Confused-Elbow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$951

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.9%

Resolved

160

Trades

271

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-06 19:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

62% 43% -$735

Sports

18% 25% -$180

Politics

13% 50% +$0

Crypto

7% 13% -$36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$1.1K	566	566	+0	No	-$1	01-12 12:51
bun bay wol 2026 01 11 bay	2	$1.1K	618	618	+0	Yes	+$12	01-11 17:32
will rui moreira win the 2026 portugal presidential election 693	2	$1.1K	544	544	+0	No	+$0	01-11 12:24
over 200m committed to the ranger public sale 184 417 328 897 999	2	$1.1K	545	545	+0	No	+$1	01-10 15:57
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$1.1K	535	535	+0	No	-$1	01-08 13:02
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$1.1K	533	533	+0	No	-$1	01-08 15:55
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.1K	556	556	+0	No	-$1	01-09 15:26
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$997	513	513	+0	No	-$1	01-10 16:52
lol jdg wb 2026 01 29	4	$680	580	580	+0	Weibo Gaming	-$97	01-29 12:30
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	4	$581	334	334	+0	Yes	+$0	04-09 13:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$568	397	397	+0	No	-$12	04-11 15:41
lal esp ala 2026 01 30 total 2pt5	7	$465	726	0	+726	Over	-$465	01-30 12:20
ethereum above 2900 on january 27	11	$291	477	477	+0	Yes	-$14	01-27 12:30
ucl ars kai1 2026 01 28 ars	2	$282	145	145	+0	Yes	+$8	01-28 21:40
bitcoin up or down february 4 8am et	5	$273	290	290	+0	Down	-$23	02-04 13:02
nba por was 2026 01 27 total 231pt5	3	$184	362	0	+362	Under	-$184	01-27 16:36
lal bil rso 2026 02 01 rso	1	$183	678	0	+678	No	-$183	02-01 19:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 11:15 UTC	4	$50	100	0	+100	Down	+$0	01-29 11:08
tur kas kay 2026 04 04 kas	2	$35	24	24	+0	Yes	+$13	04-04 13:48
efa mac1 cry 2026 01 10 mac1	2	$34	26	26	+0	Yes	+$18	01-10 15:20
bitcoin up or down february 3 4pm et	1	$25	50	0	+50	Down	-$25	02-03 20:19
Will Uruguay win on 2026-10-06?	2	$24	13	13	+0	Yes	+$0	10-06 14:16
bitcoin up or down february 3 1pm et	3	$24	16	16	+0	Down	+$8	02-03 19:16
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 12:45 UTC	7	$22	25	25	+0	Up	+$0	01-12 12:56
bitcoin above 98k on january 30	3	$20	10,431	9,994	+437	No	$0	01-29 22:14
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	1	$20	24	0	+24	Yes	-$20	06-25 10:19
ethereum above 2400 on april 3	6	$17	9,004	8,352	+652	No	-$1	04-02 18:42
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?	1	$17	24	0	+24	Yes	+$7	06-24 10:54
ethereum above 3500 on january 26	3	$16	7,978	7,978	+0	No	+$0	01-25 20:05
bun fre bay 2026 04 04 bay	1	$15	33	0	+33	Yes	-$15	04-04 14:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 19:23:20	Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x411eee…
10-06 14:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4c269a…
10-06 14:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x25e453…
10-06 14:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7aa86b…
10-06 14:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xe11937…
10-06 14:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xbce364…
10-06 14:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x6abf5a…
10-06 14:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x29d68c…
10-06 14:16:03	Will Uruguay win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	13	97¢	$12	0x12663e…
10-06 14:01:45	Will Uruguay win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xdb4368…
07-01 09:28:23	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x456222…
06-29 07:14:05	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x9ff01b…
06-28 11:56:17	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x0840c8…
06-26 10:25:37	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	No	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xb91f9e…
06-25 10:19:52	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xe93ed1…
06-24 10:54:34	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	24	71¢	$17	0xfa4516…
06-23 10:25:11	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x425df3…
05-19 16:49:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xf09073…
05-19 16:49:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x35033f…
05-19 16:43:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x5ec0ea…
05-19 16:43:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x13b000…
05-19 16:39:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x8c8032…
05-19 16:32:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1b8ce3…
05-19 16:29:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x390c11…
05-19 16:24:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb8b4c7…
05-19 16:19:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xc57d65…
05-19 16:19:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x3ffb3e…
05-19 16:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x753e12…
05-19 16:09:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7c10f5…
05-19 16:09:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x555ad4…
05-19 16:05:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x4b4278…
05-19 16:04:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x3c97f0…
05-19 16:04:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x16304c…
05-19 15:59:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xfd72ee…
05-19 15:59:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb6f33c…
05-19 15:55:52	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x383d71…
05-14 12:05:31	Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x34ee7a…
