Calm-Inflation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

Trades

229

lifetime

Volume

$3.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-30 13:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

44% 50% +$30

Politics

29% — —

Sports

23% 47% +$19

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$263	193	193	+0	open	—	02-28 06:13
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$241	159	159	+0	open	—	04-04 09:39
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$132	127	127	+0	open	—	03-01 18:14
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	03-09 17:54
will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	1	$100	118	0	+118	open	—	02-03 08:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$100	130	0	+130	open	—	02-28 19:05
will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	1	$80	107	0	+107	open	—	02-28 22:25
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	3	$76	147	147	+0	Yes	+$36	03-16 06:23
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	1	$40	200	0	+200	open	—	04-14 21:17
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	1	$30	50	0	+50	open	—	03-03 08:46
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$30	103	0	+103	open	—	03-15 20:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$25	208	0	+208	open	—	03-24 08:47
khamenei seen in public by march 4 594 341 111	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	02-28 21:51
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	1	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	05-17 10:03
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	05-17 10:03
Cervia: Sandro Kopp vs Max Alcala Gurri	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	05-17 10:10
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Sara Bejlek vs Emma Navarro	1	$20	47	0	+47	open	—	05-17 10:08
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Xinyu Wang vs Lois Boisson	1	$20	47	0	+47	open	—	05-17 10:08
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Diane Parry vs Emma Raducanu	1	$20	47	0	+47	open	—	05-17 10:09
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	1	$20	49	0	+49	open	—	05-17 10:04
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Fiona Ferro vs Elina Avanesyan	1	$20	44	0	+44	open	—	05-17 10:07
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	1	$20	49	0	+49	open	—	05-17 10:03
Aris BSA vs. AEK	1	$20	48	0	+48	open	—	05-17 10:15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	1	$20	49	0	+49	open	—	05-17 10:04
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$20	57	0	+57	open	—	04-04 09:38
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Katerina Siniakova	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	05-17 10:10
Geneva Open: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Michelsen	1	$20	49	0	+49	open	—	05-17 10:09
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	05-17 10:03
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	1	$20	54	0	+54	open	—	05-17 10:06
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Moyuka Uchijima	1	$20	45	0	+45	open	—	05-17 10:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 13:25:53	Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs	fnatic	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x60be21…
05-30 13:24:45	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Colorado Rockies	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xaa51a1…
05-30 13:21:09	Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	Miami Marlins	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xcea950…
05-30 13:20:55	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xaaa092…
05-30 13:20:33	Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Minnesota Twins	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xc5f76a…
05-30 13:20:10	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x1268ba…
05-30 13:19:56	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x29ad50…
05-30 13:19:38	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xebdc4d…
05-30 13:19:26	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x83e21c…
05-30 13:19:07	Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	Miami Marlins	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x7f76e1…
05-30 13:18:51	Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Boston Red Sox	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xe916fc…
05-30 13:18:41	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x29038e…
05-30 13:18:23	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0xba672e…
05-30 13:17:59	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x9da97e…
05-30 13:17:32	AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Chicago Wolves	Chicago Wolves	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x670176…
05-30 13:17:15	AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Toronto Marlies	Toronto Marlies	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0xd0f78a…
05-30 13:17:01	AHL: Chicago Wolves vs. Colorado Eagles	Chicago Wolves	BUY	35	42¢	$15	0xe136ef…
05-30 13:16:33	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xb33551…
05-30 13:16:12	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic	Belinda Bencic	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x843102…
05-30 13:15:51	ITF Lakewood: Amit Vales vs Spencer Johnson	Amit Vales	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x875ac8…
05-30 13:15:40	ITF Lakewood: Mayu Crossley vs Tatum Evans	Tatum Evans	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x5f4080…
05-30 13:15:32	ITF Wichita: Reese Brantmeier vs Clervie Ngounoue	Reese Brantmeier	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x8ce537…
05-30 13:15:16	ITF Lakewood: Allison Wang vs Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer	Allison Wang	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x96857b…
05-30 13:15:02	Little Rock: Andre Ilagan vs Aidan Mayo	Andre Ilagan	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x544c9f…
05-30 13:14:36	Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x5d1bc2…
05-30 13:13:57	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Halys/Herbert vs Harrison/Skupski	Halys/Herbert	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xc2aec3…
05-30 13:12:44	Pallacanestro Brescia vs. Olimpia Milano	Pallacanestro Brescia	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xa338c0…
05-30 13:12:24	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x96933b…
05-30 13:12:10	Ferro Carril Oeste vs. Gimnasia	Gimnasia	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x954e49…
05-30 13:11:32	T20 Blast: Warwickshire vs Northamptonshire	Warwickshire	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x95f56e…
05-30 13:11:21	T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Hampshire	Middlesex	BUY	36	41¢	$15	0x6a6b5c…
05-30 13:11:00	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh	Bangladesh	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x00938b…
05-21 20:32:33	Dota 2: OG vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	OG	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x37b5a7…
05-21 20:32:24	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Tundra Esports	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x2e29a8…
05-21 20:32:08	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	BUY	34	45¢	$15	0x4fd7df…
05-21 20:31:56	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x5cc18b…
05-21 20:31:44	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x33f590…
05-21 20:31:24	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron MY by VIT vs Team Flash (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular Season	Team Flash	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x9f3686…
05-21 20:31:09	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs Dewa United Esports (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	Bigetron by Vitality	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xbaea47…
