Stormy-Decline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$110

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

Trades

587

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-23 20:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 58% +$25

Sports

3% 100% +$85

Politics

3% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774483200	2	$716	369	369	+0	open	—	03-26 00:04
btc updown 5m 1774480800	5	$662	427	423	+4	open	—	03-25 23:25
btc updown 5m 1774482000	5	$616	402	399	+4	open	—	03-25 23:45
btc updown 5m 1774883100	2	$469	238	238	+0	open	—	03-30 15:10
btc updown 5m 1774479300	3	$464	351	201	+150	open	—	03-25 23:00
btc updown 5m 1774481100	3	$449	373	160	+213	open	—	03-25 23:30
btc updown 5m 1774630200	2	$401	203	202	+0	open	—	03-27 16:55
btc updown 5m 1774482900	2	$377	233	229	+3	open	—	03-26 00:00
btc updown 5m 1774479600	2	$339	182	181	+1	open	—	03-25 23:05
btc updown 5m 1774482600	2	$339	192	191	+1	open	—	03-25 23:54
btc updown 5m 1774481400	2	$328	181	180	+1	open	—	03-25 23:35
btc updown 5m 1774482300	2	$324	176	175	+1	open	—	03-25 23:50
btc updown 5m 1774480200	2	$319	172	171	+1	open	—	03-25 23:15
btc updown 5m 1774481700	2	$310	162	162	+0	open	—	03-25 23:39
btc updown 5m 1774479900	2	$308	160	159	+0	open	—	03-25 23:10
btc updown 5m 1774478700	3	$247	145	143	+1	open	—	03-25 22:50
btc updown 5m 1774882800	2	$231	134	133	+2	open	—	03-30 15:05
btc updown 5m 1774476600	5	$227	130	129	+1	open	—	03-25 22:15
btc updown 5m 1774476300	4	$217	120	120	+0	open	—	03-25 22:09
btc updown 5m 1774478100	4	$216	129	128	+0	open	—	03-25 22:40
btc updown 5m 1774884900	2	$215	117	116	+1	open	—	03-30 15:40
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	3	$213	186	154	+32	open	—	07-11 13:32
btc updown 5m 1774477200	2	$212	114	113	+0	open	—	03-25 22:24
btc updown 5m 1774479000	2	$206	108	107	+0	open	—	03-25 22:55
btc updown 5m 1774884000	2	$205	236	0	+236	open	—	03-30 15:24
btc updown 5m 1774883700	2	$201	102	102	+0	open	—	03-30 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	9	$170	170	170	+0	Up	+$50	05-10 19:29
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$165	239	239	+0	open	—	02-28 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$156	252	252	+0	Up	$-44	05-10 19:24
btc updown 5m 1774521300	1	$150	197	0	+197	open	—	03-26 10:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 20:32:37	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xa1157a…
07-23 20:29:39	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xd1f078…
07-19 21:29:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	17	32¢	$6	0xf61c97…
07-19 21:28:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xde8650…
07-19 21:27:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x4d462b…
07-19 18:18:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	56	59¢	$33	0xae7391…
07-11 13:33:37	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0xc87abd…
07-11 13:32:49	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xf21612…
07-10 17:39:46	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	154	67¢	$103	0xad6633…
07-08 21:20:37	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xa84617…
06-26 14:25:53	btc updown 5m 1782483900	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xf247a8…
06-26 14:25:41	btc updown 5m 1782483900	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5b1f4a…
06-26 14:20:42	btc updown 5m 1782483600	Down	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xf92740…
06-26 14:20:18	btc updown 5m 1782483600	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf59244…
06-26 14:16:40	btc updown 5m 1782483300	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x49c01b…
06-26 14:15:21	btc updown 5m 1782483300	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2b0cc7…
06-26 14:13:21	btc updown 5m 1782483000	Up	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xfe584f…
06-26 14:13:19	btc updown 5m 1782483000	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x4f1d79…
06-26 14:13:06	btc updown 5m 1782483000	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe0b10e…
06-26 13:50:39	btc updown 5m 1782481800	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x16f1e3…
06-26 13:50:27	btc updown 5m 1782481800	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd7cadb…
06-26 09:31:44	btc updown 15m 1782466200	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x566f58…
06-26 09:28:53	btc updown 15m 1782465300	Up	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x3372c0…
06-26 09:16:28	btc updown 15m 1782465300	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2ca95e…
06-26 09:00:40	btc updown 15m 1782464400	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5e2a46…
06-26 08:47:49	btc updown 15m 1782463500	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe09186…
06-26 08:47:49	btc updown 15m 1782463500	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x9bf8a3…
06-26 08:45:19	btc updown 15m 1782463500	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4c9406…
06-26 08:31:22	btc updown 15m 1782462600	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x502363…
06-26 08:30:49	btc updown 15m 1782462600	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4a0b7d…
06-26 08:30:49	btc updown 15m 1782462600	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x34fcb4…
06-26 08:16:31	btc updown 15m 1782461700	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xcfc8ce…
06-26 08:16:10	btc updown 15m 1782461700	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0xd9c319…
06-26 08:15:53	btc updown 15m 1782461700	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf75e29…
06-26 08:15:46	btc updown 15m 1782461700	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3854f2…
06-26 08:12:29	btc updown 5m 1782461400	Down	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x4cd54d…
06-26 08:10:25	btc updown 5m 1782461400	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x221a59…
06-25 12:09:11	btc updown 15m 1782388800	Up	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x01ab65…
06-25 12:07:59	btc updown 15m 1782388800	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x646fe1…
06-25 11:55:14	btc updown 15m 1782387900	Up	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x069e59…
