Rundown-Thunderhead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.8%

Resolved

3,472

Trades

5,423

lifetime

Volume

$745.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$137

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 02:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 245 days

Categories

Sports

89% 53% +$30,532

Other

11% 47% -$8,581

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl tb buf 2026 03 08	12	$20.4K	20,986	9,102	+11,884	Sabres	-$2,219	03-09 01:52
nhl edm sj 2026 04 08	5	$6.3K	14,403	5,096	+9,307	Oilers	-$1,467	04-09 03:25
nhl van sj 2026 04 11	5	$5.9K	12,233	0	+12,233	Canucks	+$1,846	04-12 04:36
nhl chi col 2026 02 28	8	$5.4K	9,279	6,954	+2,324	Avalanche	+$212	03-01 00:40
Flyers vs. Penguins	4	$5.0K	11,012	0	+11,012	Penguins	-$2,947	04-28 00:40
nhl nyi buf 2026 03 31	7	$5.0K	8,522	0	+8,522	Sabres	+$1,322	04-01 01:39
nhl cbj utah 2026 01 11	3	$4.2K	5,383	2,400	+2,983	Blue Jackets	-$1,449	01-12 01:02
nhl nsh sea 2026 03 10	3	$4.1K	6,873	0	+6,873	Predators	+$1,213	03-11 03:34
nhl cal sea 2026 04 11 total 6pt5	3	$4.1K	7,806	0	+7,806	Under	-$3,047	04-12 01:02
nhl pit col 2026 03 16	6	$3.7K	13,628	0	+13,628	Penguins	-$426	03-17 03:13
mlb kc cle 2026 04 06 spread away 1pt5	6	$3.7K	8,911	0	+8,911	Kansas City Royals	+$3,184	04-07 00:21
mlb kc cle 2026 04 06	2	$3.7K	6,146	0	+6,146	Kansas City Royals	-$1,797	04-06 23:57
nhl stl ana 2026 03 08	3	$3.6K	6,671	0	+6,671	Blues	-$2,186	03-09 02:26
nhl tb sea 2026 03 17	6	$3.6K	8,442	0	+8,442	Lightning	-$844	03-18 03:28
Stars vs. Wild	3	$3.6K	6,960	0	+6,960	Wild	-$2,945	05-01 01:53
nhl cal sea 2026 04 11 total 5pt5	3	$3.4K	5,971	0	+5,971	Under	+$616	04-12 01:02
Oilers vs. Ducks	6	$3.3K	5,346	0	+5,346	Ducks	-$489	04-27 04:12
nhl sj det 2026 01 16	7	$3.1K	5,765	0	+5,765	Red Wings	-$378	01-17 02:03
nhl min fla 2026 03 26	5	$3.1K	6,120	0	+6,120	Wild	+$1,611	03-27 01:44
nhl pit buf 2026 02 05	2	$2.7K	4,492	0	+4,492	Penguins	+$1,743	02-06 01:24
nhl tor col 2026 01 12	3	$2.7K	4,890	0	+4,890	Maple Leafs	+$361	01-13 05:41
nhl cal col 2026 04 09	2	$2.6K	5,769	0	+5,769	Avalanche	-$2,473	04-10 03:31
mlb tb min 2026 04 05	2	$2.6K	6,211	0	+6,211	Tampa Bay Rays	-$2,392	04-05 19:54
nhl edm sj 2026 04 08 spread away 1pt5	5	$2.6K	5,946	0	+5,946	Oilers	+$3,096	04-09 03:25
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants	6	$2.6K	4,948	0	+4,948	San Francisco Giants	+$281	04-22 02:43
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians	7	$2.5K	6,925	0	+6,925	Baltimore Orioles	+$2,008	04-18 00:52
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants	6	$2.5K	4,088	0	+4,088	San Francisco Giants	+$534	04-23 03:26
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	9	$2.4K	4,360	0	+4,360	Seahawks	-$1,131	01-26 02:21
nhl cal col 2026 04 09 spread home 1pt5	1	$2.4K	4,299	0	+4,299	Avalanche	-$2,360	04-10 03:31
mlb col sd 2026 04 09	5	$2.3K	4,908	0	+4,908	San Diego Padres	+$161	04-10 05:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 02:59:44	4Q Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Seahawks	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6df8dd…
10-26 02:59:42	2H Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)	Seahawks	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x42e19e…
10-26 02:59:42	2H Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Seahawks	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x080c0b…
10-25 22:09:08	Spread: Broncos (-13.5)	Broncos	BUY	568	55¢	$312	0x72f38f…
10-25 22:09:08	Spread: Broncos (-7.5)	Broncos	BUY	266	73¢	$194	0x446367…
10-25 22:09:06	Spread: Broncos (-9.5)	Broncos	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x8cb871…
10-25 22:09:06	Spread: Broncos (-10.5)	Broncos	BUY	400	65¢	$260	0x5daecd…
10-25 22:09:06	Spread: Broncos (-8.5)	Broncos	BUY	314	73¢	$229	0x2a7244…
10-25 20:16:06	Giants vs. Texans	Giants	BUY	143	55¢	$79	0x6fa710…
10-25 19:20:44	Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 44.5	Over	BUY	737	39¢	$286	0xc8ea58…
10-25 19:20:36	Spread: Bengals (-5.5)	Bengals	BUY	456	62¢	$283	0xd82574…
