Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.82K

Unrealized P&L

-$19

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$26.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$222

Open exposure

$5.78K

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-30

last 10-28 01:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

62% 89% +$231

Politics

38% 78% -$2,047

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+3,353	$3,300	98¢	$3.3K	+$3	10-28 01:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+2,609	$2,500	95¢	$2.5K	-$22	10-28 01:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	7	$3.3K	3,353	+3,353	open	—	10-28 01:27
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	27	$3.1K	3,418	+3,418	Yes	+$328	10-21 12:36
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$2.6K	3,322	+3,322	No	-$2,560	10-23 23:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$2.5K	2,609	+2,609	open	—	10-28 01:07
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?	10	$2.0K	2,068	+2,068	Yes	+$28	10-21 13:15
Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	4	$2.0K	2,135	+2,135	Yes	+$135	10-23 23:29
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?	4	$1.7K	1,832	+1,832	No	+$122	10-10 21:24
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	3	$1.5K	2,137	+2,137	open	—	10-20 13:09
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	7	$1.0K	1,068	+1,068	open	—	10-20 02:20
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?	3	$920	927	+927	Yes	+$7	10-23 01:19
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in September?	2	$800	806	+806	No	+$6	10-10 01:05
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	5	$793	888	+888	No	+$95	10-06 03:18
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	1	$600	606	+606	Yes	+$6	10-10 00:56
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	10	$580	594	+594	open	—	10-28 01:40
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	2	$550	557	+557	No change	+$7	10-23 23:29
Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in September?	2	$510	513	+513	No	+$3	10-10 21:15
Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	4	$420	450	+450	No	+$30	10-23 01:21
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	4	$400	413	+413	No	+$13	10-20 02:23
Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	1	$300	303	+303	No	+$3	09-30 19:13
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?	2	$200	203	+203	open	—	10-28 01:35
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	2	$200	204	+204	open	—	10-28 01:35
Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?	1	$150	152	+152	Yes	+$2	10-10 01:14
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in September?	2	$120	121	+121	No	+$1	10-11 20:17
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	3	$57	82	+82	open	—	10-28 01:21
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% or less in August?	1	$34	35	+35	Yes	-$34	09-30 00:57
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	2	$14	82	+82	open	—	10-28 01:21
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	2	$12	131	+131	open	—	10-28 01:20
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	1	$10	20	+20	open	—	10-28 01:17
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	1	$8	9	+9	No	-$8	10-23 23:34
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in September?	1	$5	20	+20	open	—	10-28 01:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:40:57	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x6c2753…
10-28 01:40:24	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x0894ab…
10-28 01:40:11	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x2180c7…
10-28 01:39:51	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xe5a8cf…
10-28 01:38:44	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4635f3…
10-28 01:38:15	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf3d4d4…
10-28 01:38:00	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcd76d9…
10-28 01:37:33	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd80da2…
10-28 01:35:35	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4206a7…
10-28 01:35:23	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x4b6698…
10-28 01:35:12	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xa93f12…
10-28 01:34:41	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x50e499…
10-28 01:27:35	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	507	99¢	$500	0xab33dc…
10-28 01:26:08	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x5cb405…
10-28 01:25:51	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	205	97¢	$200	0xd46755…
10-28 01:21:21	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x6aeddc…
10-28 01:21:02	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xfd3e07…
10-28 01:20:57	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xf7ec4d…
10-28 01:17:51	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x9ffb24…
10-28 01:17:45	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x969166…
10-28 01:17:36	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x34caf2…
10-28 01:09:06	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	508	99¢	$500	0x631e3e…
10-28 01:07:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,289	96¢	$2,200	0xfe1e44…
10-23 23:34:27	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x753ca7…
10-23 23:34:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	726	77¢	$560	0x116949…
10-23 23:30:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,596	77¢	$2,000	0xa2e97d…
10-23 23:29:36	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	BUY	531	94¢	$500	0x2ba7e0…
10-23 23:29:05	No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	No change	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x05cfb4…
10-23 02:08:33	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	48	69¢	$33	0x77d189…
10-23 02:00:57	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x1b5545…
10-23 02:00:44	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x23245e…
