Sturdy-Exhaust — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$195

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-11

last 06-11 14:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 100% +$0

Other

17% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+2	$2	99¢	$2	$-0	06-11 14:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	4	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	05-24 19:10
bitcoin above 68k on february 24	4	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	02-24 08:10
ethereum above 1400 on february 26	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-25 16:02
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 380 399	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-08 08:38
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 23	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-23 11:06
bitcoin above 78k on march 16	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-16 02:34
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 10	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-10 10:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-22 16:42
will bitcoin dip to 60k on april 3	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-03 15:28
bitcoin above 66k on march 18	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-17 16:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-16 16:42
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-09 05:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-24 06:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	06-02 16:53
ethereum above 2100 on february 23	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	02-23 05:36
ethereum above 1400 on march 3	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-02 13:00
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 25	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-25 04:56
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 4	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-03 15:28
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 500 519	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-23 11:06
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-08 11:06
will bitcoin dip to 61k on april 1	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-01 08:38
bitcoin above 56k on march 6	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-04 17:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-13 04:56
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-21 08:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-14 12:12
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-16 13:04
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 16?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-15 10:24
will bitcoin dip to 60k on march 31	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-31 17:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-10 13:34
bitcoin above 72k on february 21	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	02-21 03:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 14:14:24	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9a5c0d…
06-08 11:06:13	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe3f455…
06-05 13:17:42	bitcoin above 72k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd25d90…
06-05 13:17:33	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb32cf8…
06-02 16:53:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x45e503…
05-24 19:10:21	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x77a505…
05-24 06:10:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3e92af…
05-22 16:42:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9deddc…
05-22 16:42:26	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6b0df0…
05-21 14:48:23	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2181f0…
05-19 11:58:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4c9b21…
05-16 16:42:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x65259f…
05-15 10:24:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 16?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdbbe95…
05-15 09:52:09	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x53b925…
05-14 12:12:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7ec40f…
05-13 04:56:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x87f67a…
05-11 17:16:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd0e34d…
05-10 13:34:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa10e0b…
04-21 09:18:16	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6083d0…
04-21 08:50:24	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9622b4…
04-16 13:04:32	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5010bb…
04-16 13:04:12	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xaa9540…
04-12 12:20:15	bitcoin above 78k on april 13	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdf3eca…
04-11 06:50:23	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x35fb24…
04-11 06:50:13	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1b8859…
04-10 10:32:21	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 10	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee918f…
04-08 08:38:19	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 380 399	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x515a9d…
04-07 11:06:21	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2d1dc8…
04-07 11:06:11	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 8	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc1bb22…
04-04 11:24:35	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 460 479	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa35d54…
04-03 15:28:33	will bitcoin dip to 60k on april 3	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9e43d6…
04-03 15:28:23	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 4	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4062d2…
04-01 08:38:21	will bitcoin dip to 61k on april 1	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x02fd21…
04-01 08:38:11	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 400 419	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4bbede…
03-31 17:16:11	will bitcoin dip to 60k on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcba687…
03-27 11:24:35	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 27	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5f43db…
03-25 04:56:31	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 25	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2b3e1a…
03-25 04:56:21	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3c182f…
03-24 08:38:09	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 24	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaf6f67…
03-23 11:06:45	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 500 519	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe042c8…
03-23 11:06:29	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 23	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1155f3…
03-17 16:54:53	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 18	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x852037…
03-17 16:54:43	bitcoin above 66k on march 18	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbaafc6…
03-17 16:48:21	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 460 479	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3b3cec…
03-16 02:34:17	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x74db56…
03-16 02:28:19	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 16	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0a40c0…
03-16 02:28:09	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xeb76cc…
03-10 12:20:13	bitcoin above 76k on march 10	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb82c27…
03-09 05:08:29	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8499ea…
03-09 05:02:23	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 10	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xb75804…
03-06 14:14:23	ethereum above 1600 on march 7	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b9d7c…
03-06 13:34:35	bitcoin above 60k on march 7	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x70d973…
03-04 17:16:35	bitcoin above 56k on march 6	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x91cdb5…
03-04 17:16:25	ethereum above 1600 on march 5	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd28ab0…
03-02 13:00:29	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf6dcf5…
03-02 13:00:19	ethereum above 1400 on march 3	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9edf41…
02-25 16:02:28	bitcoin above 56k on february 26	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1046ef…
02-25 16:02:18	ethereum above 1400 on february 26	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x80f91b…
02-24 08:10:22	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa5a050…
02-24 08:04:32	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1c3e00…
02-24 07:30:38	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9577c6…
02-24 07:24:38	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6abb9a…
02-24 07:24:20	ethereum above 1600 on february 24	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4bbf55…
02-23 05:36:34	ethereum above 2100 on february 23	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb7e346…
02-22 06:50:18	bitcoin above 72k on february 22	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x85aafb…
02-21 03:36:06	bitcoin above 72k on february 21	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x031903…
02-21 03:35:54	elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 190 214	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xef1ef6…
02-18 04:56:38	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 18	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf871e0…
02-18 04:56:28	ethereum above 2200 on february 18	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7f9ef5…
02-15 08:38:23	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 460 479	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2661f2…
02-15 08:38:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on february 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbe9a65…
02-14 17:16:39	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd2dff5…
02-14 17:16:27	elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 240plus	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8c5fdf…
02-13 02:28:39	ethereum above 1600 on february 13	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe09712…
02-13 02:28:29	bitcoin above 60k on february 13	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8b8ca8…
02-12 04:56:35	bitcoin above 60k on february 12	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7654f8…
02-12 04:56:23	xrp above 1 on february 12	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe30294…
02-11 07:15:57	ethereum above 1700 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf4a044…
02-11 07:15:47	bitcoin above 72k on february 11	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x877509…
02-11 05:30:51	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa8279a…