10-25 19:20:35	Spread: Bengals (-6.5)	Bengals	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0x76fcd1…
10-25 19:18:08	Spread: Giants (-2.5)	Giants	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xce58a7…
10-25 19:18:06	Giants vs. Texans: O/U 40.5	Over	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x8fd58f…
10-25 19:18:06	Giants vs. Texans: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0x1bef3d…
10-25 19:18:05	Spread: Texans (-2.5)	Giants	BUY	73	48¢	$35	0x7de127…
10-25 19:18:05	Giants vs. Texans	Giants	BUY	731	45¢	$327	0x0f5eba…
10-25 19:18:03	Spread: Giants (-5.5)	Giants	BUY	1,106	21¢	$227	0x1ef044…
10-25 19:09:56	Spread: Falcons (-9.5)	Falcons	BUY	858	37¢	$320	0xdaabec…
10-25 19:09:56	Spread: Falcons (-10.5)	Falcons	BUY	885	36¢	$320	0x768c8f…
10-25 19:08:57	Spread: Ravens (-1.5)	Bengals	BUY	331	69¢	$230	0x3123aa…
10-25 17:18:08	Spread: Titans (-9.5)	Titans	BUY	326	50¢	$163	0xb848fb…
10-25 17:18:05	Spread: Titans (-10.5)	Titans	BUY	200	46¢	$93	0x1b6d12…
10-25 05:11:23	Spread: Utah (-1.5)	Houston	BUY	65	53¢	$35	0x4a497f…
10-25 04:56:48	Houston vs. Utah: O/U 35.5	Over	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x69a3cb…
10-25 04:14:12	North Dakota State vs. New Mexico: 3Q Moneyline	New Mexico	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x918e97…
10-25 03:22:39	Ole Miss vs. Texas: O/U 59.5	Over	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf3b3c8…
10-25 03:03:24	UTSA vs. Tulane: O/U 55.5	Over	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x26983f…
10-25 01:52:24	Ole Miss vs. Texas: O/U 53.5	Over	BUY	199	54¢	$107	0x999bae…
10-25 00:25:36	Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky: 2Q O/U 13.5	Over	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xded6ae…
10-25 00:25:36	Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky: 2Q O/U 10.5	Over	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd687a3…
10-25 00:04:08	Ole Miss vs. Texas: 1Q O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x58a1ab…
10-24 23:36:12	San Diego State vs. Colorado State	Colorado State	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x7151f2…
10-24 22:30:56	Spread: Alabama (-6.5)	Alabama	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x3ed451…
10-24 22:30:54	Spread: Minnesota (-6.5)	Minnesota	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2d7cc8…
10-24 22:05:51	Texas A&M vs. Alabama	Texas A&M	BUY	233	45¢	$105	0xdb1b4a…
10-24 20:17:26	Spread: Alabama (-9.5)	Texas A&M	BUY	150	52¢	$78	0x0ca087…
10-24 19:40:08	Spread: Miami (FL) (-30.5)	Pittsburgh	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xdde550…
10-24 19:40:08	Spread: Miami (FL) (-33.5)	Pittsburgh	BUY	265	36¢	$94	0xaac4fa…
10-24 19:38:03	LSU vs. Auburn: O/U 55.5	Over	BUY	175	65¢	$115	0xe1d70e…
10-24 19:38:03	Spread: LSU (-20.5)	Auburn	BUY	448	52¢	$235	0x60ff88…
10-24 19:38:03	Spread: LSU (-16.5)	Auburn	BUY	2,402	10¢	$237	0x2d02c3…
10-24 19:38:03	Spread: LSU (-17.5)	Auburn	BUY	3,241	7¢	$237	0x0f8664…
10-24 16:39:09	Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): 1Q O/U 10.5	Over	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xe58a69…
10-24 04:00:20	Spread: Army (-2.5)	Army	BUY	253	70¢	$176	0xe56143…
10-24 02:38:57	Army vs. Tulsa: O/U 63.5	Over	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0x67a0e2…
10-24 01:07:33	Spread: Virginia (-1.5)	Virginia	BUY	200	72¢	$145	0xebae08…
10-24 00:52:38	Army vs. Tulsa: 1H O/U 33.5	Over	BUY	455	50¢	$227	0x4709e6…
10-23 23:11:54	1H Spread: Duke (-0.5)	Duke	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x19719b…
10-23 03:36:27	Hurricanes vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	91	43¢	$40	0xf879d2…
10-23 03:32:50	Hurricanes vs. Oilers	Hurricanes	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0xd50a42…
10-23 03:31:32	Hurricanes vs. Oilers	Hurricanes	BUY	1,407	52¢	$732	0x6d51c3…
10-23 03:31:32	Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	Hurricanes	BUY	242	13¢	$31	0x0a2996…
10-23 03:20:32	Spread: Memphis (-1.5)	East Carolina	BUY	477	49¢	$233	0xa49607…
10-23 03:08:59	East Carolina vs. Memphis: O/U 63.5	Over	BUY	396	56¢	$222	0x85fa67…
