Realized P&L
-$100
Unrealized P&L
+$551
Hit rate
94.5%
Resolved
5
Trades
23
lifetime
Volume
$4.21K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$183
Open exposure
$1.39K
6 positions
First seen
2026-09-13
last 10-28 13:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
87% 100% +$51
Politics
10% 100% +$7
Tech
4% 0% -$158
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +698 $300 90¢ $628 +$328 09-13 23:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +377 $200 76¢ $288 +$88 10-28 13:51
will ilhan omar be deported by june 30 2027 No +244 $190 92¢ $223 +$33 10-17 12:14
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,111 $100 14¢ $150 +$50 10-21 19:06
ilhan omar denaturalization case filed by march 31 2027 Yes +556 $100 18¢ $97 -$3 10-17 12:07
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +0 -$55 58¢ $0 +$55 09-14 08:28