06-25 11:45:41	btc updown 15m 1782387900	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x27eba8…
06-25 11:39:11	btc updown 15m 1782387000	Down	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x43ccd8…
06-25 11:30:07	btc updown 15m 1782387000	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe253b0…
06-25 11:30:07	btc updown 15m 1782387000	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x93c2e7…
06-25 11:30:07	btc updown 15m 1782387000	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x42eb58…
06-25 10:45:35	btc updown 15m 1782384300	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x6878c8…
06-25 10:42:31	btc updown 15m 1782384300	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x531714…
06-25 10:41:34	btc updown 15m 1782383400	Up	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x1dd71e…
06-25 10:37:43	btc updown 15m 1782383400	Up	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xa37fd2…
06-20 16:24:11	btc updown 15m 1781972100	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcfb034…
06-20 16:24:10	btc updown 15m 1781972100	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xc19637…
06-20 16:24:10	btc updown 15m 1781972100	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7c5e08…
06-20 16:15:13	btc updown 15m 1781972100	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xb19109…
06-20 16:15:13	btc updown 15m 1781972100	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x8ff305…
06-20 16:07:50	btc updown 15m 1781971200	Up	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x5d1fca…
06-20 16:00:20	btc updown 15m 1781971200	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x89dd6d…
06-20 15:57:08	btc updown 15m 1781970300	Down	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x493bcf…
06-20 15:54:38	btc updown 15m 1781970300	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc2bd43…
06-20 15:45:13	btc updown 15m 1781970300	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x66cf1b…
06-20 15:44:52	btc updown 15m 1781970300	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xcbd6a2…
06-20 15:40:31	btc updown 15m 1781969400	Up	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x923979…
06-20 15:29:28	btc updown 15m 1781969400	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x28b5f3…
06-20 15:25:44	btc updown 15m 1781968500	Down	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0xbb9cf8…
06-20 15:15:46	btc updown 15m 1781968500	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x31c184…
06-20 15:15:14	btc updown 15m 1781968500	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xd2cf42…
06-20 15:04:10	btc updown 15m 1781967600	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x8467fd…
06-20 15:04:08	btc updown 15m 1781967600	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd5c553…
06-20 15:04:08	btc updown 15m 1781967600	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x6935e7…
06-20 14:59:16	btc updown 15m 1781967600	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x2789eb…
06-20 14:43:16	btc updown 15m 1781965800	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7a3dec…
06-20 14:34:01	btc updown 15m 1781965800	Down	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0x786186…
06-20 14:31:59	btc updown 15m 1781965800	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8bc1e5…
06-20 14:31:41	btc updown 15m 1781965800	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7819f0…
06-20 14:31:04	btc updown 15m 1781965800	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd8edbd…
06-20 13:24:59	btc updown 15m 1781962200	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb749ed…
06-20 13:24:28	btc updown 15m 1781961300	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x3301ee…
06-20 13:21:59	btc updown 15m 1781961300	Up	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x0bf33c…
06-20 13:19:47	btc updown 15m 1781961300	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x8a69bf…
06-20 13:19:46	btc updown 15m 1781961300	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xeee665…
06-20 13:19:46	btc updown 15m 1781961300	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6f38ea…
06-20 13:15:04	btc updown 15m 1781961300	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x4a31c1…
06-20 13:15:04	btc updown 15m 1781961300	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x45c5e7…
06-20 13:10:32	btc updown 15m 1781960400	Up	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xf44eb6…
06-20 13:00:13	btc updown 15m 1781960400	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xde95a3…
06-20 12:59:58	btc updown 15m 1781959500	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc36b0a…
06-20 12:58:41	btc updown 15m 1781959500	Down	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0x34a9a3…
06-20 12:56:37	btc updown 15m 1781959500	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x0e5a9b…
06-20 12:47:49	btc updown 15m 1781959500	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xc8678d…
06-20 12:47:49	btc updown 15m 1781959500	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa5df88…
06-20 12:45:16	btc updown 15m 1781959500	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x952724…
06-20 12:36:23	btc updown 15m 1781958600	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd19daa…
06-19 13:32:13	btc updown 5m 1781875800	Up	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x537f78…
06-19 13:32:11	btc updown 5m 1781875800	Down	SELL	16	44¢	$7	0xefe62f…
06-19 13:31:25	btc updown 5m 1781875800	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6e6d37…
06-19 13:30:38	btc updown 5m 1781875800	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x434846…
06-19 13:30:31	btc updown 5m 1781875800	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0x508c6d…
06-19 13:30:22	btc updown 5m 1781875800	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8f50a4…
06-19 13:30:17	btc updown 5m 1781875800	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8a9eaa…
06-19 13:29:41	btc updown 5m 1781875500	Up	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x53046a…
06-19 13:27:56	btc updown 5m 1781875500	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa314a2…