10-23 03:05:20	Hurricanes vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	44	47¢	$21	0xdbdea2…
10-23 03:04:05	Spread: Memphis (-6.5)	Memphis	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0xad17ac…
10-23 02:53:21	East Carolina vs. Memphis	East Carolina	BUY	501	41¢	$205	0x793b85…
10-23 02:45:17	Spread: East Carolina (-5.5)	Memphis	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb0046d…
10-23 02:45:15	Spread: Memphis (-1.5)	Memphis	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x9974da…
10-23 02:38:15	East Carolina vs. Memphis	Memphis	BUY	287	45¢	$129	0x8f574c…
10-23 02:38:15	Spread: East Carolina (-4.5)	Memphis	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0x01a964…
10-23 02:22:15	Spread: Memphis (-5.5)	Memphis	BUY	24	31¢	$7	0x21a67c…
10-23 02:22:14	Spread: East Carolina (-3.5)	Memphis	BUY	24	72¢	$17	0xe4ee1f…
10-23 02:20:27	Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 62.5	Over	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0xace9e6…
10-23 02:12:26	Hurricanes vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xef4c8f…
10-23 02:06:17	Spread: Bears (-10.5)	Bears	BUY	261	45¢	$118	0x2b7179…
10-23 02:05:54	Hurricanes vs. Oilers	Hurricanes	BUY	205	64¢	$132	0xc73fdc…
10-23 01:44:53	1H Spread: Bears (-10.5)	Patriots	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0xa2bb74…
10-23 01:44:53	1H Spread: Bears (-7.5)	Patriots	BUY	546	57¢	$311	0x31bf5b…
10-23 01:44:53	1H Spread: Bears (-9.5)	Patriots	BUY	708	47¢	$331	0x25e21b…
10-23 01:30:20	Hurricanes vs. Oilers	Hurricanes	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x8e8884…
10-23 01:24:14	Hurricanes vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x0d9568…
10-23 01:04:00	Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0xda70a0…
10-23 00:19:23	Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x7bb89f…
10-23 00:19:23	Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0x51907c…
10-23 00:07:09	Kings vs. Islanders	Islanders	BUY	721	38¢	$272	0xc8964e…
10-22 23:35:48	Spread: Panthers (-1.5)	Penguins	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xe7181c…
10-22 03:15:39	Spread: New Mexico State (-6.5)	New Mexico State	BUY	281	69¢	$193	0x97e3f9…
10-22 03:14:09	New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: O/U 57.5	Over	BUY	82	23¢	$19	0x1cc185…
10-22 03:08:51	Spread: New Mexico State (-6.5)	New Mexico State	BUY	197	74¢	$146	0x42bd93…
10-22 02:05:23	Spread: Sam Houston (-1.5)	Sam Houston	BUY	94	43¢	$40	0xf21f4e…
10-22 02:05:23	Spread: New Mexico State (-5.5)	Sam Houston	BUY	469	50¢	$234	0x3a2e65…
10-22 00:09:20	Spread: Sam Houston (-4.5)	Sam Houston	BUY	252	46¢	$116	0x7d36da…
10-22 00:09:20	Spread: Sam Houston (-3.5)	Sam Houston	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x48ac6d…
10-22 00:09:20	Spread: Sam Houston (-5.5)	Sam Houston	BUY	295	39¢	$116	0x193a87…
10-21 03:54:47	Wild vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x1643f6…
10-21 03:27:24	Wild vs. Oilers	Wild	BUY	43	14¢	$6	0xef0d88…
10-21 02:40:02	Spread: Marshall (-6.5)	Marshall	BUY	404	60¢	$242	0xc30b4a…
10-21 02:40:00	South Alabama vs. Marshall	Marshall	BUY	339	72¢	$244	0xb0db68…
10-21 02:20:06	Wild vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7ed592…
10-21 01:34:32	Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: O/U 49.5	Over	BUY	68	32¢	$22	0xff44e5…
10-21 01:34:32	Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: O/U 43.5	Over	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x662516…
10-21 01:23:56	Spread: Delaware (-7.5)	Delaware	BUY	491	49¢	$239	0x9352b0…
10-21 01:15:05	Spread: Delaware (-3.5)	Delaware	BUY	529	41¢	$217	0xee914d…
10-21 01:15:05	Spread: Missouri State (-1.5)	Delaware	BUY	312	65¢	$203	0x4e30a9…
10-21 01:15:05	Spread: Delaware (-1.5)	Delaware	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x322aed…
10-21 01:15:03	Missouri State vs. Delaware	Delaware	BUY	372	59¢	$220	0x16121e…
10-21 01:14:08	Spread: Oilers (-1.5)	Wild	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x66f5b1…
10-21 01:14:08	Wild vs. Oilers	Wild	BUY	1,539	47¢	$724	0x2c8746…