Idealistic-Survival — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$213

Unrealized P&L

-$305

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

426

Trades

1,555

lifetime

Volume

$58.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$195

1 position

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-19 22:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Other

64% 34% -$4,320

Politics

34% 46% +$3,943

Sports

2% 67% +$682

Crypto

0% 10% -$92

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+5,480	$500	4¢	$195	-$305	10-19 22:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$6.5K	12,855	12,855	+0	Yes	+$159	04-05 08:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	35	$6.4K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	+$5,200	04-28 08:59
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	2	$4.8K	4,229	4,229	+0	No	+$21	07-10 11:56
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	2	$4.3K	17,555	17,555	+0	No	-$4,063	07-15 20:53
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	2	$3.5K	4,608	0	+4,608	Yes	+$1,108	07-14 20:25
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	4	$3.3K	17,947	0	+17,947	Yes	-$3,329	06-22 08:16
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	3	$3.0K	2,113	2,113	+0	Yes	+$1,211	07-06 21:01
Iran leadership change by April 30?	7	$3.0K	22,404	0	+22,404	No	-$2,966	05-01 02:21
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	2	$2.4K	1,745	1,745	+0	Yes	+$1,012	07-18 21:52
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	2	$2.0K	3,326	0	+3,326	Yes	+$1,326	07-10 12:57
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	2	$1.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$1,178	07-05 22:03
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	3	$1.7K	1,526	1,526	+0	Yes	+$1,332	03-08 21:27
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.3K	1,685	1,685	+0	Yes	+$679	07-15 20:57
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	1	$1000	4,651	0	+4,651	No	-$1,000	07-19 20:25
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	1	$970	1,155	0	+1,155	Yes	+$185	07-04 11:43
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	1	$620	1,074	0	+1,074	Yes	+$454	07-02 21:51
us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	2	$606	328	328	+0	Yes	+$50	04-11 15:26
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$596	320	320	+0	No	+$40	04-11 16:12
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	3	$510	5,571	0	+5,571	No	-$510	07-09 21:34
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	2	$500	5,480	0	+5,480	open	—	10-19 22:05
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	1	$450	623	0	+623	Yes	+$173	07-02 18:56
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	2	$450	1,776	0	+1,776	No	-$450	07-07 21:36
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$406	3,384	3,384	+0	No	$0	04-02 01:18
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	1	$400	1,538	0	+1,538	No	-$400	07-07 16:42
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	1	$400	1,053	0	+1,053	Yes	+$653	07-05 22:08
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$400	1,987	0	+1,987	Switzerland	-$400	07-07 22:48
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	1	$300	857	0	+857	Yes	+$557	07-06 21:31
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 1?	7	$263	384	132	+252	No	+$88	05-01 15:43
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	3	$212	1,500	1,500	+0	No	-$208	05-15 16:53
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	1	$200	23,340	0	+23,340	Yes	-$200	03-09 08:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 22:05:22	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,296	9¢	$400	0x7678fd…
10-19 21:45:48	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,184	8¢	$100	0x31e2e4…
07-19 20:25:15	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	4,651	21¢	$1,000	0x1bb04c…
07-19 14:08:07	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	2,857	4¢	$100	0xef6c53…
07-18 21:52:49	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	SELL	1,745	97¢	$1,693	0xf8507b…
07-18 21:14:49	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	1,745	39¢	$681	0xd75798…
07-15 20:57:49	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,685	58¢	$979	0x898f13…
07-15 20:53:16	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	17,555	1¢	$137	0xf2afaa…
07-15 20:46:08	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	17,555	24¢	$4,200	0x8620a2…
07-14 20:25:20	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	3,616	88¢	$3,200	0xf42979…
07-14 18:15:23	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	992	30¢	$300	0xfe7729…
07-10 16:55:04	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x42d117…
07-10 12:57:43	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	1,660	60¢	$1,000	0xb49d2f…
07-10 11:57:31	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	1,667	60¢	$1,000	0xaa6925…
07-10 11:56:47	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	4,229	57¢	$2,421	0x89fc5f…
07-09 22:19:49	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	667	6¢	$40	0x450354…
07-09 22:17:52	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,060	2¢	$20	0x344f65…
07-09 22:12:08	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	4,229	57¢	$2,400	0x4b3271…
07-09 21:34:13	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xcac901…
07-09 11:42:55	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	1,429	14¢	$200	0xd2580b…
07-08 17:08:59	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	2,143	14¢	$300	0xdd3384…
07-08 17:08:13	Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x5f3c40…
07-08 17:07:55	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	1,364	2¢	$30	0x8ddeb1…
07-07 22:48:47	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	833	12¢	$100	0x3fd60e…
07-07 22:47:50	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	1,154	26¢	$300	0xe620f4…
07-07 22:24:59	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	661	1¢	$5	0x83a6f1…
07-07 22:24:52	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	399	1¢	$3	0xae37b2…
07-07 21:36:43	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x590ad8…
07-07 18:57:41	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	1,481	27¢	$400	0x812670…
