Stormy-Decline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$110

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

Trades

414

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 05-21 16:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 58% +$25

Politics

3% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$85

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774483200	2	$716	369	369	+0	open	—	03-26 00:04
btc updown 5m 1774480800	5	$662	427	423	+4	open	—	03-25 23:25
btc updown 5m 1774482000	5	$616	402	399	+4	open	—	03-25 23:45
btc updown 5m 1774883100	2	$469	238	238	+0	open	—	03-30 15:10
btc updown 5m 1774479300	3	$464	351	201	+150	open	—	03-25 23:00
btc updown 5m 1774481100	3	$449	373	160	+213	open	—	03-25 23:30
btc updown 5m 1774630200	2	$401	203	202	+0	open	—	03-27 16:55
btc updown 5m 1774482900	2	$377	233	229	+3	open	—	03-26 00:00
btc updown 5m 1774479600	2	$339	182	181	+1	open	—	03-25 23:05
btc updown 5m 1774482600	2	$339	192	191	+1	open	—	03-25 23:54
btc updown 5m 1774481400	2	$328	181	180	+1	open	—	03-25 23:35
btc updown 5m 1774482300	2	$324	176	175	+1	open	—	03-25 23:50
btc updown 5m 1774480200	2	$319	172	171	+1	open	—	03-25 23:15
btc updown 5m 1774481700	2	$310	162	162	+0	open	—	03-25 23:39
btc updown 5m 1774479900	2	$308	160	159	+0	open	—	03-25 23:10
btc updown 5m 1774478700	3	$247	145	143	+1	open	—	03-25 22:50
btc updown 5m 1774882800	2	$231	134	133	+2	open	—	03-30 15:05
btc updown 5m 1774476600	5	$227	130	129	+1	open	—	03-25 22:15
btc updown 5m 1774476300	4	$217	120	120	+0	open	—	03-25 22:09
btc updown 5m 1774478100	4	$216	129	128	+0	open	—	03-25 22:40
btc updown 5m 1774884900	2	$215	117	116	+1	open	—	03-30 15:40
btc updown 5m 1774477200	2	$212	114	113	+0	open	—	03-25 22:24
btc updown 5m 1774479000	2	$206	108	107	+0	open	—	03-25 22:55
btc updown 5m 1774884000	2	$205	236	0	+236	open	—	03-30 15:24
btc updown 5m 1774883700	2	$201	102	102	+0	open	—	03-30 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	9	$170	170	170	+0	Up	+$50	05-10 19:29
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$165	239	239	+0	open	—	02-28 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$156	252	252	+0	Up	$-44	05-10 19:24
btc updown 5m 1774521300	1	$150	197	0	+197	open	—	03-26 10:37
btc updown 5m 1774518900	1	$150	227	0	+227	open	—	03-26 09:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 16:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8a709b…
05-21 16:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1015eb…
05-21 16:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x43e69f…
05-21 16:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xfeef53…
05-21 16:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xad0db8…
05-21 16:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x1924d9…
05-21 16:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	36	70¢	$25	0x913666…
05-21 16:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x70c79e…
05-17 10:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0xfeaf44…
05-17 10:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xff280e…
05-17 09:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x037ed1…
05-17 09:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3560a8…
05-17 09:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x36e72c…
05-15 16:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x7fd7ce…
05-15 16:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xd8c5c7…
05-15 13:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0xa27473…
05-15 13:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x71b609…
05-15 13:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xe1da1c…
05-15 13:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x6d8b28…
05-15 13:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x4f9de4…
05-15 13:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xf4fa81…
05-15 13:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x20f5be…
05-15 13:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x69f3f6…
05-15 13:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xc4c83f…
05-15 13:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xb1bfbc…
05-15 13:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0xe17912…
05-15 13:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x843060…
05-15 13:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe9a3d5…
05-15 13:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0xff4026…
05-15 13:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9aaeec…
05-15 13:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x9646cc…
05-15 13:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x486143…
05-15 13:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe49a58…
05-15 13:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x5fbab6…
05-15 13:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x33a388…
05-15 13:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x7b6268…
05-15 13:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x23aa0b…
05-15 13:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbc48dd…
05-15 13:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x7aea38…
05-15 13:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa1a578…
05-15 13:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0x94b1c7…
05-15 13:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xcae925…
05-15 13:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x27fa85…
05-12 20:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	22	87¢	$20	0xbfc891…
05-12 20:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	29	16¢	$4	0xcc4c2d…
05-12 20:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x6734e8…
05-12 20:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x1c0d85…
05-12 20:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x573c0e…
05-10 22:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x657a51…
05-10 22:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x4b4287…
05-10 21:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x7a6ba2…
05-10 21:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xb0212a…
05-10 20:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xe4e959…
05-10 20:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xd7befd…
05-10 20:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x68fd6f…
05-10 20:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x5d271e…
05-10 19:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0x97de70…
05-10 19:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xfc15e6…
05-10 19:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x8814d4…
05-10 19:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	70	93¢	$66	0xd5616d…
05-10 19:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x5d1a11…
05-10 19:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x9fdfcb…
05-10 19:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x3157d3…
05-10 19:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd9160c…
05-10 19:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x535cae…
05-10 19:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	50	77¢	$39	0x62bf9c…
05-10 19:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xd2dade…
05-10 19:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x115877…
05-10 19:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	147	1¢	$1	0x28700c…
05-10 19:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	105	52¢	$55	0x2b3bc6…
05-10 19:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	105	48¢	$50	0xa7755d…
05-10 19:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x4d7bc6…
05-10 19:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	136	37¢	$50	0x4f9cdb…
05-10 19:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0xb1ab73…
05-10 19:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x505221…
05-10 19:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x636729…
05-10 19:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x049168…
05-10 19:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x2536af…
05-10 19:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x04d75f…
05-10 19:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x26a96f…
05-10 19:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x390698…
05-10 18:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x955b45…
05-10 18:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xdd1b57…
05-10 18:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xaf21ea…
05-10 18:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdf9e5e…
05-10 18:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbbbb3c…
05-10 18:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb8b513…
05-10 18:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x316592…
05-10 18:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xae87f1…
05-10 05:20:28	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x1d1499…
05-09 23:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x9179e9…
05-09 23:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x756f6f…
05-09 23:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x98aeb9…
05-09 23:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xec4172…
05-09 23:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6cd64f…
05-09 23:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdb4c67…
05-09 23:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x72ae25…
05-09 23:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3c4e1b…
05-09 23:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfeebc9…
05-09 23:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe5f688…