10-23 02:00:33	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xf1336d…
10-23 01:50:17	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	305	98¢	$300	0xf68453…
10-23 01:44:06	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	508	98¢	$500	0x365561…
10-23 01:43:53	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	508	98¢	$500	0xdfce7b…
10-23 01:43:21	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	814	98¢	$800	0x480990…
10-23 01:42:24	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x30cfea…
10-23 01:33:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	319	94¢	$300	0xd32d5b…
10-23 01:21:00	Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	No	BUY	207	96¢	$200	0x87461b…
10-23 01:19:41	Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0xe8cb23…
10-21 14:43:03	No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	No change	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0x18d8f1…
10-21 14:36:45	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	BUY	518	96¢	$500	0xede280…
10-21 13:15:38	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0x55c20a…
10-21 12:36:02	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x06e265…
10-20 13:09:45	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	No	BUY	363	83¢	$300	0xfc8d50…
10-20 13:03:56	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0x4a0617…
10-20 13:01:02	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x72c792…
10-20 02:25:21	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	No	BUY	262	76¢	$200	0x7f145c…
10-20 02:23:24	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x466b3d…
10-20 02:23:05	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x8cef34…
10-20 02:22:48	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x74b409…
10-20 02:22:23	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x2f47b4…
10-20 02:20:38	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xeb50d0…
10-20 02:18:26	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xf88e7f…
10-20 02:17:32	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x51e0e4…
10-20 02:17:20	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	318	94¢	$300	0x5aac82…
10-20 02:17:06	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x262210…
10-20 02:16:59	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x904a95…
10-20 02:16:47	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xed678c…
10-20 02:16:15	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	424	94¢	$400	0x411f1b…
10-18 02:59:32	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc02080…
10-17 21:28:47	Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xdd0148…
10-17 19:58:45	Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	221	99¢	$220	0xd2ef84…
10-17 19:58:18	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x6ba096…
10-17 18:40:09	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0xbc032b…
10-17 18:02:11	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x659397…
10-17 18:01:51	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	223	90¢	$200	0x83069e…
10-17 18:01:23	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xd8a3bb…
10-17 18:01:09	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf75bd9…
10-17 18:00:50	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	123	90¢	$110	0xb32c4c…
10-17 18:00:27	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	112	90¢	$100	0x7cd62b…
10-17 18:00:14	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xad2069…
10-17 17:59:27	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x5a2210…
10-17 17:59:09	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	112	90¢	$100	0x73a3e1…
10-17 17:58:53	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	123	90¢	$110	0x03d7dc…
10-17 17:58:33	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	123	90¢	$110	0x5582f9…
10-17 17:58:15	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x852a50…
10-17 17:58:05	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x266cb7…
10-17 15:18:26	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x67c414…
10-17 15:18:26	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	70	89¢	$62	0x500544…
10-17 15:13:48	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	212	89¢	$189	0x7dacb3…
10-17 13:40:06	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x528312…
10-17 13:39:54	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xebc8dd…
10-17 13:39:45	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe985a2…
10-17 13:39:36	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x95b7dd…
10-17 13:30:21	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	110	92¢	$101	0x891725…
10-17 13:18:59	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0xf0fed2…
10-17 02:23:47	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	511	98¢	$500	0x8caf75…
10-17 02:07:06	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	591	85¢	$500	0x920959…
10-11 20:17:24	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in September?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9bf760…
10-11 20:16:55	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in September?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x327330…
10-11 20:14:34	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xca08df…
10-10 21:24:51	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x09cbc8…
10-10 21:15:55	Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in September?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3df341…
10-10 21:12:55	Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x5931cb…
10-10 21:12:39	Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x6fac32…
10-10 21:11:49	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?	No	BUY	224	89¢	$200	0x3279fa…
10-10 21:10:22	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xaa557f…
10-10 21:10:10	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xeff1fe…
10-10 21:10:03	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x554881…