Warlike-Prospect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$846

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

2,491

Trades

3,593

lifetime

Volume

$38.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-04-26

last 09-20 21:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 51% -$847

Politics

3% 17% +$6

Other

0% 10% -$4

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No		-12	-$10	84¢	$-10	-$1	05-07 12:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$905	475	475	+0	No	+$25	09-20 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$235	136	136	+0	Up	+$35	05-08 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$234	135	135	+0	Down	+$34	05-08 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$229	130	130	+0	Down	+$29	05-08 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$227	128	128	+0	Up	+$27	05-09 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$226	127	127	+0	Down	+$26	05-09 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$224	125	125	+0	Down	+$24	05-08 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$218	119	119	+0	Up	+$18	05-09 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$215	116	116	+0	Down	+$15	05-08 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$212	113	113	+0	Up	+$12	05-09 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$212	113	113	+0	Up	+$12	05-09 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$211	112	112	+0	Up	+$11	05-09 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$208	109	109	+0	Up	+$8	05-09 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$206	108	108	+0	Down	+$6	05-09 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$206	107	107	+0	Up	+$6	05-08 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$205	106	106	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$205	106	106	+0	Down	+$5	05-08 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$204	106	106	+0	Up	+$4	05-08 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$204	105	105	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$204	105	105	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$204	105	105	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$204	105	105	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$204	105	105	+0	Up	+$4	05-08 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$203	104	104	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$203	104	104	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$202	103	103	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$202	103	103	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$202	103	103	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$202	103	103	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$202	103	103	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 00:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 21:45:17	Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x38d0ad…
09-20 21:39:05	Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	73	2¢	$2	0x98e302…
09-20 20:23:07	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xa2bb73…
09-20 20:22:58	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	230	30¢	$69	0xe845a0…
09-20 20:19:26	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xcbf5be…
09-20 20:19:26	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x86302f…
09-20 20:18:49	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xed4079…
09-20 19:59:01	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	475	98¢	$465	0xe989d9…
09-20 17:24:25	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	475	93¢	$440	0x489039…
09-20 15:00:33	XRP Up or Down - September 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x9cc652…
09-20 14:25:19	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	13¢	$7	0xc50a29…
09-20 12:06:34	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0xab37f7…
09-20 11:06:22	XRP Up or Down - September 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	52	13¢	$7	0xe5c395…
09-20 07:26:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	58	12¢	$7	0x70daad…
09-20 06:46:57	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	49	14¢	$7	0x0da46f…
09-20 06:16:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	52	14¢	$7	0xfba018…
09-20 05:31:54	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	52	14¢	$7	0x98ed68…
09-20 04:46:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	52	14¢	$7	0x101670…
09-20 00:30:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	54	14¢	$8	0x4fbf8e…
09-20 00:15:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	59	13¢	$8	0x50a8f0…
09-19 23:36:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	57	12¢	$7	0xfedd77…
09-19 21:35:12	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0x4bfb6c…
09-19 21:26:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	51	14¢	$7	0xa17fd9…
09-19 21:10:24	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	45	13¢	$6	0xaf1567…
09-19 20:00:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe379b7…
09-19 14:45:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	48	14¢	$7	0x979f00…
09-19 14:15:36	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x4b11ac…
09-19 13:16:59	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	53	13¢	$7	0xb44706…
09-19 12:50:56	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	58	12¢	$7	0x34a961…
09-19 12:12:02	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0xdc6574…
09-19 11:06:44	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0xaccf8b…
09-19 09:45:49	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	59	12¢	$7	0xad34f4…
09-19 08:35:19	Solana Up or Down - September 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	63	12¢	$7	0xb41a13…
09-19 08:11:34	XRP Up or Down - September 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	54	14¢	$8	0x2134b0…
09-19 07:56:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	49	14¢	$7	0x9630da…
