Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$439

Unrealized P&L

-$405

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$287

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-12

last 10-02 11:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

84% 43% +$127

Other

16% 0% -$566

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	+800	$200	14¢	$108	-$92	08-12 10:42
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+13,824	$392	1¢	$104	-$288	10-02 11:42
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+1,166	$100	6¢	$76	-$24	10-02 11:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$1.1K	1,354	1,354	+0	Yes	+$820	06-14 22:52
us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	4	$443	6,739	0	+6,739	No	-$443	08-12 10:42
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	57	$396	11,000	0	+11,000	No	-$396	07-10 18:50
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	5	$392	13,824	0	+13,824	open	—	10-02 11:42
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$339	263	263	+0	Yes	+$139	06-14 22:52
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	2	$261	9,731	0	+9,731	No	-$261	08-12 10:35
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	2	$200	800	0	+800	open	—	08-12 10:42
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	2	$120	4,323	0	+4,323	No	-$120	07-21 11:37
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	1	$100	1,166	0	+1,166	open	—	10-02 11:43
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	1	$98	612	0	+612	No	-$98	08-12 10:43
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	2	$60	4,066	0	+4,066	No	-$60	07-21 11:37
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?	1	$50	635	0	+635	No	-$50	07-02 19:14
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Austria?	1	$22	220	0	+220	No	-$22	07-02 19:15
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	1	$22	74	0	+74	Yes	+$52	06-20 08:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 11:43:15	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,166	9¢	$100	0x2ce1b1…
10-02 11:42:57	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,033	3¢	$121	0xdefff1…
09-26 12:14:29	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,071	3¢	$34	0xf2597b…
09-26 12:07:51	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,420	3¢	$44	0xea4c97…
09-01 13:07:43	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,880	2¢	$172	0xa7ab3a…
08-20 16:45:43	us iran final nuclear deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	420	5¢	$21	0x821a5a…
08-12 10:43:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	612	16¢	$98	0x1300c1…
08-12 10:42:42	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3,342	6¢	$200	0x847f46…
08-12 10:42:28	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x25f0e8…
08-12 10:35:58	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,667	6¢	$100	0x5494dc…
08-12 10:35:48	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	5,882	2¢	$100	0xd2e900…
08-12 10:35:36	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,550	6¢	$93	0x2288ed…
08-12 10:35:16	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xacc1af…
08-04 13:43:29	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	3,849	4¢	$161	0x4ee356…
07-21 11:37:55	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0xc11bfb…
07-21 11:37:49	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	1,823	2¢	$40	0x9b9c99…
07-10 18:50:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0xc1f355…
07-10 18:48:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	138	4¢	$5	0x82308a…
07-10 18:34:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	4¢	$2	0xb71486…
07-10 18:34:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x5f9647…
07-10 18:34:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x2f9108…
07-10 18:33:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0xf14bda…
07-10 18:33:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	93	4¢	$3	0xc9e6f9…
07-10 18:33:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	445	4¢	$16	0x6a9ad3…
07-10 18:32:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xf5f149…
07-10 18:32:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb22703…
07-10 18:32:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$18	0xa2e2eb…
07-10 18:28:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xd30151…
07-10 18:28:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x8305bd…
07-10 18:28:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	4¢	$14	0x59f595…
07-10 18:28:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2caa78…
07-10 18:28:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	4¢	$14	0x017b27…
07-10 18:27:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	309	4¢	$11	0xa033df…
07-10 18:27:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	191	4¢	$7	0x28ac8a…
07-10 18:27:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	4¢	$14	0x5c2145…
07-10 18:27:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xaa3353…
07-10 18:27:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	4¢	$14	0x5cdeca…
07-10 18:27:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0x5566b9…
07-10 18:27:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	475	4¢	$17	0x2101e0…
07-10 18:27:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x0c0f00…
07-10 18:23:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	112	4¢	$4	0xbe8eba…
07-10 18:23:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x41c090…
07-10 18:23:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	4¢	$6	0xb2faa9…
07-10 18:23:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	4¢	$14	0x916607…
07-10 18:23:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x56d696…
07-10 18:23:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	191	4¢	$7	0x498433…
07-10 18:21:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x1fe552…
07-10 18:21:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0xbded1a…
07-10 18:21:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	267	4¢	$10	0x670894…
07-10 18:20:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x478096…
07-10 18:20:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	229	4¢	$8	0xd5b65f…
07-10 18:20:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$18	0xbf94cf…
07-09 08:04:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	102	4¢	$4	0x0b4ea9…
07-07 20:00:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	283	4¢	$10	0xf6f995…
07-07 20:00:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0xe04de2…
07-07 20:00:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	220	4¢	$8	0x5fc912…
07-07 20:00:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	280	4¢	$10	0x29519d…
07-07 20:00:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$5	0x1fe16f…
07-07 20:00:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xdb407a…
07-07 20:00:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x0fd059…
07-07 19:41:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,037	4¢	$37	0x928770…
07-07 19:19:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0x16199b…
07-07 19:15:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	237	4¢	$9	0xffedaf…
07-07 19:15:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0xeb095c…
07-07 19:15:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$18	0x74de30…
07-07 19:15:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x0581cd…
07-07 19:15:25	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	2,955	2¢	$50	0x9a7846…
07-07 19:15:19	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	2,500	3¢	$80	0x5624ec…
07-07 19:14:47	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	181	28¢	$50	0xa5b25c…
07-07 19:14:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0x0b36ab…
07-07 19:13:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	217	4¢	$8	0x559eb5…
07-07 19:13:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	101	4¢	$4	0x4e8c9f…
07-07 19:13:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$5	0x48c336…
07-07 19:13:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x4387c7…
07-07 19:13:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$18	0x1614ec…
07-07 19:13:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	135	3¢	$5	0x077318…
07-02 19:15:04	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	220	10¢	$22	0x1db013…
07-02 19:14:49	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	635	8¢	$50	0x2a1652…
06-20 08:33:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	74	30¢	$22	0xe5b3dd…
06-14 22:52:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	263	91¢	$239	0xf3f0d4…
06-14 22:52:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1,354	73¢	$983	0x969ae8…
06-12 08:09:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,354	12¢	$163	0x2921e1…
06-12 08:09:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x880907…