Gargantuan-Speculation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.79K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

1,344

Trades

2,915

lifetime

Volume

$98.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 05-22 00:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 53% -$1,159

Sports

4% 44% -$233

Politics

1% 43% -$219

Other

1% 21% -$183

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl phi cbj 2026 01 28	8	$3.1K	2,450	2,450	+0	Blue Jackets	-$132	01-29 03:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 05:45 UTC	2	$1.8K	961	959	+2	Down	+$105	01-27 06:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 00:30 UTC	4	$1.3K	814	805	+9	Down	+$302	01-29 00:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 00:45 UTC	2	$1.2K	591	591	+0	Up	+$17	01-29 00:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 00:00 UTC	4	$1.1K	590	589	+1	Down	+$36	01-29 00:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	4	$559	429	429	+0	Up	+$259	05-21 23:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:45 UTC	2	$545	333	329	+4	Down	+$103	01-28 04:59
us strike on somalia by january 31 563	6	$544	1,234	1,473	-239	Yes	+$22	01-29 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	4	$511	437	323	+114	Down	+$24	05-21 22:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 13:50 UTC	2	$426	233	232	+1	Down	+$35	02-26 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:20 UTC	3	$412	208	207	+0	Up	+$2	02-15 22:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 23:45 UTC	1	$398	426	0	+426	Down	+$28	01-29 00:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 07:15 UTC	4	$397	278	275	+3	Up	+$24	02-28 07:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 21:55 UTC	2	$394	200	200	+0	Up	+$6	02-16 22:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 03:00 UTC	3	$391	410	404	+6	Up	-$37	01-30 03:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 14:00 UTC	2	$388	220	219	+1	Up	+$38	01-27 14:10
will israel strike lebanon on february 3 2026	9	$375	241	241	+0	No	+$23	02-03 23:04
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 03:30 UTC	1	$363	835	0	+835	Down	-$363	01-30 03:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 07:45 UTC	4	$362	226	224	+2	Down	+$49	03-08 07:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:05 UTC	4	$357	182	182	+0	Up	+$8	02-15 22:11
xrp up or down january 29 5am et	2	$349	176	176	+0	Up	+$0	01-29 11:02
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 03:00 UTC	2	$347	222	218	+3	Up	+$89	01-30 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 21:15 UTC	3	$339	194	194	+1	Down	+$45	02-16 21:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 21:40 UTC	4	$330	178	178	+0	Down	+$8	02-15 21:47
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 09:30 UTC	2	$329	184	183	+1	Down	+$34	03-08 09:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 09:55 UTC	2	$328	169	169	+0	Up	+$7	02-27 10:02
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:45 UTC	9	$328	292	288	+4	Up	-$20	01-28 01:58
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:00 UTC	6	$325	194	193	+1	Down	+$3	01-28 02:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 09:20 UTC	4	$320	164	164	+0	Up	+$5	02-16 09:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 12:30 UTC	4	$319	200	199	+2	Down	+$11	01-27 12:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 00:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	81	57¢	$46	0x90f72f…
05-22 00:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	320	11¢	$35	0xf50c7c…
05-22 00:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xd02f30…
05-22 00:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x5d4bb9…
05-22 00:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	216	46¢	$100	0xe17e37…
05-22 00:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	181	53¢	$96	0x1f1a60…
05-22 00:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xc881a6…
05-22 00:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	154	94¢	$144	0xcb12e5…
05-22 00:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x297adf…
05-22 00:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	334	3¢	$9	0x7a57b6…
05-22 00:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	237	42¢	$100	0x5386d8…
05-22 00:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x1f674b…
05-22 00:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x9e921f…
05-22 00:24:43	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xf5e48a…
05-22 00:24:43	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x137868…
05-22 00:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	239	42¢	$100	0xf58fc7…
05-22 00:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xd29d4b…
05-22 00:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	46	89¢	$41	0x451d71…
05-22 00:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xe60e9a…
05-22 00:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	95	26¢	$25	0x48ad18…
05-22 00:18:23	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	44	8¢	$4	0xa52f1b…
05-22 00:15:54	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xa30778…
05-22 00:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	78	3¢	$2	0xddea50…
05-22 00:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x8d6db4…
05-21 23:59:41	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	45	90¢	$41	0x4fe00c…
05-21 23:56:58	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xdf72a6…
05-21 23:54:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x6ba4e5…
05-21 23:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	117	91¢	$107	0x2aca52…
05-21 23:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xc47dae…
