Definite-Phenotype — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$296

Unrealized P&L

-$63

Hit rate

71.5%

Resolved (30d)

108

Trades (30d)

222

462 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$26.0K

$32.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

$627

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 11-02 23:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

89% 42% +$57

Crypto

11% 54% -$106

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes		+1,036	$632	56¢	$575	-$57	11-02 23:10
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes		+161	$58	32¢	$52	-$6	11-02 21:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will El Ahly SC win on 2026-10-21?	3	$2.6K	2,253	1,244	+1,009	No	-$423	10-21 18:29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	3	$2.3K	1,326	1,326	+0	Yes	+$128	10-21 20:54
Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-10-20?	4	$1.8K	1,090	1,090	+0	Yes	+$346	10-20 18:49
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-23?	2	$933	524	524	+0	Yes	+$105	10-23 15:13
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	2	$876	481	481	+0	Yes	+$86	11-01 17:18
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-22?	2	$847	471	471	+0	Yes	+$93	10-22 18:30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	2	$795	506	506	+0	open	—	11-02 23:09
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?	5	$697	482	482	+0	Yes	+$71	10-31 14:26
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-25?	3	$649	459	459	+0	Yes	+$77	10-25 18:06
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	2	$632	1,036	0	+1,036	open	—	11-02 23:10
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-01?	2	$625	388	388	+0	Yes	+$27	11-01 13:55
Will Zamalek SC win on 2026-10-20?	2	$564	335	335	+0	Yes	+$104	10-20 15:53
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-31?	2	$562	358	358	+0	Yes	+$68	11-01 17:50
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	5	$557	640	410	+230	Yes	+$86	07-02 23:23
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	2	$553	331	331	+0	Yes	+$103	10-17 18:15
Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-10-29?	3	$539	583	206	+377	Yes	+$122	10-29 16:17
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	2	$531	305	305	+0	Yes	+$78	07-02 21:04
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?	3	$528	324	324	+0	Yes	+$16	10-17 15:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 23:50 UTC	3	$480	263	260	+3	Down	+$37	04-10 23:55
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-23?	1	$442	606	0	+606	No	-$442	10-23 15:28
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	2	$431	265	265	+0	Yes	+$71	11-01 15:50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17?	4	$429	281	281	+0	Yes	+$93	10-17 13:50
Will El Ahly SC win on 2026-10-29?	3	$422	258	258	+0	Yes	+$92	10-29 16:01
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	1	$373	478	0	+478	Yes	+$105	10-29 21:37
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	2	$373	274	274	+0	Yes	-$27	10-25 11:57
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	2	$370	416	416	+0	No	-$146	10-25 21:17
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-22?	2	$325	500	500	+0	No	-$15	10-22 19:11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	2	$297	168	168	+0	Yes	+$38	10-13 20:54
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-10-22?	1	$291	478	0	+478	No	-$291	10-21 21:03
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-18?	3	$261	181	181	+0	Yes	+$87	10-18 23:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 23:10:03	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	626	61¢	$382	0x5ca7ce…
11-02 23:09:39	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	506	78¢	$395	0x5ef812…
11-02 21:34:37	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	161	36¢	$58	0x6f9b32…
11-02 21:33:07	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	181	34¢	$62	0x08b70d…
11-02 21:32:19	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	181	35¢	$64	0x701624…
11-02 21:30:34	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	410	61¢	$250	0xe4c919…
11-02 21:30:12	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	506	79¢	$400	0x326042…
11-01 19:52:40	Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	98	26¢	$26	0x44f523…
11-01 18:09:27	Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	23	37¢	$9	0x86396e…
11-01 18:09:04	Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	132	34¢	$45	0x3fcf89…
11-01 17:56:40	Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	155	40¢	$62	0x0d60bc…
11-01 17:50:13	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	358	88¢	$315	0xecc6f1…
11-01 17:20:06	Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x9ac3aa…
11-01 17:18:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	481	100¢	$481	0x90b2f4…
11-01 15:55:55	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	358	69¢	$247	0x7355a7…
11-01 15:50:21	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	265	95¢	$251	0x2cd831…
11-01 13:58:03	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	481	82¢	$395	0x2bd532…
11-01 13:57:12	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	104	73¢	$76	0x451d78…
11-01 13:55:15	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	388	84¢	$326	0xdc29de…
10-31 20:56:25	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	388	77¢	$299	0x9bcccb…
10-31 20:54:12	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	265	68¢	$180	0xf9a6d3…
10-31 20:50:43	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	104	40¢	$42	0x45a3fb…
10-31 20:10:34	Aston Villa FC leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	208	35¢	$73	0x0ceb0b…
10-31 19:41:06	Will FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	132	100¢	$131	0x76e780…
10-31 17:55:30	Will FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0xc65854…
10-31 17:00:01	Aston Villa FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	208	36¢	$75	0x56090a…
10-31 15:41:31	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	41	34¢	$14	0x6baaf5…
10-31 15:40:46	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	86	18¢	$15	0x327996…
10-31 15:22:10	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	86	28¢	$24	0x47f1fd…
10-31 14:33:42	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	155	63¢	$98	0xe54375…
10-31 14:30:16	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	223	56¢	$125	0x032fba…