05-09 12:58:59	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xeb659e…
05-09 12:39:05	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd92f85…
05-09 12:29:14	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x2dab8f…
05-09 12:14:28	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xbcb4a5…
05-08 13:29:45	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xef57c0…
05-08 13:14:05	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x5756d9…
05-08 12:58:37	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeffda6…
05-06 11:10:00	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x97b93d…
05-06 11:05:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x454e37…
05-06 10:59:52	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x689375…
05-06 10:59:26	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x83de3b…
05-06 10:54:20	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x8fb01a…
05-06 10:54:20	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x7ec6e3…
05-06 10:54:18	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc082d2…
05-06 10:49:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd80de7…
05-06 10:48:22	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb04fbb…
05-06 10:44:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd78959…
05-05 17:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x97948b…
04-11 15:41:55	el1 car bol 2026 04 11 car	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x54c695…
04-11 15:41:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	397	70¢	$278	0xa3b767…
04-11 15:38:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	397	73¢	$290	0x36a300…
04-11 12:23:47	el1 car bol 2026 04 11 car	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x201a55…
04-11 12:18:37	el1 car bol 2026 04 11 car	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9654be…
04-09 13:05:51	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	SELL	249	87¢	$217	0xbe24c2…
04-09 13:02:43	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x86c897…
04-09 13:00:23	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	SELL	81	87¢	$71	0xa6f655…
04-09 12:58:19	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	BUY	334	87¢	$291	0x126da8…
04-05 08:29:03	highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 13c	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xea7ffa…
04-04 21:19:55	highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa5e2f5…
04-04 21:19:01	highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0503dd…
04-04 14:10:31	bun fre bay 2026 04 04 bay	No	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xa06e04…
04-04 13:48:05	tur kas kay 2026 04 04 kas	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xc9fc8b…
04-04 11:33:11	tur kas kay 2026 04 04 kas	Yes	BUY	24	44¢	$11	0x7b0506…
04-03 23:48:09	highest temperature in seoul on april 4 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x626ac2…
04-03 23:42:37	highest temperature in seoul on april 4 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x1247b1…
04-03 23:41:33	highest temperature in seoul on april 4 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x20e507…
04-03 23:41:15	highest temperature in seoul on april 4 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x6891ae…
04-03 23:38:47	highest temperature in seoul on april 4 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe65621…
04-03 23:38:19	highest temperature in seoul on april 4 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x535445…
04-03 11:21:51	ethereum above 2500 on april 4	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xa593cd…
04-03 11:21:51	ethereum above 2500 on april 4	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x6553c4…
04-03 11:21:51	ethereum above 2500 on april 4	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x31dda3…
04-03 11:20:25	ethereum above 2500 on april 4	Yes	BUY	6,601	0¢	$7	0xd1f3ad…
04-02 19:12:03	highest temperature in seoul on april 3 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdc29c8…
04-02 18:42:31	ethereum above 2400 on april 3	Yes	SELL	1,660	0¢	$2	0x3aa1ee…
04-02 18:42:17	ethereum above 2400 on april 3	Yes	SELL	3,954	0¢	$4	0xd97146…
04-02 18:42:11	ethereum above 2400 on april 3	Yes	SELL	2,246	0¢	$2	0x976e29…
04-02 18:41:55	ethereum above 2400 on april 3	Yes	SELL	246	0¢	$0	0x4dbd08…
04-02 18:41:43	ethereum above 2400 on april 3	Yes	SELL	246	0¢	$0	0xb37d79…
04-02 18:41:03	ethereum above 2400 on april 3	Yes	BUY	9,004	0¢	$9	0xae8e2a…
03-20 15:10:43	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 20	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x08de4c…
03-20 15:10:03	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 20	Yes	BUY	6,443	0¢	$6	0x39b9e7…
03-19 12:00:53	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 11:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x411538…
03-19 11:57:45	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x914edf…
03-07 14:44:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2d2087…
03-07 14:39:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4cffcf…
03-07 14:39:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x92239b…
03-07 14:38:59	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0ba1cd…
03-07 14:35:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x871531…
03-07 14:34:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xff7651…
03-07 14:34:47	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5a0df3…
03-07 14:30:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x22e95a…
03-07 14:30:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xabca4d…