09-19 07:10:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	51	14¢	$7	0x9dd60d…
09-19 06:35:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0xd5a969…
09-19 05:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x6519bc…
09-19 05:11:48	XRP Up or Down - September 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	53	14¢	$8	0xf3278f…
09-19 01:45:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xc5658c…
09-19 00:56:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	90	14¢	$13	0x60547b…
09-19 00:31:09	Solana Up or Down - September 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	63	14¢	$9	0xffc6e6…
09-19 00:16:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	94	14¢	$13	0x74e00d…
09-18 23:11:39	Solana Up or Down - September 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0x2aa7b6…
09-18 22:35:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	93	15¢	$14	0x86c6d0…
09-18 22:16:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	104	14¢	$14	0xfd5d46…
09-18 19:11:57	XRP Up or Down - September 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	58	10¢	$6	0xc48e0c…
09-18 17:46:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	74	15¢	$11	0x52cbc5…
09-18 15:56:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x26f7e8…
09-18 13:31:08	Solana Up or Down - September 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	55	14¢	$8	0x8e5942…
09-18 13:21:27	XRP Up or Down - September 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	97	13¢	$13	0x9872a6…
09-18 12:49:33	Solana Up or Down - September 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	48	16¢	$8	0x596636…
09-18 10:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x86c192…
09-18 10:05:51	XRP Up or Down - September 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0x084843…
09-18 09:46:00	XRP Up or Down - September 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	62	15¢	$9	0x2f9809…
09-18 07:01:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xe830d5…
09-18 04:45:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	91	15¢	$13	0x77b31e…
09-18 03:50:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0xcb29e8…
09-18 03:45:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	110	13¢	$14	0x1a6fb8…
09-18 03:16:21	XRP Up or Down - September 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	122	12¢	$15	0xcce1ce…
09-18 03:11:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	97	13¢	$13	0x751841…
09-18 01:12:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	104	15¢	$15	0x9d34d4…
09-17 22:35:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	92	14¢	$13	0x43538a…
09-17 22:12:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	61	14¢	$8	0x14b4ed…
09-15 16:50:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	109	14¢	$15	0xca55f1…
09-15 13:05:57	Solana Up or Down - September 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	96	13¢	$13	0x7fd69a…
09-15 12:51:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	114	14¢	$16	0x999d80…
09-15 11:56:09	XRP Up or Down - September 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	123	13¢	$16	0xecd7e4…
09-15 10:51:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	123	14¢	$17	0xac7cd0…
09-15 10:46:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	103	15¢	$16	0x1965c4…
09-15 09:35:49	Solana Up or Down - September 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	109	12¢	$13	0xb28dae…
09-15 08:21:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	126	14¢	$18	0x858ada…
09-15 05:10:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	133	14¢	$19	0x8dc1cc…
09-15 03:10:34	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	124	9¢	$11	0xeb5320…
09-15 00:36:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	149	13¢	$19	0x6e87d9…
09-15 00:00:37	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	102	13¢	$13	0x79ed8d…
09-14 23:41:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	66	14¢	$9	0xf8e942…
09-14 23:37:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	124	14¢	$18	0x304291…
09-14 18:20:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	144	13¢	$19	0x497e61…
09-14 16:15:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	113	15¢	$16	0x748f59…
09-14 16:10:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	168	13¢	$22	0xa2f18d…
09-14 13:16:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	179	13¢	$23	0x9be408…
09-14 11:59:34	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x31cd69…
09-14 09:50:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	73	13¢	$10	0xcbff97…
09-14 09:30:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	152	15¢	$22	0x3cd650…
09-14 09:20:54	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	73	15¢	$11	0x9f28a2…
09-14 06:41:30	XRP Up or Down - September 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	75	14¢	$11	0x38362f…
09-14 05:56:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	136	14¢	$19	0x9cda32…
09-14 05:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0xeff7d9…
09-12 10:06:45	Solana Up or Down - September 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	62	14¢	$9	0x37db5a…
09-12 09:05:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x17d6d3…
09-12 08:10:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	89	14¢	$13	0xd8b251…
09-12 04:30:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	53	14¢	$8	0xb7345e…
09-12 02:40:46	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	14¢	$4	0x371dc0…
09-12 01:06:27	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	15¢	$3	0x6cfe6a…
09-12 01:04:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	39	7¢	$3	0xfaf590…
09-12 00:34:34	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x0ecac1…
09-11 22:54:34	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x977b84…
09-11 19:39:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x214d16…
09-11 19:26:21	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	14¢	$4	0x9a4e41…