10-31 14:26:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	236	97¢	$229	0x37b81a…
10-31 13:29:42	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	236	64¢	$151	0x083fc4…
10-31 13:12:49	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	246	63¢	$155	0xfa1704…
10-31 12:57:34	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	93	67¢	$62	0x6754df…
10-31 12:57:00	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	153	42¢	$64	0x79cfaf…
10-31 01:09:33	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	153	49¢	$75	0xc04fc3…
10-31 01:09:00	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xa8ff01…
10-29 21:37:15	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	478	78¢	$373	0xf0e3e8…
10-29 16:17:20	Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	377	67¢	$253	0x7cd508…
10-29 16:01:37	Will El Ahly SC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	SELL	258	100¢	$257	0x787965…
10-29 00:06:34	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xb4ba4f…
10-29 00:05:41	Will El Ahly SC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xa9231e…
10-29 00:05:17	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	272	6¢	$16	0x505b38…
10-28 23:02:52	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	140	52¢	$73	0xf07581…
10-28 23:00:05	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	163	47¢	$77	0x09f1ec…
10-28 21:47:16	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	144	55¢	$79	0xd5373b…
10-28 21:46:49	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	163	49¢	$80	0xaf7a2a…
10-28 21:44:40	Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	SELL	206	69¢	$142	0x556d28…
10-28 21:10:23	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	66	36¢	$24	0xbf2694…
10-28 20:28:55	Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	206	70¢	$144	0x1cace7…
10-28 20:28:20	Will El Ahly SC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	234	64¢	$150	0x39bba7…
10-28 20:25:17	Will Fulham FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xc23308…
10-28 20:21:52	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x034cd3…
10-27 01:02:38	Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	73	71¢	$52	0x4725d4…
10-27 01:02:02	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x634129…
10-26 16:33:33	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	53	78¢	$41	0x714868…
10-26 16:32:08	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	398	11¢	$42	0x722a93…
10-25 21:18:00	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	398	50¢	$199	0x704333…
10-25 21:17:45	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	416	27¢	$112	0x77d923…
10-25 19:13:59	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	416	62¢	$258	0x5c6634…
10-25 18:06:20	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	459	79¢	$363	0xfb8bcb…
10-25 16:56:33	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	295	63¢	$186	0xfe850b…
10-25 11:57:15	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	274	63¢	$173	0xc136df…
10-25 00:36:54	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0x45b229…
10-25 00:34:08	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x0f21ed…
10-25 00:23:57	Will Ferroviaria Araraquara SP vs. Maringa FC PR end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$2	0xfc44ed…
10-24 00:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8c9967…
10-23 15:28:02	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	606	73¢	$442	0x136a0f…
10-23 15:24:36	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	219	31¢	$68	0x87d87f…
10-23 15:13:39	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	SELL	524	99¢	$519	0x682d4a…
10-22 19:18:18	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	524	79¢	$414	0x815c8c…
10-22 19:13:48	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	217	12¢	$26	0x598bb2…
10-22 19:11:47	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	500	31¢	$155	0x770216…
10-22 18:33:05	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0xdf0679…
10-22 18:31:11	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	500	34¢	$170	0x90761d…
10-22 18:30:39	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	471	100¢	$470	0xaf0d8c…
10-21 21:03:05	Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	478	61¢	$291	0x2dc09d…
10-21 21:02:42	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	471	80¢	$377	0x71a243…
10-21 20:54:08	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	676	100¢	$676	0xe0751d…
10-21 18:29:23	Will El Ahly SC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	1,009	49¢	$495	0x4a44bc…
10-21 18:26:53	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	650	79¢	$513	0x364035…
10-21 18:04:51	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	1,326	80¢	$1,061	0x7457ea…
10-21 18:03:54	Will El Ahly SC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	1,244	86¢	$1,070	0xfdfb8e…
10-20 20:52:57	Will El Ahly SC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	1,244	80¢	$998	0xae701f…
10-20 20:50:06	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	310	2¢	$6	0x51769f…
10-20 19:00:29	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x9e9edc…
10-20 18:59:12	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	77	62¢	$48	0x35496a…
10-20 18:54:09	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x81d321…
10-20 18:53:29	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xfd4e12…
10-20 18:52:35	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	110	21¢	$23	0x32b0b5…
10-20 18:49:21	Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	1,090	99¢	$1,073	0xc7df25…
10-20 15:54:36	Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	483	68¢	$328	0x27247c…
10-20 15:53:50	Will Zamalek SC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	335	100¢	$334	0x11895e…
10-19 18:37:17	Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x8ee921…
10-19 18:36:30	Will Trabzonspor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	92	5¢	$5	0xc0bf72…
10-19 17:56:17	Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	598	66¢	$394	0xf26b2c…
10-19 17:54:20	Will Zamalek SC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	335	69¢	$230	0x2e1f92…
10-19 17:53:02	Will SC Braga vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	97	25¢	$25	0x4fe9a5…
10-19 17:46:15	Will El Masry SC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	SELL	237	40¢	$95	0xe8a242…