…
08-29 05:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1bb258…
08-28 01:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4191cc…
08-27 01:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc6e111…
08-26 02:01:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f11b9…
08-25 06:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc468e2…
08-24 07:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc72a15…
08-23 07:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xedc55e…
08-22 06:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x406d39…
08-21 01:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71d8c4…
08-20 05:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19c19a…
08-19 07:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x145d2d…
08-18 00:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19692a…
08-17 06:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef1cdc…
08-16 01:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xacf954…
08-15 02:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2475be…
08-14 01:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c1bf1…
08-13 00:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42062f…
08-12 06:47:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f21fa…
08-11 00:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51cf0e…
08-10 00:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x304036…
08-09 07:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7af1c…
08-09 00:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x078b99…
08-08 00:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0308f…
08-07 00:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaee2cf…
08-06 00:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f1c0b…
08-05 00:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0dfe5e…
08-04 03:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc4814…
08-03 00:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ee301…
08-02 00:20:56	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x006347…
08-01 00:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70ff93…
07-31 07:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3cdfa6…
07-30 00:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ce6dc…
07-29 00:16:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x987621…
07-28 00:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7e16a…
07-27 06:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0031d…
07-26 01:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x438a73…
07-25 00:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d1152…