Miserable-Guess-Arena — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.15K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.9%

Resolved

2,339

Trades

3,935

lifetime

Volume

$34.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 10-17 14:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Other

98% 83% +$543

Sports

2% 100% +$602

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	5	$598	1,200	0	+1,200	Alexander Volkanovski	+$602	10-17 14:49
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 26?	25	$194	120	95	+25	No	+$1	07-25 19:33
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 27?	11	$118	72	63	+9	No	-$2	07-25 19:37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 2?	14	$106	149	0	+149	No	+$43	09-01 21:42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 2?	11	$94	126	0	+126	No	+$32	09-02 00:07
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 30?	5	$82	102	0	+102	No	+$20	08-29 14:08
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 6?	7	$79	93	0	+93	Yes	-$79	08-04 19:25
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 5?	2	$78	89	0	+89	No	+$11	09-04 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 2?	13	$74	78	0	+78	No	+$4	09-02 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 4?	3	$68	74	0	+74	No	+$6	09-04 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 4?	6	$60	75	0	+75	No	+$15	08-03 07:56
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?	3	$60	86	0	+86	No	+$26	08-04 07:41
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 8?	3	$58	75	0	+75	No	+$17	08-06 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 7?	6	$58	67	0	+67	No	+$9	08-05 12:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 6?	1	$58	61	0	+61	No	+$3	08-04 22:19
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 15?	3	$57	60	0	+60	No	+$3	08-13 19:37
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 11?	1	$55	65	0	+65	No	+$10	08-10 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 28?	3	$55	61	0	+61	No	+$6	09-27 22:20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 13?	2	$55	58	0	+58	No	+$4	08-12 05:51
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on September 28?	4	$55	58	0	+58	No	+$3	09-27 13:15
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 29?	3	$54	58	0	+58	No	+$4	09-27 14:19
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on September 28?	4	$54	58	0	+58	No	+$4	09-27 18:20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 15?	2	$54	59	0	+59	No	+$5	08-13 07:25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 14?	2	$53	56	0	+56	No	+$3	08-12 08:11
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 12?	4	$53	61	0	+61	No	+$8	08-11 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on August 30?	2	$51	55	0	+55	No	+$4	08-29 18:01
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on August 29?	3	$50	56	0	+56	No	+$6	08-28 23:33
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 9?	5	$50	67	0	+67	No	+$17	09-08 21:42
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 10?	4	$49	58	0	+58	No	+$8	08-09 20:13
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 27?	3	$49	65	0	+65	No	+$16	08-26 11:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 14:49:44	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	105	49¢	$51	0x6432b8…
10-17 13:17:33	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa3c249…
10-17 12:17:33	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfeb012…
10-17 10:32:33	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	91	49¢	$45	0x0e2eaf…
10-14 20:01:49	ufc ale14 mov 2026 10 24	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0xd3704a…
09-27 23:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xce349a…
09-27 22:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 28?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x779bd3…
09-27 22:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 28?	No	BUY	61	79¢	$48	0x4298f2…
09-27 22:20:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x698960…
09-27 22:20:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x3a315f…
09-27 22:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	58	90¢	$52	0xc77e15…
09-27 21:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 29?	No	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0xe41e42…
09-27 21:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 28?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8d483d…
09-27 20:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on September 28?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa3d611…
09-27 20:28:14	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 28?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xbe7cb8…
09-27 20:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 28?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x39cc4e…
09-27 20:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 29?	No	BUY	34	86¢	$29	0x1b8287…
09-27 20:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 28?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf7cc78…
09-27 19:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on September 29?	No	BUY	26	91¢	$24	0x9b5783…
09-27 19:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on September 29?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xe81ba7…
09-27 18:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on September 28?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa40952…
09-27 18:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 29?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x9a4878…
09-27 18:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 28?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x1d4253…
09-27 18:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on September 29?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x46f163…
09-27 18:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on September 29?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc8f28b…
09-27 18:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on September 29?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2a5010…
09-27 17:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on September 29?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x9f6d69…
09-27 17:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 28?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x158e0f…
09-27 17:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 29?	No	BUY	32	90¢	$29	0x7fc362…
09-27 17:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 28?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd5bf68…
09-27 16:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on September 29?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x775f5a…
09-27 15:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 28?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x5f6ff2…
09-27 15:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on September 29?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x039e62…
09-27 14:57:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on September 29?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x288030…
09-27 14:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on September 29?	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x8ec8fc…
09-27 14:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x293aa7…
09-27 14:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x635fc3…
09-27 14:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xc2de1a…
09-27 14:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 28?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x3d5714…
09-27 13:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 28?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xac66bc…
09-27 13:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0x42db9a…
09-27 13:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on September 28?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x92a614…
09-27 11:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on September 29?	No	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0xde3f91…
09-27 11:23:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x9fc77d…
09-27 09:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 28?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x41560e…
09-27 09:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 29?	No	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0x474ef5…
09-27 09:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 28?	No	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0xd237ba…
09-27 09:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 28?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xad8315…
09-27 09:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 28?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xa24b3f…
09-27 09:17:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 29?	No	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0xaf845c…
09-27 08:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 28?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xe04b57…
09-27 08:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on September 28?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1d1588…
09-27 06:52:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on September 28?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x7cb2b9…
09-27 06:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 28?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xfe6287…
09-27 05:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 28?	No	BUY	41	89¢	$36	0x23b257…
09-27 03:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 28?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x70b178…
09-27 03:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 28?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xeae8c4…
09-27 03:11:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 28?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x21b0c9…
09-27 03:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc95fb2…
09-27 02:46:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xef64a2…
09-27 02:34:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 28?	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xe95ec4…
09-27 02:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 28?	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x354e29…
09-27 02:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 28?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x072072…
09-27 01:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on September 28?	No	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0xbae095…
09-27 01:33:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x3a5513…
09-27 00:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 28?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xb0ef35…
09-26 23:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 28?	No	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x228180…
09-26 22:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 27?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x7b9c15…
09-26 22:40:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on September 28?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x3a07b1…
09-26 22:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 28?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xd66043…
09-26 22:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xba441b…
09-26 22:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 28?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xb0775e…
09-26 22:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 27?	No	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0xe81274…
09-26 22:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on September 28?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0f9039…
09-26 21:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 28?	No	BUY	33	73¢	$24	0xd8c8bb…
09-26 20:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x67455b…
09-26 20:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0x5119c5…
09-26 20:40:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x8ae1bd…
09-26 20:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 28?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x27fc04…
09-26 20:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on September 28?	No	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0x0a9b84…
09-26 20:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on September 28?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x15a5f3…
09-26 19:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x622ad7…
09-26 19:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfd9e1d…
09-26 17:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 27?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x41a26a…
09-26 17:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 27?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xf29445…
09-26 17:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 28?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x5ca133…
09-26 16:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x627443…
09-26 16:46:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x3c48ca…
09-26 16:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xed1af3…
09-26 16:41:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x817653…
09-26 16:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on September 28?	No	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0xbf75f7…
09-26 16:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9310ba…
09-26 16:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 27?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x4f32e7…
09-26 16:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 27?	No	BUY	46	92¢	$42	0x1059f6…
09-26 15:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 27?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdf89cf…
09-26 15:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 27?	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0xd34cbe…
09-26 15:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x967a03…
09-26 14:22:47	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 28?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x6ae9d6…
09-26 14:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 28?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x69f724…
09-26 13:39:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 27?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x66caf1…