Imperturbable-Samovar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.54K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

2,765

Trades

9,178

lifetime

Volume

$66.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-29 06:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 231 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 42% -$2,317

Other

1% 20% -$167

Sports

0% 25% -$56

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 164 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 16 10pm et	10	$461	300	300	+0	Up	+$85	01-17 03:59
bitcoin up or down january 18 10pm et	15	$313	320	220	+100	Up	+$20	01-19 03:53
bitcoin up or down january 15 10pm et	6	$308	330	200	+130	Down	-$34	01-16 03:51
bitcoin up or down on february 22	11	$292	315	215	+100	Down	-$15	02-22 14:06
bitcoin up or down january 13 8pm et	33	$289	355	205	+150	Up	-$28	01-14 02:00
bitcoin up or down january 19 2am et	11	$282	300	200	+100	Up	-$52	01-19 07:31
bitcoin up or down january 15 8pm et	10	$274	367	150	+217	Up	+$11	01-16 01:51
bitcoin up or down february 23 9pm et	11	$263	225	210	+15	Down	+$34	02-24 02:59
bitcoin up or down march 7 9pm et	17	$257	270	179	+91	Down	-$6	03-08 02:50
bitcoin up or down january 22 11pm et	12	$255	230	195	+35	Up	+$3	01-23 04:57
bitcoin up or down january 15 12am et	13	$229	245	195	+50	Up	+$24	01-15 05:49
bitcoin up or down january 16 6pm et	4	$220	200	150	+50	Up	+$57	01-16 23:58
bitcoin up or down february 24 8am et	8	$201	220	170	+50	Down	-$47	02-24 13:21
bitcoin up or down february 23 8pm et	4	$200	200	100	+100	Down	-$10	02-24 01:11
bitcoin up or down on january 8	3	$197	200	100	+100	Down	-$7	01-08 13:56
bitcoin up or down january 21 10pm et	4	$193	180	125	+55	Down	-$33	01-22 03:18
bitcoin up or down february 27 2am et	10	$190	180	160	+20	Up	+$53	02-27 07:57
bitcoin up or down january 17 7pm et	7	$189	202	202	+0	Down	-$13	01-18 00:59
bitcoin up or down january 21 11pm et	9	$183	210	160	+50	Up	+$16	01-22 04:50
bitcoin up or down february 23 7pm et	5	$177	170	150	+20	Up	+$21	02-24 00:21
bitcoin up or down february 27 1am et	17	$175	180	150	+30	Down	-$2	02-27 06:57
bitcoin up or down january 13 9pm et	8	$171	210	105	+105	Up	+$31	01-14 02:48
bitcoin up or down march 6 3pm et	10	$164	130	99	+31	Down	+$28	03-06 21:00
bitcoin up or down january 17 11pm et	5	$163	200	100	+100	Down	+$27	01-18 04:38
bitcoin up or down march 6 9pm et	7	$160	110	109	+1	Up	+$33	03-07 02:58
bitcoin up or down january 10 10pm et	8	$157	145	115	+30	Up	+$21	01-11 03:55
bitcoin up or down january 19 7pm et	9	$157	165	125	+40	Up	+$52	01-20 01:01
bitcoin up or down march 2 9pm et	12	$157	182	122	+60	Down	-$16	03-03 02:49
bitcoin up or down march 10 8pm et	8	$156	169	98	+71	Up	-$20	03-11 00:52
bitcoin up or down march 8 9pm et	8	$154	110	109	+1	Down	+$53	03-09 01:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 06:07:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x7128d6…
09-29 05:57:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xed2e9d…
09-29 05:54:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x8ffbd8…
09-29 05:54:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xa685eb…
09-29 05:44:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x36c571…
09-29 05:44:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x895e5c…
09-29 05:31:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x503bd9…
09-29 05:25:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x98ef3d…
09-29 05:25:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xeb3187…
09-29 05:25:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xfafb4e…
09-29 05:24:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0x6fcbca…
09-29 05:24:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0xb196da…
09-29 05:24:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x2b26fb…
09-29 05:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x77a382…
09-29 04:57:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 04:45 UTC	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x0310a7…
09-29 04:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x35aa60…
09-29 04:33:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x9cf51a…
09-29 04:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x2fcb8f…
09-29 03:35:06	bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xb39b7a…
09-29 03:29:14	bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4f18aa…
09-29 02:56:17	bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf518ab…
09-29 02:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xa37ea0…
09-29 01:58:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xae2b71…
09-29 01:46:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xbfe7aa…
09-29 01:41:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb54f6b…
09-29 01:20:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x45d572…
09-21 08:54:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xce8257…
09-21 08:16:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xad5c25…
09-21 08:16:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9a3ca9…
09-21 08:03:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x880beb…
09-21 08:02:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xf79a2c…
09-21 07:53:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x359b73…
09-21 07:52:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xe2e202…
09-21 07:44:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7e0545…
09-21 07:44:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x7b8b0b…
09-21 07:34:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x74b5c4…
09-21 07:33:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xa46f86…
09-21 07:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x374892…
09-21 07:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9465dd…
09-21 07:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xfdd599…
09-21 07:01:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0xd1225d…
09-21 06:48:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2551cb…
09-21 06:46:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x8cd86e…
09-21 06:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xba695f…
09-21 06:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x1e3f15…
09-21 06:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6c1e0f…
09-21 06:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xf10396…
09-21 06:12:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 06:00 UTC	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x22d4ef…
09-21 05:58:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x4ef8db…
09-21 05:45:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2dc9f8…
09-21 05:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xbfb68a…
09-21 05:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xa9118d…
09-21 05:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc10e1d…
09-21 05:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2dad04…
09-21 05:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xdf814b…
09-21 05:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd3795b…
09-21 05:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xede43d…
09-21 05:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x8893cc…
09-21 04:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x79bfea…
09-21 04:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb3872a…
09-21 04:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x21ee05…
09-21 04:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xdd8a33…
09-21 04:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x539215…
09-21 03:29:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x59d66d…
09-21 03:28:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x35b3d6…
09-21 03:19:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x5850ef…
09-18 07:44:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x9b5006…
09-18 07:28:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x45e7eb…
09-18 07:10:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x58dd37…
09-18 07:10:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x182315…
09-18 06:43:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa28256…
09-18 06:15:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x4556f6…
09-18 06:05:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x22dee2…
09-18 05:59:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x048a92…
09-18 05:49:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x38c089…
09-18 05:39:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4887cb…
09-18 05:34:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x4e1377…
09-18 05:29:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x112a07…
09-18 05:21:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0xe6776f…
09-18 05:12:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 05:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xa34835…
09-18 05:10:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5b859e…
09-18 05:00:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x9a5602…
09-18 04:56:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 04:45 UTC	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xded08d…
09-18 04:48:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xca5b52…
09-18 04:28:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1a174e…
09-18 04:28:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xc65a2a…
09-18 02:33:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x6da63b…
09-18 02:25:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xea0c2e…
09-18 02:25:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x63bec3…
09-18 02:19:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x1700a0…
09-18 02:14:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x586518…
09-18 02:12:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x5dcacb…
09-18 01:59:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf57c8d…
09-18 01:59:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x0b5eaf…
09-18 01:57:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 01:45 UTC	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x8ae295…
09-18 01:43:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x81f4f5…
09-18 01:41:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 01:30 UTC	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x1e49ec…
09-18 01:39:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7925ca…
09-18 01:29:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaab675…
09-18 01:29:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2acd5e…