05-21 20:30:56	Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2	Gen.G Esports	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xabe262…
05-21 20:30:44	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x9e3806…
05-21 20:08:15	Istanbul: Franco Agamenone vs Andrej Nedic	Franco Agamenone	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xe56a2b…
05-21 20:08:03	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Lulu Sun vs Claire Liu	Lulu Sun	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xd3993c…
05-21 20:07:54	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Katarina Zavatska vs Lucia Bronzetti	Katarina Zavatska	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x100515…
05-21 20:07:35	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Dabrowski/Stefani vs Alexandrova/Danilina	Alexandrova/Danilina	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xf38c96…
05-21 20:07:14	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Susan Bandecchi vs Viktoria Hruncakova	Viktoria Hruncakova	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x8a88d9…
05-21 20:07:03	Bengaluru 3: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Alastair Gray	Petr Bar Biryukov	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x6b24d8…
05-21 20:06:53	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov	Borna Gojo	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x5f2d01…
05-21 20:06:39	ITF Gimcheon: Tai Leonard Sach vs Sora Fukuda	Sora Fukuda	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x13695a…
05-21 20:06:28	ITF Wuning: Xinxin Yao vs Zongyu Li	Zongyu Li	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xe5ca61…
05-21 20:06:14	ITF Luan: Yaojie Zeng vs Jake Delaney	Yaojie Zeng	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x45b224…
05-21 20:05:41	ITF Takasaki: Valentina Ryser vs Natsumi Kawaguchi	Natsumi Kawaguchi	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xb45a3a…
05-21 20:05:25	ITF Takasaki: Yuki Naito vs Eri Shimizu	Eri Shimizu	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x669804…
05-21 20:03:59	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x94134d…
05-21 19:59:42	KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Lotte Giants	Lotte Giants	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x06e173…
05-21 19:59:26	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xdc1055…
05-21 19:57:50	Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Colorado Rockies	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x930865…
05-21 19:57:36	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves	Washington Nationals	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x66dc5a…
05-21 19:56:58	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox	Minnesota Twins	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x12fc25…
05-21 19:56:49	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xaa90f4…
05-21 19:56:40	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x3ff8d4…
05-21 19:56:31	Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xa997fb…
05-21 19:56:23	Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs	Houston Astros	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xcf446c…
05-21 19:56:12	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xc8fcc3…
05-21 19:55:51	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x10a5cc…
05-21 19:55:35	T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Durham	Derbyshire	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xadf09e…
05-21 19:55:27	T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Glamorgan	Glamorgan	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xbdb913…
05-21 19:55:18	T20 Blast: Surrey vs Lancashire	Lancashire	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x75a9eb…
05-21 19:55:07	T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Kent	Middlesex	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x0b77a9…
05-17 10:15:34	Aris BSA vs. AEK	AEK	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x84624b…
05-17 10:14:45	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	Delhi Capitals	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xf3bab7…
05-17 10:13:21	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Alexandrova/Danilina vs Jiang/Xu	Jiang/Xu	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x2ac1da…
05-17 10:13:04	Hamburg European Open (Doubles): Doumbia/Reboul vs Bolelli/Vavassori	Doumbia/Reboul	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x65ed45…
05-17 10:10:40	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Moyuka Uchijima	Alycia Parks	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xf885b3…
05-17 10:10:23	Hamburg European Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Kamil Majchrzak	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xd8494a…
05-17 10:10:11	Cervia: Sandro Kopp vs Max Alcala Gurri	Sandro Kopp	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xdfc02c…
05-17 10:10:00	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Katerina Siniakova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xfd3943…
05-17 10:09:50	Geneva Open: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Michelsen	Alex Michelsen	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xb38cd4…
05-17 10:09:34	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Corentin Moutet	Corentin Moutet	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xcb2a1d…
05-17 10:09:20	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Diane Parry vs Emma Raducanu	Diane Parry	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xe04819…
05-17 10:08:47	Bengaluru 3: Omar Jasika vs Sidharth Rawat	Sidharth Rawat	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x3a0d3b…
05-17 10:08:19	ITF Hurghada: Camilla Zanolini vs Ekaterina Maklakova	Camilla Zanolini	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x3a19ba…
05-17 10:08:10	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Xinyu Wang vs Lois Boisson	Lois Boisson	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xf53d8e…
05-17 10:08:01	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Sara Bejlek vs Emma Navarro	Emma Navarro	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xd8a612…
05-17 10:07:51	Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Gea	Aleksandar Kovacevic	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x1d758c…
05-17 10:07:40	Valencia (Doubles): Arends/Pel vs Frantzen/Haase	Arends/Pel	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x8616d0…
05-17 10:07:30	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Fiona Ferro vs Elina Avanesyan	Elina Avanesyan	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x646b4f…
05-17 10:06:16	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x52190f…
05-17 10:05:13	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	Chicago White Sox	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x483a9f…
05-17 10:04:50	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x123d4b…
05-17 10:04:42	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x5bab99…
05-17 10:04:33	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0xf719e3…
05-17 10:04:24	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	San Diego Padres	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x46d261…
05-17 10:04:08	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	San Francisco Giants	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xb93909…
05-17 10:04:00	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x0eda5a…
05-17 10:03:51	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x361f12…
05-17 10:03:40	Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xce7e96…
05-17 10:03:30	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xc58c49…
05-17 10:03:19	Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x6fad1f…
05-17 10:03:07	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Boston Red Sox	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x514b5a…