Massive-Hippopotamus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

67.6%

Resolved

115

Trades

270

lifetime

Volume

$1.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-29 18:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

91% 61% -$6

Politics

6% 75% -$11

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	No		+0	$0	99¢	$0	$0	05-02 13:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	1	$32	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	06-20 18:20
Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 6% or more?	2	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-19 23:25
Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	$0	06-29 02:43
Will Christine Bish advance from the CA-03 primary election?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	06-04 03:10
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in April?	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	05-12 12:30
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	05-13 04:26
will apple announce the iphone 18 during the wwdc 2026 keynote	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-08 20:24
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-11 21:11
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-25 01:21
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-14 21:18
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 06:50
Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-08 03:49
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	05-31 22:34
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	06-25 12:52
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 30?	3	$17	34	0	+34	No	+$0	05-30 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 15?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-15 00:30
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 65°F or below on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 17:40
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 21?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-21 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-02 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 22:49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 28?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-28 02:12
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C or below on May 8?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-08 04:48
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 6?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-06 11:54
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 27?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-27 05:10
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 7?	3	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-07 12:16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 30?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-30 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	04-30 14:43
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 4?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	06-04 00:33
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	06-11 15:58
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 05:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 18:28:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or below on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x80ab69…
06-29 17:39:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or below on June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xdb657f…
06-29 12:02:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or below on June 30?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x2312c6…
06-29 02:43:40	Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x5bff4e…
06-29 02:43:22	Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xab6653…
06-29 00:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x6a417f…
06-28 23:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 29?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0e1278…
06-28 02:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xa6e736…
06-28 02:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x2fee40…
06-28 02:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x43d5eb…
06-28 01:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 28?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd7235c…
06-27 05:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x6dcce2…
06-27 05:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x58be02…
06-27 05:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xa785c1…
06-27 02:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1650fa…
06-25 17:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x7329b7…
06-25 17:51:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 26?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xce217c…
06-25 12:52:43	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x903b5f…
06-25 01:21:16	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x759fc0…
06-24 21:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x190bb3…
06-24 21:26:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x884fc1…
06-24 19:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 25?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xb56896…
06-24 06:01:38	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x128980…
06-23 05:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xbdbbc7…
06-23 05:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 23?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x1dfa50…
06-23 04:57:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xbf98f3…
06-21 08:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 21?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xb5a33c…
06-21 08:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb04c44…
06-20 18:20:20	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xc735e8…
06-20 11:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xc1a90c…
06-19 12:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C or higher on June 20?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xaed8d7…
06-19 12:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C or higher on June 20?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x00f3ed…
06-17 16:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x3abfe5…
06-17 16:14:05	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 18?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x2cc221…
06-17 16:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 18?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa173c8…
06-17 14:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 18?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x9f77a6…
06-16 06:08:55	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xe4fab8…
06-16 06:08:33	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x3aa378…
06-16 04:31:18	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 16?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x698cde…
06-15 00:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x15532b…
06-14 23:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 15?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbdf8ff…
06-14 22:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 15?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x186838…
06-14 21:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 15?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x08d4b7…
06-14 02:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C or below on June 14?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2e7e2d…
06-14 02:33:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C or below on June 14?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x563543…
06-13 06:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xc9ea29…
06-13 05:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7e5cfe…
06-12 09:46:45	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc5700d…
06-12 09:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 12?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x24a7a8…
06-12 00:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc6b2ac…
06-11 15:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x6cebd7…
06-11 14:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 12?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcef320…
06-10 14:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 11?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x9369de…
06-08 20:24:12	will apple announce the iphone 18 during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x31aca4…
06-08 17:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xb94769…
06-08 16:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 9?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x92bf68…
06-08 07:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x287d8a…
06-08 04:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x09a9a6…
06-08 03:49:37	Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x943334…
06-07 13:13:25	Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xe8ff84…
06-07 02:22:58	will apple announce the iphone 18 during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x63fa08…
06-06 11:54:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xfcfc2b…
06-06 07:05:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 6?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb3ce66…
06-05 13:27:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf416c2…
06-05 13:27:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x351b07…
06-05 12:10:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeee2ae…
06-05 00:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xb4e86a…
06-04 22:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 5?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x23b3e4…
06-04 03:10:33	Will Christine Bish advance from the CA-03 primary election?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3e1fbb…
06-04 00:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xe6c9cb…
06-04 00:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd1ea78…
06-03 12:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 4?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbb0224…
06-02 12:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xf82db8…
06-02 12:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xfeea88…
06-02 03:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x6b1a24…
06-02 02:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5139eb…
06-01 12:14:03	Will Christine Bish advance from the CA-03 primary election?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x98013e…
06-01 00:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xebe53f…
06-01 00:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xdecaf0…
05-31 23:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 1?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x92809c…
05-31 22:34:49	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0504f0…
05-31 13:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x851eb5…
05-31 12:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on June 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xef97f9…
05-31 03:39:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xbd7afe…
05-31 03:39:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x12de70…
05-30 15:46:26	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x2326ca…
05-30 03:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x88bb94…
05-30 03:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x79dce6…
05-30 02:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x8e5f27…
05-30 02:39:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf9ffd2…
05-30 02:24:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbc9773…
05-29 07:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 30?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x3a4d8e…
05-29 00:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x94b54c…
05-28 23:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1c1f19…
05-28 23:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xbe6a70…
05-28 12:19:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 29?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xb35ee6…
05-27 22:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x4d802f…
05-27 19:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 28?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x817a7c…
05-27 11:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa6a015…
05-27 11:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x410284…