07-07 16:42:23	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	1,538	26¢	$400	0x32c857…
07-06 21:31:58	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	857	35¢	$300	0x1a7871…
07-06 21:03:16	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,685	18¢	$300	0xc00018…
07-06 21:01:38	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	SELL	2,113	100¢	$2,111	0x00757b…
07-06 20:34:55	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	1,344	37¢	$500	0xe0d80a…
07-06 09:25:32	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	769	52¢	$400	0x813f0a…
07-06 00:35:59	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x60b698…
07-05 22:08:53	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	1,053	38¢	$400	0x13298f…
07-05 22:07:37	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x99b126…
07-05 22:03:28	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	SELL	1,500	98¢	$1,478	0x346583…
07-05 21:57:05	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Norway?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2fe1a8…
07-05 21:56:52	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?	Yes	SELL	281	6¢	$15	0x6eb31e…
07-05 19:11:46	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	1,034	3¢	$30	0x8e1000…
07-05 19:09:44	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0xcc4492…
07-05 19:09:25	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Norway?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0x542c44…
07-05 14:14:35	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	1,500	20¢	$300	0xa1665b…
07-04 11:43:04	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	1,155	84¢	$970	0x3a23e6…
07-03 23:27:46	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	380	4¢	$15	0x335c52…
07-03 23:27:43	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	278	4¢	$11	0x6f1e8f…
07-03 23:27:41	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xeb88f0…
07-03 23:27:40	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x304b6c…
07-03 23:27:38	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	1,193	4¢	$48	0x87479b…
07-03 23:27:37	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x16fa68…
07-03 23:27:35	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	111	4¢	$4	0x4f39f7…
07-03 23:27:34	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	260	4¢	$10	0xc5b254…
07-03 23:27:34	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x60984e…
07-03 23:27:34	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	59	4¢	$2	0x390feb…
07-03 23:27:34	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x0d0f67…
07-02 21:51:41	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	1,074	58¢	$620	0xb6f176…
07-02 18:56:34	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	623	72¢	$450	0xb03d9d…
07-01 17:44:49	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xd45716…
06-28 13:07:22	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	172	57¢	$98	0xd479ff…
06-28 08:03:07	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x93c523…
06-27 02:16:29	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xda8352…
06-26 21:25:28	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	101	61¢	$62	0x18b98a…
06-26 18:58:07	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	63	73¢	$46	0x85bbd2…
06-26 18:56:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 26?	Yes	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0x45aff9…
06-26 18:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 26?	Yes	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0x4b598c…
06-25 12:54:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1e836d…
06-25 12:42:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb4bd94…
06-25 06:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x8b52ce…
06-24 19:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd997ec…
06-24 09:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 25?	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x9b7117…
06-24 09:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x182b4d…
06-24 07:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 25?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xafb6c9…
06-23 20:28:08	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x3c4f56…
06-23 17:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xaab9aa…
06-23 08:32:11	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x44bf60…
06-23 08:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xef427d…
06-23 06:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xe10926…
06-23 06:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc0fd95…
06-23 05:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xe1399b…
06-23 04:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0xd99637…
06-23 03:52:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0xdc6453…
06-23 03:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x1e62c9…
06-22 19:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3bcc7a…
06-22 10:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xa9017a…
06-22 08:16:59	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,578	3¢	$100	0x0a2c2a…
06-22 07:25:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x0cce1d…
06-22 04:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or below on June 22?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x41fcbf…
06-21 18:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x18f772…
06-21 14:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x56ace0…
06-21 09:29:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x381d43…
06-21 00:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6cb7bb…
06-21 00:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0xc7b6ff…
06-20 20:40:31	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6,000	5¢	$300	0x171bea…
06-20 18:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0xcce272…
06-20 18:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6a4cfe…
06-20 18:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x07466f…
06-20 06:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xa28000…
06-20 06:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 22?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9a3c09…