05-21 23:52:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x22aa52…
05-21 23:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xab7b0e…
05-21 23:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xadbd72…
05-21 23:49:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	42	73¢	$30	0x935116…
05-21 23:47:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xfa4e12…
05-21 23:44:35	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x95b544…
05-21 23:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	175	92¢	$161	0x78e572…
05-21 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xf720e7…
05-21 23:39:56	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	67	98¢	$66	0x9f8386…
05-21 23:39:42	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0xc09dfb…
05-21 23:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x10bb31…
05-21 23:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x65adf7…
05-21 23:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xf0b6c3…
05-21 23:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x15444e…
05-21 23:29:54	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x8d21cd…
05-21 23:29:12	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x91a8b3…
05-21 23:19:49	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xb79c7b…
05-21 23:19:05	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0xed6008…
05-21 23:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x44d5c9…
05-21 23:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x63c69d…
05-21 23:08:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0x5eb521…
05-21 23:06:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x1d6287…
05-21 23:05:03	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x34bbb6…
05-21 23:04:41	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xfa5af6…
05-21 23:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	429	95¢	$409	0x0113c2…
05-21 23:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xd6468f…
05-21 23:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x0f48e6…
05-21 23:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	254	39¢	$100	0x730145…
05-21 22:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xc709cf…
05-21 22:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x93d2dd…
05-21 22:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	323	65¢	$211	0x9b1997…
05-21 22:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0xde9fa9…
05-21 22:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x449cb1…
05-21 22:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x88e0b8…
05-21 22:24:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0xbcdb94…
05-21 22:24:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	50	17¢	$9	0xfe4547…
05-21 22:22:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe912a3…
05-21 22:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	202	50¢	$100	0x501ec1…
05-21 22:14:52	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x0f1597…
05-21 22:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	243	41¢	$100	0x761395…
05-21 22:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	228	44¢	$100	0x76d3ef…
05-21 22:09:30	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	46	16¢	$7	0xda7e3f…
05-21 22:06:57	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	46	55¢	$25	0x09dc94…
05-21 22:04:04	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xcbd807…
05-21 21:58:47	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	55	84¢	$46	0xa557a9…
05-21 21:56:36	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x5fbd69…
05-21 21:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	288	52¢	$150	0xe8b505…
05-21 21:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x3b91e5…
05-21 21:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x00ef31…
05-21 21:49:40	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x9401f1…
05-21 21:49:24	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	120	90¢	$107	0xc9135c…
05-21 21:48:21	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0xfb5b32…
05-21 21:48:21	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	59	42¢	$25	0x6801aa…
05-21 21:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	59	42¢	$25	0x8031ff…
05-21 21:44:56	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x102388…
05-21 21:43:11	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x11bdcc…
05-21 21:39:55	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	33	93¢	$31	0x4bfffc…
05-21 21:39:45	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x372f60…
05-21 21:34:44	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	38	90¢	$34	0xf57ab9…
05-21 21:34:23	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x416995…
04-02 16:05:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xff1be6…
04-02 16:04:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe46b57…
04-02 14:11:57	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x7f43c7…
04-02 13:58:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x1f75e9…
04-02 13:56:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6d72f4…
04-02 13:49:31	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x1cdf06…
04-02 13:47:59	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xb74741…
04-02 13:44:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:40 UTC	Up	SELL	28	73¢	$20	0x502b35…
04-02 13:44:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	29	58¢	$17	0xf8d613…
04-02 13:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:35 UTC	Up	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0x0906f0…
04-02 13:37:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x7068a9…